Toluca vs Club Leon Prediction & Tips | Leagues Cup - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Toluca

Toluca

Home
Full Time
2 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Thursday 3 September
Club Leon

Club Leon

Away
TolucaTimelineClub Leon
1st Half
Gandolfi J.
18'
Martinez I.
26'
Bruno Mendez
39'
Guevara J.
39'
Pereira F. ()
sports_soccer
41'
Castro N.
44'
2nd Half
Dominguez Chonteco J. P.Out: Cortizo J.
sync_alt
53'
Moreno I.Out: Vegas S.
sync_alt
53'
Diaz Price J.Out: Vega A.
sync_alt
62'
Vinas F. (Diaz Price J.)
sports_soccer
69'
Alvarado A.Out: Beltran Cruz F.
sync_alt
73'
Diaz I.Out: Echeverria R.
sync_alt
73'
Barbosa D.Out: Garcia Caprizo B. A.
sync_alt
73'
Romana J.
75'
Romana J.
75'
Colula B.
75'
Arcila D.
80'
Bellon P.Out: Guevara J.
sync_alt
82'
Perez P.Out: Castro N.
sync_alt
84'
Arce F.Out: Gallardo J.
sync_alt
84'
Angulo J.Out: Helinho
sync_alt
84'
Bruno Mendez
89'

Top stats

3.96Expected goals (xG)0.66
56%Ball possession44%
21Total shots11
7Shots on target1
5Big chances0
4Corner kicks5
88% (419/476)Passes82% (303/368)
3Yellow cards5
1Red cards1

Shots

3.96Expected goals (xG)0.66
1.15xG on target (xGOT)0.05
21Total shots11
7Shots on target1
9Shots off target7
5Blocked shots3
13Shots inside the box6
8Shots outside the box5
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

5Big chances0
4Corner kicks5
29Touches in opposition box20
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides0
15Free kicks15

Passes

88% (419/476)Passes82% (303/368)
52% (23/44)Long passes48% (13/27)
79% (99/125)Passes in final third66% (61/92)
29% (5/17)Crosses45% (5/11)
2.10Expected assists (xA)0.80
13Throw ins18

Defense

15Fouls15
53% (8/15)Tackles80% (12/15)
48Duels won44
12Clearances15
13Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves4
0.05xGOT faced1.15
0.05Goals prevented-0.85
5Goal kicks10
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
11.76
X3.79
23.98

Recommended Bet

cancel
Away Win
Odds: 3.97Stake: Medium (6/10)
64
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.30 PPG vs Away 2.10 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.29 GPG vs Away 1.50 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.71 conc vs Away 1.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

45%
26%
29%
Toluca
Draw
Club Leon
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.701.79-4.9%
Toluca Win1.682.23-24.5%
Draw3.553.86-8.1%
León Win3.973.43+15.9%
BTTS - Yes1.721.79-4.0%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Toluca

Starting 11
9Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas
LW7.65
11Helio Junio Nunes de Castro
RW7.79
-Oswaldo Virgen (Injured)
LW
5Franco Agustín Romero
CDM7.07
7Víctor Alfonso Guzmán Guzmán
CAM5.12
29Jorge Roberto Díaz Price
CM6.96
6Federico Pereira
CB7.22
13Luan
CB6.82
25Everardo López
CB3.46
-Sebastián Aceves Córdova
RB
1Hugo Alfonso González Durán
GK6.67
Substitutes
15Pavel Uriel Pérez Hernández
LW5.08
16Federico Sebastián Viñas Barboza
CF7.31
8Nicolás Castro
CAM6.89
24Fernando David Arce Juárez
CDM6.44
-Jose Estrada
-Antonio Briseño Vázquez
CB
4Bruno Méndez Cittadini
CB7.08
20Jesús Daniel Gallardo Vasconcelos
LB7.83
-Luis Gabriel Navarrete Torres
-Ronaldo Beltrán Dimas

Club Leon

Starting 11
8Juan Pablo Domínguez Chonteco
6.86
11Ismael Díaz
LW6.65
27Diber Cambindo
CF7.59
6Fernandoz Beltrán Cru
CM7.56
20Rodrigo Eduardo Echeverría Sáez
CDM6.73
203Jesús Aldair Lara Sánchez
3Juan José Guevara Possu
CB7.06
5Sebastián Ignacio Vegas Orellana
CB6.67
7Iván Jared Moreno Füguemann
RB6.93
-Paul Bellón Saracho
CB
23Oscar García
GK7.51
Substitutes
16Jordi Cortizo de la Piedra
RW6.99
19José Alfonso Alvarado Pérez
CF6.54
13Daniel Arcila
CAM7.51
-Sebastián Emiliano Fierro González
CDM
29José Iván Rodríguez Rebollar
CDM6.70
4Bryan Colula Alarcón
RB6.68
22Sebastian Santos
RB6.58
-Salvador Reyes Chávez
LB
185Christopher Kevin Mora Espinoza
6.35
-Irving Gutiérrez
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 5 / 17 matches
TolucavsClub Leon
2.00Goals / Match0.82
0.60Conceded / Match1.82
2Clean Sheets4

radarTeam Profile

Toluca
Club Leon
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
28Attack19
shield
46Defense41
swap_horiz
24Possession58
gps_fixed
50Efficiency45
auto_fix_high
0Creativity13
gavel
42Discipline37

