Swindon vs Accrington Prediction & Tips | League Two | FootballTips.app
Swindon
HomeFull Time
1 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Saturday 26 September
Accrington
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
12.20
X3.38
22.98
Recommended Bet
cancel
Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.83Stake: High (8/10)
84
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #13 vs Away #22
Season: Home 1.43 PPG vs Away 0.86 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.35 PPG vs Away 0.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.67 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
51%
26%
23%
Swindon
Draw
Accrington
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.83 | 1.66 | 1.93 | +10.3% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.97 | 2.52 | 2.08 | -21.8% |
| Swindon Town Win | 2.19 | 1.96 | 2.37 | +11.7% |
| Draw | 3.62 | 3.87 | 3.91 | -6.6% |
| Accrington Stanley Win | 2.88 | 4.32 | 3.11 | -33.3% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.64 | 1.75 | 1.76 | -6.5% |
| BTTS - No | 2.15 | 2.33 | 2.31 | -7.6% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Swindon head into gameweek eight looking to avoid a fifth straight defeat in all competitions. The injury-hit Robins were beaten 1-0 by an in-form Salford City side last time out in League Two, and lost to Newport in the EFL Trophy in midweek.
Accrington Stanley picked up two points against Sunderland U21s in the EFL Trophy on Tuesday night, making it one defeat in five in all competitions for the Lancashire side. John Doolan's side sit 21st in the League Two standings ahead of their trip to the County Ground.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Swindon
Starting 11
-Connor Ripley
GK6.83
-Dan Butler
DL6.41
-Kaelan Majekodunmi
DC6.92
-Stephan Negru
DC7.28
-James Ball
DR6.46
-Jack Thomson
MC6.92
-Anthony Munda
MC6.30
-Ollie Clarke
MC6.64
-Paul Glatzel
FWL6.11
-Aaron Drinan
FW6.99
-Joseph Hungbo
FWR6.25
Accrington
Starting 11
-Louie Moulden
GK6.47
-Joe Anderson
DC6.77
-Séamus Conneely
DC6.65
-Devon Matthews
DC6.93
-Connor O'Brien
DML6.57
-Liam Coyle
MC6.69
-Stefan Mols
MC6.58
-Josh Woods
MC7.04
-Donald Love
DMR6.92
-Tyler Walton
FW6.74
-Charlie Caton
FW6.97
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 7 matchesSwindonvsAccrington
1.14Goals / Match1.43
1.57Conceded / Match1.86
1Clean Sheets1
3.00Shots on Target / Match4.71
43.6%Possession %47.0%
67.9%Pass Accuracy %63.8%
radarTeam Profile
Swindon
Accrington
sports_soccer
18Attack49
shield
56Defense37
swap_horiz
17Possession21
gps_fixed
80Efficiency66
auto_fix_high
17Creativity37
gavel
45Discipline13
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
8Goals Scored10
11Goals Conceded13
1Clean Sheets1
11Big Chances20
6Big Chances Missed10
0Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
58Total Shots96
21Shots on Target33
swap_horizPassing & Possession
43.6%Avg Possession47.0%
2,260Total Passes2,241
67.9%Pass Accuracy63.8%
shieldDefending
163Tackles112
76Interceptions62
30Saves25
51.3%Duels Won46.9%
gavelDiscipline
69Fouls120
15Yellow Cards21
1Red Cards1
16Offsides16
analyticsOther
27Corners25
31Successful Dribbles34
2Errors Leading to Goal0
7.20Avg Rating6.85
Statistical Comparison
SwindonMetricAccrington
8
Goals
10
4
Assists
5
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
27.3
Average Age
26.9
179.9
Average Height (cm)
182.6
0.8
Shots pg
1
51%
Aerial Duel Success
48%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.8
Tackles pg
1.3
history Recent Form
SwindonL
L
W
W
W
AccringtonL
L
L
L
L
group Head to Head
PL18 Apr 2026
2-2
PL18 Oct 2025
4-0
PL22 Mar 2025
0-0
PL30 Nov 2024
2-2
PL16 Nov 2024
2-2
91%
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
91%
10 / 11 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
91%
10 / 11 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
5 / 11 matches
Both Teams to Score
64%
7 / 11 matches
Swindon CS
18%
Clean Sheets
Accrington CS
27%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
18 Apr 2026
Swindon Town
2 - 2
Accrington Stanley
18 Oct 2025
Accrington Stanley
4 - 0
Swindon Town
22 Mar 2025
Swindon Town
0 - 0
Accrington Stanley
30 Nov 2024
Accrington Stanley
2 - 2
Swindon Town
16 Nov 2024
Accrington Stanley
2 - 2
Swindon Town
12 Mar 2024
Swindon Town
1 - 2
Accrington Stanley
28 Nov 2023
Accrington Stanley
3 - 4
Swindon Town
6 Mar 2021
Accrington Stanley
2 - 1
Swindon Town
17 Nov 2020
Swindon Town
0 - 3
Accrington Stanley
5 May 2018
Swindon Town
3 - 0
Accrington Stanley
6 Feb 2018
Accrington Stanley
2 - 1
Swindon Town
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
3.00
Form (Overall)
0.00
Swindon is +100% better in terms of Points Per Game
Swindon Town
0 - 2
Newport County
Swindon Town
1 - 2
Crystal Palace U21
Swindon Town
3 - 1
Colchester United
Swindon Town
3 - 1
Port Vale
Swindon Town
2 - 1
Cheltenham Town
Barnet
2 - 1
Accrington Stanley
Walsall
3 - 2
Accrington Stanley
Exeter City
2 - 0
Accrington Stanley
Crewe Alexandra
2 - 1
Accrington Stanley
Oldham Athletic
3 - 0
Accrington Stanley
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