Swansea vs Burnley Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app
Swansea
HomeFull Time
3 - 1
HT: 2 - 0
Saturday 12 September
Burnley
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.16
X3.44
23.20
Recommended Bet
check_circle
Home Win
Odds: 2.01Stake: High (9/10)
94
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #4 vs Away #24
Season: Home 1.83 PPG vs Away 0.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.55 PPG vs Away 0.50 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.67 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
65%
20%
15%
Swansea
Draw
Burnley
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.87 | 1.95 | 1.97 | -4.0% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.93 | 2.05 | 2.03 | -6.0% |
| Swansea City Win | 2.01 | 1.54 | 2.23 | +30.5% |
| Draw | 3.47 | 4.99 | 3.85 | -30.5% |
| Burnley Win | 3.10 | 6.64 | 3.44 | -53.3% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.67 | 1.85 | 1.80 | -9.8% |
| BTTS - No | 2.10 | 2.17 | 2.26 | -3.4% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Swansea's unbeaten start to the campaign came to an end in gameweek six as the Welsh club suffered a 3-1 away defeat to Southampton at St. Mary's Stadium. Vitor Matos' side remain third in the standings as they take on a winless Burnley side.
Burnley took an early lead against Wrexham through Zeki Amdouni in midweek, but the Clarets couldn't hold on for their first league win of the campaign, settling for a point on the road in Wales. Nicky Hayen's men are winless in all competitions this season, leaving them 23rd in the Championship standings.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Swansea
Starting 11
-Lawrence Vigouroux
GK6.67
-Josh Tymon
DL6.89
-Stephen Welsh
DC7.09
-Ben Cabango
DC6.89
-Filip Lissah
DR6.98
-Stephen Eustaquio
MC6.62
-Marko Stamenic
MC6.63
-Melker Widell
MC6.66
-Moussa Yeo
FWL6.71
-Zan Vipotnik
FW6.51
-Joseph Opoku
FWR6.64
Burnley
Starting 11
-Max Weiss
GK6.19
-Connor Roberts
DL6.08
-Max Alleyne
DC6.44
-Kyle Walker
DC6.16
-Oliver Sonne
DR6.27
-Ugo Raghouber
DMC6.76
-Josh Laurent
DMC6.16
-Largie Ramazani
AML6.71
-Reo Hatate
AMC6.44
-Zeki Amdouni
AMR6.54
-Andréas Hountondji
FW6.01
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 6 matchesSwanseavsBurnley
1.33Goals / Match1.17
0.67Conceded / Match2.17
4Clean Sheets0
4.83Shots on Target / Match3.50
59.3%Possession %50.0%
82.3%Pass Accuracy %83.3%
radarTeam Profile
Swansea
Burnley
sports_soccer
44Attack36
shield
76Defense12
swap_horiz
60Possession57
gps_fixed
70Efficiency37
auto_fix_high
52Creativity44
gavel
64Discipline37
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
8Goals Scored7
4Goals Conceded13
4Clean Sheets0
16Big Chances11
10Big Chances Missed9
1Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
73Total Shots82
29Shots on Target21
swap_horizPassing & Possession
59.3%Avg Possession50.0%
3,174Total Passes2,778
82.3%Pass Accuracy83.3%
shieldDefending
110Tackles75
49Interceptions35
8Saves13
52.3%Duels Won45.5%
gavelDiscipline
56Fouls69
11Yellow Cards13
0Red Cards1
13Offsides8
analyticsOther
30Corners29
34Successful Dribbles45
0Errors Leading to Goal2
7.49Avg Rating6.80
Statistical Comparison
SwanseaMetricBurnley
8
Goals
6
6
Assists
5
6.6
Average Ratings
6.3
25.1
Average Age
26.4
182.5
Average Height (cm)
182.3
1
Shots pg
1.4
47%
Aerial Duel Success
41%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.4
Tackles pg
0.9
history Recent Form
SwanseaD
W
D
L
W
BurnleyD
L
D
L
L
group Head to Head
PL15 Mar 2025
0-2
PL10 Nov 2024
1-0
PL2 Jan 2023
1-2
PL15 Oct 2022
4-0
PL10 Feb 2018
1-0
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
57%
8 / 14 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
4 / 14 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
2 / 14 matches
Both Teams to Score
29%
4 / 14 matches
Swansea CS
43%
Clean Sheets
Burnley CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
15 Mar 2025
Swansea City
0 - 2
Burnley
10 Nov 2024
Burnley
1 - 0
Swansea City
2 Jan 2023
Swansea City
1 - 2
Burnley
15 Oct 2022
Burnley
4 - 0
Swansea City
10 Feb 2018
Swansea City
1 - 0
Burnley
18 Nov 2017
Burnley
2 - 0
Swansea City
4 Mar 2017
Swansea City
3 - 2
Burnley
13 Aug 2016
Burnley
0 - 1
Swansea City
28 Feb 2015
Burnley
0 - 1
Swansea City
23 Aug 2014
Swansea City
1 - 0
Burnley
16 Apr 2011
Burnley
2 - 1
Swansea City
28 Aug 2010
Swansea City
1 - 0
Burnley
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.67
Form (Overall)
0.33
Swansea is +406% better in terms of Points Per Game
Swansea City
0 - 0
Wrexham
Swansea City
2 - 0
Watford
Swansea City
0 - 0
Sheffield United
Swansea City
0 - 1
Birmingham City
Swansea City
1 - 0
Leganés
Wrexham
1 - 1
Burnley
Norwich City
4 - 1
Burnley
Bradford City
0 - 0
Burnley
West Bromwich Albion
3 - 1
Burnley
Ajax
2 - 1
Burnley
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