Toluca

Toluca

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 1 - 0
Sunday 8 February
Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul

Away
TolucaTimelineCruz Azul
1st Half
Paulinho (Gallardo J.)
sports_soccer
41'
2nd Half
Rodarte J.Out: Campos O.
sync_alt
46'
Perez P.Out: Castro N.
sync_alt
53'
Ebere C.Out: Levy M.
sync_alt
64'
Romero L.Out: Rodriguez C.
sync_alt
73'
Morales A.Out: Marquez J.
sync_alt
73'
Cordova S.Out: Angulo J.
sync_alt
75'
Barbosa D.Out: Simon S.
sync_alt
75'
Romero L.
76'
Paradela J.
sports_soccer
77'
Garcia A.Out: Paradela J.
sync_alt
82'
Rossi F.Out: Romero F.
sync_alt
88'

Top stats

2.20Expected goals (xG)0.78
55%Ball possession45%
15Total shots9
6Shots on target3
5Big chances2
6Corner kicks1
82% (346/421)Passes76% (255/335)
0Yellow cards1

Shots

2.20Expected goals (xG)0.78
1.74xG on target (xGOT)0.95
15Total shots9
6Shots on target3
7Shots off target3
2Blocked shots3
10Shots inside the box5
5Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

5Big chances2
6Corner kicks1
18Touches in opposition box9
1Accurate through passes0
3Offsides1
13Free kicks15

Passes

82% (346/421)Passes76% (255/335)
49% (34/69)Long passes34% (17/50)
71% (70/98)Passes in final third66% (79/119)
50% (6/12)Crosses11% (2/18)
1.42Expected assists (xA)0.33
20Throw ins30

Defense

15Fouls13
56% (9/16)Tackles50% (5/10)
44Duels won36
23Clearances14
9Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves5
0.95xGOT faced1.74
-0.05Goals prevented0.74
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
11.77
X3.85
24.19

Recommended Bet

Draw
Stake: Medium (5/10)
53
Opp. Value

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 33% on target vs Away 34% on target
Standings: Home GD +3 (8pts) vs Away GD +3 (9pts)
➡️ MID OPPORTUNITY (53)

donut_small Win Probabilities

29%
45%
26%
Toluca
Draw
Cruz Azul

Match Preview

Deportivo Toluca will take on Cruz Azul at Estadio Nemesio Diez in a Liga MX encounter on February 8, 2026.

Deportivo Toluca, situated in 5th place, will challenge 2nd-placed Cruz Azul.

With Deportivo Toluca holding 8 points and Cruz Azul with 9 points, both teams will strive to secure a pivotal victory in the league.

Statistically, Deportivo Toluca has been formidable at home this season, garnering 9 wins in 13 matches.

In contrast, Cruz Azul has shown resilience on the road, recording 3 draws in their last 6 away fixtures across all leagues.

Our algorithm predicts that Cruz Azul will emerge triumphant with a 1-2 scoreline.

League Standings Context

For Toluca

PosTeamPWDLPts
5UNAM Pumas42208
6Deportivo Toluca42208
7CF Monterrey42117

For Cruz Azul

PosTeamPWDLPts
2Tigres UANL531110
3Cruz Azul43019
4Club Atlas43019

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

39.8/ 80.5
Dangerous Attacks
47.3/ 98.9
33.0%
Shots on Target
34.0%
16.7
Total Shots
17.5
57.0%
Possession
58.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.0
Goals Scored / Match
1.9
0.9
Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Toluca Wins
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Cruz Azul Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketTolucaCruz Azul
Over 1.5 Goals
67%18/27
78%21/27
Over 2.5 Goals
56%15/27
52%14/27
Both Teams to Score
52%14/27
59%16/27
* Based on last 27 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Toluca

Mx1
Puebla FC
0 - 0
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
Tigres UANL
0 - 0
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 1
Santos Laguna
Mx1
CF Monterrey
0 - 1
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
2 - 1
Tigres UANL
Mx1
Tigres UANL
1 - 0
Deportivo Toluca

Home Games: Toluca

Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 1
Santos Laguna
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
2 - 1
Tigres UANL
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 2
CF Monterrey
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
0 - 0
FC Juárez
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
2 - 0
Club América
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
2 - 2
Pachuca CF

Last 6: Cruz Azul

CNL
Vancouver FC
0 - 3
Cruz Azul
Mx1
FC Juárez
3 - 4
Cruz Azul
Mx1
Cruz Azul
1 - 0
Puebla FC
Mx1
Cruz Azul
2 - 0
Club Atlas
Mx1
Club León
2 - 1
Cruz Azul
Mx1
Tigres UANL
1 - 1
Cruz Azul

Away Games: Cruz Azul

CNL
Vancouver FC
0 - 3
Cruz Azul
Mx1
FC Juárez
3 - 4
Cruz Azul
Mx1
Club León
2 - 1
Cruz Azul
Mx1
Tigres UANL
1 - 1
Cruz Azul
Mx1
Guadalajara Chivas
0 - 0
Cruz Azul
Mx1
Puebla FC
0 - 3
Cruz Azul

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