Swansea vs Stoke Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Swansea

Swansea

Home
Full Time
2 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 7 March
Stoke

Stoke

Away
SwanseaTimelineStoke
1st Half
Thomas S.
23'
Cisse L.
30'
Ronald
34'
Thomas S.
36'
2nd Half
Vipotnik Z.Assist: Tymon J.
sports_soccer
53'
Smit M.Out: Cisse L.
sync_alt
54'
Manhoef M.Out: Rak-Sakyi J.
sync_alt
54'
Gustavo NunesOut: Ronald
sync_alt
66'
Franco G.
67'
Tchamadeu J.Out: Bocat E.
sync_alt
70'
Talovierov M.Out: Wilmot B.
sync_alt
75'
Talovierov M.
79'
Cullen L.Out: Eom J.
sync_alt
80'
Widell M.Out: Galbraith E.
sync_alt
81'
Fulton J.Out: Stamenic M.
sync_alt
81'
Tchamadeu J.
85'
Ward J.Out: Franco G.
sync_alt
90'
Cullen L.
sports_soccer
90+2'

Top stats

1.14Expected goals (xG)0.83
67%Ball possession33%
23Total shots7
4Shots on target2
0Big chances2
12Corner kicks5
87% (458/524)Passes72% (189/261)
2Yellow cards5
0Red cards1

Shots

1.14Expected goals (xG)0.83
0.89xG on target (xGOT)0.26
23Total shots7
4Shots on target2
11Shots off target1
8Blocked shots4
12Shots inside the box5
11Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

0Big chances2
12Corner kicks5
29Touches in opposition box20
1Accurate through passes0
0Offsides4
12Free kicks7

Passes

87% (458/524)Passes72% (189/261)
28% (9/32)Long passes24% (10/42)
83% (145/175)Passes in final third42% (26/62)
19% (6/31)Crosses31% (4/13)
1.78Expected assists (xA)1.13
19Throw ins14

Defense

7Fouls12
65% (11/17)Tackles67% (12/18)
51Duels won50
18Clearances31
8Interceptions8
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves2
0.26xGOT faced0.89
0.26Goals prevented-1.11
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.02
X3.34
24.02

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Home Win
Stake: Low (5/10)
45
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #16 vs Away #14
Season: Home 1.31 PPG vs Away 1.34 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.15 PPG vs Away 1.05 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.44 GPG vs Away 0.89 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

44%
33%
23%
Swansea
Draw
Stoke

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Swansea

Starting 11
-Lawrence Vigouroux
GK6.78
-Josh Tymon
DL6.84
-Cameron Burgess
DC7.01
-Ben Cabango
DC6.98
-Ethan Galbraith
DR6.74
-Marko Stamenic
DMC6.67
-Gonçalo Franco
DMC6.79
-Gustavo Nunes
AML6.55
-Melker Widell
AMC6.32
-Ronald
AMR6.58
-Zan Vipotnik
FW6.85

Stoke

Starting 11
-Gavin Bazunu
GK6.72
-Ben Gibson
DL7.06
-Ben Wilmot
DC6.82
-Ashley Phillips
DC6.80
-Junior Tchamadeu
DR6.79
-Ben Pearson
DMC6.38
-Tatsuki Seko
DMC6.42
-Sorba Thomas
AML6.86
-Million Manhoef
AMC6.66
-Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
AMR6.67
-Divin Mubama
FW6.48
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Swansea City is scheduled to face Stoke City at Swansea.

com Stadium in the Championship on March 7, 2026 GMT.

Positioned 16th in the standings with 46 points, Swansea City will take on 14th-placed Stoke City, who have accumulated 47 points.

Swansea City has secured nine wins in 18 home matches this season in the Championship, showcasing their ability to perform at their home ground.

Stoke City, on the other hand, has experienced a 50% loss rate in their last six matches, indicating a level of inconsistency in their performances.

In their recent head-to-head encounters in the Championship, Swansea City has suffered three defeats in their last six meetings against Stoke City, setting the stage for an evenly poised matchup between the two sides.

Algorithm Prediction: Swansea City and Stoke City to play out a draw.

Swansea were no match for promotion contenders Ipswich last time out, suffering a comprehensive 3-0 away defeat after going behind inside three minutes. The Welsh club have been formidable at home lately, though, winning eight and drawing two of their last 10 at the Swansea.com Stadium.

