Toluca vs Club Tijuana Prediction & Tips | Liga MX - Clausura | FootballTips.app
Toluca
HomeFull Time
1 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 14 February
Club Tijuana
AwayTolucaTimelineClub Tijuana
1st Half
PaulinhoAssist: Ruiz M.
sports_soccer
21'
Simon S.
30'
Ortiz Orozco P. N.
31'
Arciga R.
38'
2nd Half
Gomez A.Out: Arciga R.
sync_alt
46'
Blanco D.Out: Rivero I.
sync_alt
46'
Barbosa D.Out: Diaz J.
sync_alt
62'
Ruiz M.
66'
Cordova S.Out: Angulo J.
sync_alt
75'
Abreu D.Out: Preciado A.
sync_alt
76'
Vega A.Out: Ortiz Orozco P. N.
sync_alt
76'
LuanOut: Perez P.
sync_alt
83'
Martinez J.Out: El Ghezouani M.
sync_alt
84'
Blanco D.
90+7'
Top stats
1.87Expected goals (xG)0.33
58%Ball possession42%
12Total shots7
4Shots on target3
3Big chances0
4Corner kicks4
88% (439/501)Passes84% (297/355)
3Yellow cards3
Shots
1.87Expected goals (xG)0.33
0.94xG on target (xGOT)0.75
12Total shots7
4Shots on target3
5Shots off target2
3Blocked shots2
6Shots inside the box1
6Shots outside the box6
1Hit the woodwork0
Attack
3Big chances0
4Corner kicks4
24Touches in opposition box8
0Accurate through passes0
4Offsides2
15Free kicks10
Passes
88% (439/501)Passes84% (297/355)
63% (20/32)Long passes55% (22/40)
75% (97/130)Passes in final third63% (32/51)
23% (5/22)Crosses19% (3/16)
1.18Expected assists (xA)0.28
17Throw ins15
Defense
10Fouls15
64% (9/14)Tackles74% (14/19)
42Duels won41
18Clearances24
5Interceptions14
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
3Goalkeeper saves4
0.75xGOT faced0.94
0.75Goals prevented-0.06
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.28
X5.70
29.27
Recommended Bet
cancel
Away Win
Stake: High (9/10)
85
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 34% on target vs Away 35% on target
Standings: Home GD +3 (9pts) vs Away GD +1 (7pts)
Sofascore Stats: Away superiority - Best: Defense (+39), Attack (+22)
donut_small Win Probabilities
16%
Toluca Win
20%
Draw
64%
Club Tijuana Win
Toluca
Draw
Club Tijuana
Match Preview
Deportivo Toluca will take on Club Tijuana in a Liga MX clash at Estadio Nemesio Diez on February 14, 2026, GMT.
Deportivo Toluca, currently in 6th place with 9 points, will face Club Tijuana, who sits in 10th place with 7 points.
Deportivo Toluca has been consistent with 16 wins in 28 matches, while Club Tijuana has struggled on the road, losing 4 of their last 6 away matches in Liga MX.
In their recent head-to-head history, Deportivo Toluca has won 50% of their last 6 Liga MX matches against Club Tijuana.
With the statistical data pointing towards a competitive but low-scoring encounter, the model predicts under 2.5 goals to be scored.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 8 / 5 matchesTolucavsClub Tijuana
2.50Goals / Match1.00
1.25Conceded / Match0.80
3Clean Sheets2
radarTeam Profile
Toluca
Club Tijuana
sports_soccer
38Attack16
shield
36Defense75
swap_horiz
24Possession51
gps_fixed
50Efficiency57
auto_fix_high
0Creativity8
gavel
40Discipline34
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
20Goals Scored5
10Goals Conceded4
3Clean Sheets2
1Penalty Goals1
gavelDiscipline
15Yellow Cards13
2Red Cards0
League Standings Context
For Toluca
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Deportivo Toluca | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Pachuca CF | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
For Club Tijuana
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | CF Monterrey | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Club Necaxa | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
39.1/ 80.6
Dangerous Attacks
36.4/ 78.7
34.0%
Shots on Target
35.0%
16.7
Total Shots
11.6
57.0%
Possession
47.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
2.0
Goals Scored / Match
1.6
0.9
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3
Head-to-Head Summary
3
Toluca Wins
50%
2
Draws
33%
1
Club Tijuana Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Toluca | Club Tijuana |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68%19/28 | 71%20/28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54%15/28 | 46%13/28 |
| Both Teams to Score | 54%15/28 | 43%12/28 |
* Based on last 28 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Toluca
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
1 - 1
Cruz Azul
Mx1
Puebla FC
0 - 0
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
Tigres UANL
0 - 0
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 1
Santos Laguna
Mx1
CF Monterrey
0 - 1
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
2 - 1
Tigres UANL
Home Games: Toluca
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
1 - 1
Cruz Azul
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 1
Santos Laguna
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
2 - 1
Tigres UANL
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 2
CF Monterrey
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
0 - 0
FC Juárez
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
2 - 0
Club América
Last 6: Club Tijuana
Mx1
Club Tijuana
0 - 0
Puebla FC
Mx1
CF Monterrey
2 - 2
Club Tijuana
Mx1
Club Tijuana
1 - 1
Atlético San Luis
Mx1
Querétaro FC
1 - 2
Club Tijuana
Mx1
Club Tijuana
0 - 0
Club América
Mx1
Tigres UANL
5 - 0
Club Tijuana
Away Games: Club Tijuana
Mx1
CF Monterrey
2 - 2
Club Tijuana
Mx1
Querétaro FC
1 - 2
Club Tijuana
Mx1
Tigres UANL
5 - 0
Club Tijuana
Mx1
UNAM Pumas
4 - 1
Club Tijuana
Mx1
Tigres UANL
2 - 0
Club Tijuana
Mx1
Puebla FC
4 - 3
Club Tijuana
Weekly Newsletter
Subscribe for Betting Tips
Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.
Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.
Free Weekly Tips
Value Opportunities