Swindon vs Crewe Prediction & Tips | League Two | FootballTips.app

Swindon
HomeFull Time
1 - 2
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 21 February

Crewe
AwaySwindonTimelineCrewe
1st Half
Pond A.
27'
Thibaut A.Out: O'Reilly T.
sync_alt
37'
Holicek M. (Thibaut A.)
sports_soccer
45+2'
Drinan A.
45+3'
2nd Half
Palmer O.Out: Ball J.
sync_alt
52'
Olakigbe M.Out: Scanlon J.
sync_alt
53'
March J.Assist: Powell J.
sports_soccer
53'
Olakigbe M. (Holman F.)
sports_soccer
64'
McGregor J.Out: Nichols T.
sync_alt
68'
Mabete F.Out: Batty J.
sync_alt
79'
Hoilett J.Out: Snowdon J.
sync_alt
79'
Bogle O.Out: Thibaut A.
sync_alt
82'
Top stats
1.60Expected goals (xG)0.71
57%Ball possession43%
20Total shots7
3Shots on target2
2Big chances1
7Corner kicks6
72% (292/403)Passes67% (204/303)
1Yellow cards1
Shots
1.60Expected goals (xG)0.71
0.62xG on target (xGOT)1.67
20Total shots7
3Shots on target2
7Shots off target2
10Blocked shots3
10Shots inside the box3
10Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0
Attack
2Big chances1
7Corner kicks6
17Touches in opposition box12
0Accurate through passes1
2Offsides1
7Free kicks10
Passes
72% (292/403)Passes67% (204/303)
36% (27/75)Long passes40% (32/80)
58% (72/125)Passes in final third44% (48/110)
26% (6/23)Crosses36% (4/11)
1.20Expected assists (xA)0.61
39Throw ins19
Defense
10Fouls7
75% (18/24)Tackles68% (13/19)
50Duels won59
21Clearances51
7Interceptions15
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
0Goalkeeper saves2
1.67xGOT faced0.62
-0.33Goals prevented-0.38
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.92
X3.49
23.60
Recommended Bet
cancel
Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
89
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #2 vs Away #8
Season: Home 1.85 PPG vs Away 1.52 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.25 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.81 GPG vs Away 1.25 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
68%
Swindon Win
17%
Draw
15%
Crewe Win
Swindon
Draw
Crewe
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Swindon
Starting 11
23Aaron Drinan
CF7.09
30David Junior Hoilett
LW6.89
8Ollie Clarke
CM6.97
18Gavin Kilkenny
CM6.82
19Joseph Snowdon
6.69
24Fletcher Holman
6.74
25Aidan Borland
5.52
5Will Wright
RB6.04
22Jamie Knight-Lebel
6.85
26Jake Batty
6.73
1Connor Ripley
GK7.05
Substitutes
7Tom Nichols
CF6.74
28Ollie Palmer
CF6.94
29Michael Olakigbe
6.63
21James Scanlon
4.06
3Filozofe Mabete
4.69
34Billy Kirkman
3.90
-1Lewis Ward
GK
Crewe
Starting 11
17Matúš Holíček
6.64
18James Connolly
CDM6.57
19Owen Lunt
6.53
20Calum Agius
6.82
-1Jack Powell
CM4.76
26Tommi O'Reilly
6.87
29Adrien Thibaut
4.33
2Lewis Billington
6.82
3Reece Hutchinson
LB6.68
41Ian Lawlor
GK6.83
Substitutes
9Omar Bogle
ST5.44
24Josh March
6.93
14Charlie Finney
3.04
30Stan Dancey
32Luca Moore
2.43
5Mickey Demetriou
CB7.22
1Tom Booth
3.88
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 33 matchesSwindonvsCrewe
1.67Goals / Match1.45
1.15Conceded / Match1.18
11Clean Sheets6
4.91Shots on Target / Match3.76
52.9%Possession %48.9%
72.2%Pass Accuracy %70.8%
radarTeam Profile
Swindon
Crewe
sports_soccer
47Attack42
shield
58Defense40
swap_horiz
36Possession27
gps_fixed
82Efficiency64
auto_fix_high
36Creativity36
gavel
49Discipline51
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
55Goals Scored48
38Goals Conceded39
11Clean Sheets6
74Big Chances67
43Big Chances Missed43
3Penalty Goals3
gps_fixedShooting
404Total Shots395
162Shots on Target124
swap_horizPassing & Possession
52.9%Avg Possession48.9%
12,832Total Passes11,414
72.2%Pass Accuracy70.8%
shieldDefending
579Tackles503
280Interceptions214
81Saves101
51.7%Duels Won50.2%
gavelDiscipline
355Fouls394
65Yellow Cards61
3Red Cards1
34Offsides83
analyticsOther
169Corners159
209Successful Dribbles181
4Errors Leading to Goal7
6.86Avg Rating6.81
history Recent Form
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
D
W
group Head to Head
PL30 Aug 2025
0-3
PL11 Jan 2025
0-0
PL24 Aug 2024
0-0
PL13 Jan 2024
2-1
PL12 Aug 2023
2-2
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
19 / 24 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
17 / 24 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
9 / 24 matches
Both Teams to Score
58%
14 / 24 matches
Swindon CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Crewe CS
21%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
30 Aug 2025
Crewe Alexandra
0 - 3
Swindon Town
11 Jan 2025
Swindon Town
0 - 0
Crewe Alexandra
24 Aug 2024
Crewe Alexandra
0 - 0
Swindon Town
13 Jan 2024
Crewe Alexandra
2 - 1
Swindon Town
12 Aug 2023
Swindon Town
2 - 2
Crewe Alexandra
29 Apr 2023
Crewe Alexandra
2 - 1
Swindon Town
19 Nov 2022
Swindon Town
0 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
6 Nov 2021
Crewe Alexandra
0 - 3
Swindon Town
20 Feb 2021
Swindon Town
2 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
1 Dec 2020
Crewe Alexandra
4 - 2
Swindon Town
11 Jan 2020
Swindon Town
3 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
19 Oct 2019
Crewe Alexandra
3 - 1
Swindon Town
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.85
Form (Overall)
1.52
Swindon is +22% better in terms of Points Per Game
Barnet
1 - 2
Swindon Town
Shrewsbury Town
3 - 1
Swindon Town
Swindon Town
2 - 0
Newport County
Swindon Town
3 - 0
Oldham Athletic
Harrogate Town
0 - 1
Swindon Town
Crewe Alexandra
0 - 1
Fleetwood Town
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 0
Gillingham
Crawley Town
0 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
Barnet
1 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 0
Colchester United
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