Stoke were heading for an acceptable away draw against Championship leaders Coventry last weekend before Jack Rudoni's stoppage-time goal condemned the Potters to an away defeat. Saturday's visitors have won just one of their last nine league games heading into gameweek 36.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 35 matches
SwanseavsStoke
1.14Goals / Match1.11
1.23Conceded / Match0.97
10Clean Sheets12
3.80Shots on Target / Match3.83
55.3%Possession %53.3%
80.3%Pass Accuracy %79.6%

radarTeam Profile

Swansea
Stoke
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
30Attack27
shield
56Defense51
swap_horiz
51Possession48
gps_fixed
52Efficiency60
auto_fix_high
25Creativity26
gavel
56Discipline50

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

40Goals Scored39
43Goals Conceded34
10Clean Sheets12
54Big Chances57
36Big Chances Missed36
1Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

431Total Shots387
133Shots on Target134

swap_horizPassing & Possession

55.3%Avg Possession53.3%
16,184Total Passes14,453
80.3%Pass Accuracy79.6%

shieldDefending

546Tackles452
337Interceptions248
111Saves99
50.2%Duels Won49.4%

gavelDiscipline

354Fouls360
71Yellow Cards72
1Red Cards3
74Offsides99

analyticsOther

163Corners196
202Successful Dribbles212
3Errors Leading to Goal4
6.79Avg Rating6.80

Statistical Comparison

SwanseaMetricStoke
39
Goals
37
30
Assists
28
6.5
Average Ratings
6.6
25.1
Average Age
25.4
182.7
Average Height (cm)
182.6
0.8
Shots pg
0.8
45%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.3
Tackles pg
1

League Standings Context

For Swansea

PosTeamPWDLPts
15QPR351381447
16Swansea City351371546
17Norwich City351361645

For Stoke

PosTeamPWDLPts
13Sheffield United351531748
14Stoke City351381447
15QPR351381447

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

40.9/ 102.4
Dangerous Attacks
40.6/ 95.0
31.0%
Shots on Target
33.0%
12.7
Total Shots
11.1
55.0%
Possession
53.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.2
Goals Scored / Match
1.1
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Swansea Wins
17%
2
Draws
33%
3
Stoke Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketSwanseaStoke
Over 1.5 Goals
75%30/40
57%23/40
Over 2.5 Goals
48%19/40
43%17/40
Both Teams to Score
57%23/40
38%15/40
* Based on last 40 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Swansea

CH
Swansea City
1 - 1
Preston North End
CH
Swansea City
1 - 0
Bristol City
CH
Swansea City
4 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
CH
Swansea City
3 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
CH
Swansea City
1 - 1
Birmingham City
FA
Swansea City
1 - 1
West Bromwich

Home Games: Swansea

CH
Swansea City
1 - 1
Preston North End
CH
Swansea City
1 - 0
Bristol City
CH
Swansea City
4 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
CH
Swansea City
3 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
CH
Swansea City
1 - 1
Birmingham City
FA
Swansea City
1 - 1
West Bromwich

Last 6: Stoke

CH
Coventry City
2 - 1
Stoke City
CH
Charlton Athletic
1 - 0
Stoke City
CH
West Bromwich
0 - 0
Stoke City
CH
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Stoke City
CH
Norwich City
0 - 2
Stoke City
CH
Hull City
0 - 1
Stoke City

Away Games: Stoke

CH
Coventry City
2 - 1
Stoke City
CH
Charlton Athletic
1 - 0
Stoke City
CH
West Bromwich
0 - 0
Stoke City
CH
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Stoke City
CH
Norwich City
0 - 2
Stoke City
CH
Hull City
0 - 1
Stoke City

history Recent Form

SwanseaSwansea
1.3 GPG
L
D
W
L
W
StokeStoke
1.3 GPG
L
W
D
L
D

group Head to Head

PL13 Dec 2025
Stoke City
2-1
Swansea City
PL15 Feb 2025
Stoke City
3-1
Swansea City
PL5 Oct 2024
Swansea City
0-0
Stoke City
PL10 Apr 2024
Swansea City
3-0
Stoke City
PL12 Dec 2023
Stoke City
1-1
Swansea City
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
90%
26 / 29 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
16 / 29 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
8 / 29 matches
Both Teams to Score
59%
17 / 29 matches
Swansea CS
21%
Clean Sheets
Stoke CS
24%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

13 Dec 2025
Stoke City
2 - 1
Swansea City
15 Feb 2025
Stoke City
3 - 1
Swansea City
5 Oct 2024
Swansea City
0 - 0
Stoke City
10 Apr 2024
Swansea City
3 - 0
Stoke City
12 Dec 2023
Stoke City
1 - 1
Swansea City
21 Feb 2023
Swansea City
1 - 3
Stoke City
31 Aug 2022
Stoke City
1 - 1
Swansea City
8 Feb 2022
Stoke City
3 - 0
Swansea City
17 Aug 2021
Swansea City
1 - 3
Stoke City
3 Mar 2021
Stoke City
1 - 2
Swansea City
27 Oct 2020
Swansea City
2 - 0
Stoke City
25 Jan 2020
Stoke City
2 - 0
Swansea City

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Swansea
1.31
Form (Overall)
Stoke
1.34

Stoke is +2% better in terms of Points Per Game

Ipswich Town
3 - 0
Swansea City
Swansea City
1 - 1
Preston North End
Swansea City
1 - 0
Bristol City
Derby County
2 - 0
Swansea City
Swansea City
4 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
Coventry City
2 - 1
Stoke City
Stoke City
2 - 1
Oxford United
Stoke City
2 - 2
Leicester City
Charlton Athletic
1 - 0
Stoke City
West Bromwich Albion
0 - 0
Stoke City

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