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

10Goals Scored14
3Goals Conceded31
2Clean Sheets4
2Penalty Goals4

gavelDiscipline

10Yellow Cards39
1Red Cards2

League Standings Context

For Toluca

PosTeamPWDLPts
2Club América32107
3Deportivo Toluca32016
4CF Monterrey32016

For Club Leon

PosTeamPWDLPts
1Club León33009
2Club América32107

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

43.2/ 94.4
Dangerous Attacks
36.0/ 82.9
34.0%
Shots on Target
34.0%
17.4
Total Shots
13.0
59.0%
Possession
51.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.0
Goals Scored / Match
1.2
0.9
Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

Head-to-Head Summary

3
Toluca Wins
50%
2
Draws
33%
1
Club Leon Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketTolucaClub Leon
Over 1.5 Goals
75%44/59
59%35/59
Over 2.5 Goals
56%33/59
41%24/59
Both Teams to Score
51%30/59
39%23/59
* Based on last 59 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Toluca

Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
4 - 0
FC Juárez
LC
Deportivo Toluca
2 - 0
Austin FC
LC
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 1
FC Dallas
LC
Deportivo Toluca
0 - 1
Los Angeles FC
LC
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 0
Seattle Sounders
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 1
Club Necaxa

Home Games: Toluca

Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
4 - 0
FC Juárez
LC
Deportivo Toluca
2 - 0
Austin FC
LC
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 1
FC Dallas
LC
Deportivo Toluca
0 - 1
Los Angeles FC
LC
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 0
Seattle Sounders
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 1
Club Necaxa

Last 6: Club Leon

Mx1
Atlante FC
1 - 1
Club León
Mx1
Club Necaxa
1 - 2
Club León
LC
Inter Miami CF
2 - 3
Club León
LC
Orlando City SC
1 - 2
Club León
LC
Nashville SC
0 - 1
Club León
Mx1
Club Tijuana
1 - 0
Club León

Away Games: Club Leon

Mx1
Atlante FC
1 - 1
Club León
Mx1
Club Necaxa
1 - 2
Club León
LC
Inter Miami CF
2 - 3
Club León
LC
Orlando City SC
1 - 2
Club León
LC
Nashville SC
0 - 1
Club León
Mx1
Club Tijuana
1 - 0
Club León

history Recent Form

TolucaToluca
2.2 GPG
W
W
D
W
L
Club LeonClub Leon
2.2 GPG
D
W
W
W
L

group Head to Head

PL26 Apr 2026
Toluca
4-1
León
PL5 Oct 2025
León
2-4
Toluca
PL9 Feb 2025
León
3-3
Toluca
PL2 Nov 2024
Toluca
2-2
León
PL3 Feb 2024
Toluca
4-1
León
74%
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
81%
25 / 31 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
23 / 31 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
55%
17 / 31 matches
Both Teams to Score
74%
23 / 31 matches
Toluca CS
10%
Clean Sheets
Club Leon CS
23%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

26 Apr 2026
Toluca
4 - 1
León
5 Oct 2025
León
2 - 4
Toluca
9 Feb 2025
León
3 - 3
Toluca
2 Nov 2024
Toluca
2 - 2
León
3 Feb 2024
Toluca
4 - 1
León
22 Oct 2023
León
1 - 0
Toluca
29 Jan 2023
Toluca
0 - 0
León
27 Jul 2022
León
0 - 1
Toluca
2 May 2022
León
4 - 4
Toluca
31 Oct 2021
Toluca
0 - 0
León
10 May 2021
León
2 - 2
Toluca
5 Apr 2021
León
2 - 1
Toluca

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Toluca
2.20
Form (Overall)
Club Leon
2.20

Both teams have equal form.

Toluca
4 - 0
Juárez
Querétaro
1 - 2
Toluca
Atlante
0 - 0
Toluca
Toluca
3 - 1
Necaxa
Toluca
1 - 2
Pumas UNAM
Atlante
1 - 1
León
León
2 - 0
Monterrey
Necaxa
1 - 2
León
León
1 - 0
Pachuca
Tijuana
1 - 0
León

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