Sweden vs Poland Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League B | FootballTips.app
Sweden
HomeFull Time
3 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Monday 28 September
Poland
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Model Confidence
11.94
X3.72
23.59
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 0.85 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.60 GPG vs Away 2.33 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.40 conc vs Away 1.67 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
43%
26%
31%
Sweden
Draw
Poland
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.71 | 1.72 | 1.80 | -0.5% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.13 | 2.39 | 2.25 | -10.9% |
| Sweden Win | 1.91 | 2.30 | 2.06 | -17.1% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.85 | 3.77 | -9.1% |
| Poland Win | 3.75 | 3.60 | 4.03 | +4.3% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.60 | 1.74 | 1.71 | -8.3% |
| BTTS - No | 2.25 | 2.34 | 2.41 | -4.0% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 1 / 3 matchesSwedenvsPoland
2.00Goals / Match0.67
1.00Conceded / Match1.67
0Clean Sheets0
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
2Goals Scored2
1Goals Conceded5
history Recent Form
SwedenW
L
D
L
W
PolandD
D
L
L
W
group Head to Head
PL31 Mar 2026
3-2
PL29 Mar 2022
2-0
PL23 Jun 2021
3-2
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
3 / 3 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
2 / 3 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
2 / 3 matches
Both Teams to Score
67%
2 / 3 matches
Sweden CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Poland CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
31 Mar 2026
Sweden
3 - 2
Poland
29 Mar 2022
Poland
2 - 0
Sweden
23 Jun 2021
Sweden
3 - 2
Poland
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.50
Form (Overall)
1.80
Poland is +20% better in terms of Points Per Game
Sweden
2 - 1
Romania
France
3 - 0
Sweden
Japan
1 - 1
Sweden
Netherlands
5 - 1
Sweden
Sweden
5 - 1
Tunisia
Poland
0 - 0
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Poland
2 - 2
Nigeria
Poland
0 - 2
Ukraine
Sweden
3 - 2
Poland
Poland
2 - 1
Albania
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