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Swansea vs Birmingham Prediction & Tips | EFL Cup | FootballTips.app

Swansea

Swansea

Home
Full Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 8 August
Birmingham

Birmingham

Away
SwanseaTimelineBirmingham
1st Half
Widell M.
21'
Priske A.Assist: Vicente C.
sports_soccer
44'
2nd Half
Buchanan L.Out: Cochrane A.
sync_alt
46'
Burgess C.
62'
Walta L.Out: Yeo M. K.
sync_alt
63'
Vipotnik Z.Out: Idah A.
sync_alt
63'
Fulton J.Out: Widell M.
sync_alt
63'
Key J.Out: Lissah F.
sync_alt
65'
Gray D.Out: Paik Seung-Ho
sync_alt
65'
Laird E.Out: Stansfield J.
sync_alt
72'
Vazquez L.Out: Priske A.
sync_alt
72'
Eom Ji-SungOut: Stamenic M.
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82'
Wright S.Out: Vicente C.
sync_alt
90+5'

Top stats

1.43Expected goals (xG)0.82
61%Ball possession39%
13Total shots6
2Shots on target1
1Big chances1
6Corner kicks4
74% (347/469)Passes65% (191/296)
2Yellow cards0

Shots

1.43Expected goals (xG)0.82
0.77xG on target (xGOT)0.90
13Total shots6
2Shots on target1
8Shots off target4
3Blocked shots1
9Shots inside the box3
4Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances1
6Corner kicks4
15Touches in opposition box17
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides2
19Free kicks12

Passes

74% (347/469)Passes65% (191/296)
36% (26/72)Long passes31% (22/72)
56% (75/134)Passes in final third46% (50/108)
20% (3/15)Crosses0% (0/16)
0.99Expected assists (xA)1.09
25Throw ins25

Defense

12Fouls19
71% (15/21)Tackles77% (10/13)
78Duels won46
29Clearances32
14Interceptions18
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves2
0.90xGOT faced0.77
-0.10Goals prevented0.77
7Goal kicks14
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
12.87
X3.33
22.30

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: Low (4/10)
37
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 1.30 PPG
Recent Form: Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 1.30 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.57 GPG vs Away 0.75 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.29 conc vs Away 1.25 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

32%
29%
39%
Swansea
Draw
Birmingham

Match Preview

Swansea enjoyed a strong end to the 2025/26 campaign under Vitor Matos, and with Zan Vipotnik still part of the squad, the Welsh club will hope they can make strides towards the top-six spots this season. Still, replacing Ethan Galbraith's influence will be a tough task for Saturday's hosts.

Birmingham's first season back in the second tier was a disappointment considering their lofty pre-season aims, but the Blues return for 2026/27 with a stronger squad and plenty of optimism. A pre-season penalty shoot-out win over Barcelona was the highlight of the summer for the Midlands-based club.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Swansea

Starting 11
-Andy Fisher
GK
-Tiago Parente
DL
-Stephen Welsh
DC
-Cameron Burgess
DC
-Joshua Key
DR
-Eom Ji-Sung
ML
-Thomas Woodward
MC
-Jay Fulton
MC
-Moussa Yeo
MC
-Leo Walta
MR
-Zan Vipotnik
FW

Birmingham

Starting 11
-James Beadle
GK
-Alex Cochrane
DL
-Christoph Klarer
DC
-Dael Fry
DC
-Ethan Laird
DR
-Jhon Solís
DMC
-Tomoki Iwata
DMC
-Jay Stansfield
AML
-Kanya Fujimoto
AMC
-Patrick Roberts
AMR
-August Priske
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 46 / 38 matches
SwanseavsBirmingham

radarTeam Profile

Swansea
Birmingham
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
33Attack45
shield
52Defense42
swap_horiz
50Possession59
gps_fixed
56Efficiency64
auto_fix_high
23Creativity38
gavel
57Discipline64

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

57Goals Scored56
59Goals Conceded49
12Clean Sheets9
75Big Chances87
48Big Chances Missed61
6Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

566Total Shots483
179Shots on Target170

swap_horizPassing & Possession

54.6%Avg Possession53.6%
21,240Total Passes17,130
80.3%Pass Accuracy85.3%

shieldDefending

704Tackles587
432Interceptions238
147Saves114
50.4%Duels Won49.6%

gavelDiscipline

454Fouls379
92Yellow Cards58
1Red Cards1
93Offsides42

analyticsOther

209Corners199
250Successful Dribbles238
4Errors Leading to Goal14
6.78Avg Rating6.81

history Recent Form

SwanseaSwansea
1.8 GPG
BirminghamBirmingham
1.3 GPG

group Head to Head

PL17 Jan 2026
Swansea City
1-1
Birmingham City
PL20 Sept 2025
Birmingham City
1-0
Swansea City
PL13 Jan 2024
Birmingham City
2-2
Swansea City
PL5 Aug 2023
Swansea City
1-1
Birmingham City
PL4 Feb 2023
Swansea City
3-4
Birmingham City
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
67%
12 / 18 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
10 / 18 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
7 / 18 matches
Both Teams to Score
61%
11 / 18 matches
Swansea CS
28%
Clean Sheets
Birmingham CS
33%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

17 Jan 2026
Swansea City
1 - 1
Birmingham City
20 Sept 2025
Birmingham City
1 - 0
Swansea City
13 Jan 2024
Birmingham City
2 - 2
Swansea City
5 Aug 2023
Swansea City
1 - 1
Birmingham City
4 Feb 2023
Swansea City
3 - 4
Birmingham City
8 Nov 2022
Birmingham City
2 - 2
Swansea City
19 Mar 2022
Swansea City
0 - 0
Birmingham City
23 Oct 2021
Birmingham City
2 - 1
Swansea City
2 Apr 2021
Birmingham City
1 - 0
Swansea City
19 Sept 2020
Swansea City
0 - 0
Birmingham City
8 Jul 2020
Birmingham City
1 - 3
Swansea City
25 Aug 2019
Swansea City
3 - 0
Birmingham City

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Swansea
1.80
Form (Overall)
Birmingham
1.30

Swansea is +38% better in terms of Points Per Game

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