Swindon vs Colchester Prediction & Tips | League Two | FootballTips.app
Swindon
HomeFull Time
3 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 5 September
Colchester
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.51
X3.33
22.59
Recommended Bet
check_circle
Home Win
Odds: 2.45Stake: Medium (8/10)
75
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #9 vs Away #8
Season: Home 0.80 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.83 PPG vs Away 1.67 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 1.20 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
45%
25%
30%
Swindon
Draw
Colchester
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.80 | 1.82 | — | -1.0% |
| Swindon Town Win | 2.45 | 2.23 | 2.65 | +10.1% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.94 | 3.73 | -12.5% |
| Colchester United Win | 2.61 | 3.37 | 2.82 | -22.5% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.61 | 1.82 | — | -11.6% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Late goals from Ben Middlemas and Louis Millard capped off an impressive comeback win for Swindon on Tuesday as the Robins beat Port Vale 3-1. Ian Holloway's side have won two of their last three League Two matches heading into gameweek five.
Colchester United's unbeaten start to the season came to an end in midweek as the Essex-based club were beaten 2-0 by league leaders Bristol Rovers. The visitors had won back-to-back matches before that defeat.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Swindon
Starting 11
-Connor Ripley
GK6.88
-Dan Butler
DL
-Kaelan Majekodunmi
DC7.05
-Stephan Negru
DC7.24
-Mitchell Clark
DR6.60
-Jack Thomson
MC6.31
-Anthony Munda
MC6.37
-Ollie Clarke
MC6.84
-Ben Middlemas
FWL6.66
-Aaron Drinan
FW6.74
-Ollie Palmer
FWR6.38
Colchester
Starting 11
-Thimothée Lo-Tutala
GK7.02
-Ellis Iandolo
DL7.06
-Sean Raggett
DC6.96
-Jack Tucker
DC7.27
-Kane Vincent-Young
DC6.90
-Rob Hunt
DR6.61
-Harry Anderson
ML6.84
-Paul Digby
MC6.72
-Jack Payne
MC6.72
-Oscar Thorn
MR7.08
-Kylian Kouassi
FW5.78
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 46 matchesSwindonvsColchester
1.52Goals / Match1.35
1.28Conceded / Match1.07
13Clean Sheets11
4.63Shots on Target / Match4.24
52.2%Possession %54.2%
70.7%Pass Accuracy %74.8%
radarTeam Profile
Swindon
Colchester
sports_soccer
42Attack43
shield
52Defense44
swap_horiz
32Possession45
gps_fixed
79Efficiency63
auto_fix_high
32Creativity39
gavel
53Discipline55
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
70Goals Scored62
59Goals Conceded49
13Clean Sheets11
100Big Chances115
60Big Chances Missed71
4Penalty Goals5
gps_fixedShooting
537Total Shots570
213Shots on Target195
swap_horizPassing & Possession
52.2%Avg Possession54.2%
17,440Total Passes18,836
70.7%Pass Accuracy74.8%
shieldDefending
805Tackles665
372Interceptions322
119Saves115
51.0%Duels Won50.3%
gavelDiscipline
472Fouls498
84Yellow Cards88
4Red Cards1
50Offsides92
analyticsOther
243Corners212
281Successful Dribbles340
5Errors Leading to Goal3
6.81Avg Rating6.84
Statistical Comparison
SwindonMetricColchester
5
Goals
4
3
Assists
4
6.6
Average Ratings
6.6
27.3
Average Age
27.9
181.2
Average Height (cm)
182.2
0.7
Shots pg
1.2
53%
Aerial Duel Success
55%
0.3
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.7
Tackles pg
1.2
history Recent Form
SwindonW
L
W
D
ColchesterL
W
W
D
group Head to Head
PL10 Apr 2026
3-0
PL25 Oct 2025
0-0
PL1 Jan 2025
3-2
PL3 Dec 2024
4-0
PL2 Nov 2024
2-1
59%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
22 / 32 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
19 / 32 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
8 / 32 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
16 / 32 matches
Swindon CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Colchester CS
38%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
10 Apr 2026
Colchester United
3 - 0
Swindon Town
25 Oct 2025
Swindon Town
0 - 0
Colchester United
1 Jan 2025
Swindon Town
3 - 2
Colchester United
3 Dec 2024
Colchester United
4 - 0
Swindon Town
2 Nov 2024
Swindon Town
2 - 1
Colchester United
6 Jan 2024
Swindon Town
2 - 2
Colchester United
7 Nov 2023
Colchester United
3 - 1
Swindon Town
1 Jan 2023
Colchester United
1 - 0
Swindon Town
15 Oct 2022
Swindon Town
1 - 0
Colchester United
29 Jan 2022
Colchester United
1 - 1
Swindon Town
30 Nov 2021
Swindon Town
1 - 2
Colchester United
25 Sept 2021
Swindon Town
0 - 0
Colchester United
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
0.80
Form (Overall)
1.40
Colchester is +75% better in terms of Points Per Game
Swindon Town
3 - 1
Port Vale
Oldham Athletic
3 - 0
Swindon Town
Swindon Town
2 - 1
Cheltenham Town
Northampton Town
0 - 0
Swindon Town
Bristol Rovers
2 - 0
Colchester United
Colchester United
1 - 0
Rochdale
Colchester United
2 - 1
Oldham Athletic
Accrington Stanley
2 - 2
Colchester United
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