Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction & Tips | Liga MX - Clausura | FootballTips.app
Toluca
HomeFull Time
2 - 0
HT: 2 - 0
Sunday 1 March
Guadalajara Chivas
AwayTolucaTimelineGuadalajara Chivas
1st Half
Gallardo J.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
5'
Romero F.
13'
Diaz J. (Paulinho)
sports_soccer
16'
Gutierrez B.Out: Romo L.
sync_alt
40'
Barbosa D.
45+7'
2nd Half
del Villar E.Out: Simon S.
sync_alt
46'
Sandoval S.Out: Castillo J.
sync_alt
46'
Sepulveda A.Out: Alvarez E.
sync_alt
46'
Camberos H.Out: Ledezma R.
sync_alt
46'
Gallardo J.
51'
Gonzalez F.
53'
Marin R.Out: Gonzalez A.
sync_alt
60'
Aguirre D.
64'
Sepulveda A.
67'
HelinhoOut: Diaz J.
sync_alt
71'
Perez P.Out: Angulo J.
sync_alt
75'
Ruiz M.
90+2'
LuanOut: Gallardo J.
sync_alt
90+3'
Arce F.Out: Ruiz M.
sync_alt
90+4'
Top stats
1.41Expected goals (xG)0.66
46%Ball possession54%
12Total shots10
5Shots on target4
2Big chances1
2Corner kicks4
79% (279/353)Passes82% (337/410)
4Yellow cards3
Shots
1.41Expected goals (xG)0.66
1.71xG on target (xGOT)0.26
12Total shots10
5Shots on target4
6Shots off target2
1Blocked shots4
10Shots inside the box2
2Shots outside the box8
0Hit the woodwork0
Attack
2Big chances1
2Corner kicks4
21Touches in opposition box15
0Accurate through passes0
3Offsides5
15Free kicks19
Passes
79% (279/353)Passes82% (337/410)
44% (31/71)Long passes51% (24/47)
64% (67/104)Passes in final third69% (73/106)
50% (3/6)Crosses13% (2/15)
1.07Expected assists (xA)0.77
21Throw ins19
Defense
19Fouls15
67% (16/24)Tackles68% (15/22)
57Duels won55
11Clearances11
12Interceptions9
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
4Goalkeeper saves3
0.26xGOT faced1.71
0.26Goals prevented-0.29
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.00
X3.41
23.69
Recommended Bet
Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 33% on target vs Away 31% on target
Standings: Home GD +7 (15pts) vs Away GD +6 (18pts)
Sofascore Stats: Away superiority - Best: Creativity (+60), Attack (+34)
donut_small Win Probabilities
0%
Toluca Win
0%
Draw
99%
Guadalajara Chivas Win
Toluca
Draw
Guadalajara Chivas
Match Preview
At the Estadio Nemesio Díez on March 01, 2026 GMT, Deportivo Toluca will go head-to-head against Guadalajara Chivas in a Liga MX showdown.
Deportivo Toluca holds the 4th position in the league with 15 points, while Guadalajara Chivas leads the standings with 18 points.
In their statistical records, Deportivo Toluca has clinched 10 victories in 15 home matches in the league, showcasing their strength at their venue.
On the flip side, Guadalajara Chivas has shown dominance with 4 wins in their last 6 away matches, indicating their prowess on the road.
With Guadalajara Chivas positioned as the top team and boasting strong away form, our algorithm predicts Guadalajara Chivas to secure a 0-2 victory in this fixture.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 10 / 7 matchesTolucavsGuadalajara Chivas
radarTeam Profile
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
sports_soccer
32Attack66
shield
40Defense57
swap_horiz
24Possession69
gps_fixed
50Efficiency67
auto_fix_high
0Creativity60
gavel
40Discipline46
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
22Goals Scored12
11Goals Conceded6
4Clean Sheets3
1Penalty Goals1
gavelDiscipline
16Yellow Cards16
3Red Cards0
League Standings Context
For Toluca
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 | Deportivo Toluca | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 | Pachuca CF | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
For Guadalajara Chivas
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
| 2 | UNAM Pumas | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
39.7/ 82.2
Dangerous Attacks
40.7/ 88.4
33.0%
Shots on Target
31.0%
16.6
Total Shots
14.3
57.0%
Possession
55.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
2.0
Goals Scored / Match
1.6
0.9
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2
Head-to-Head Summary
2
Toluca Wins
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Guadalajara Chivas Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Toluca | Guadalajara Chivas |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67%20/30 | 60%18/30 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53%16/30 | 50%15/30 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50%15/30 | 47%14/30 |
* Based on last 30 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Toluca
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
1 - 0
Club Tijuana
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
1 - 1
Cruz Azul
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 1
Santos Laguna
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
2 - 1
Tigres UANL
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 2
CF Monterrey
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
0 - 0
FC Juárez
Home Games: Toluca
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
1 - 0
Club Tijuana
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
1 - 1
Cruz Azul
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 1
Santos Laguna
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
2 - 1
Tigres UANL
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 2
CF Monterrey
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
0 - 0
FC Juárez
Last 6: Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Cruz Azul
2 - 1
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Mazatlan FC
1 - 2
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Atlético San Luis
2 - 3
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
FC Juárez
0 - 1
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Cruz Azul
3 - 2
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Pachuca CF
0 - 1
Guadalajara Chivas
Away Games: Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Cruz Azul
2 - 1
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Mazatlan FC
1 - 2
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Atlético San Luis
2 - 3
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
FC Juárez
0 - 1
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Cruz Azul
3 - 2
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Pachuca CF
0 - 1
Guadalajara Chivas
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.00
X3.41
23.69
Recommended Bet
Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 33% on target vs Away 31% on target
Standings: Home GD +7 (15pts) vs Away GD +6 (18pts)
Sofascore Stats: Away superiority - Best: Creativity (+60), Attack (+34)
Match Preview
At the Estadio Nemesio Díez on March 01, 2026 GMT, Deportivo Toluca will go head-to-head against Guadalajara Chivas in a Liga MX showdown.
Deportivo Toluca holds the 4th position in the league with 15 points, while Guadalajara Chivas leads the standings with 18 points.
In their statistical records, Deportivo Toluca has clinched 10 victories in 15 home matches in the league, showcasing their strength at their venue.
On the flip side, Guadalajara Chivas has shown dominance with 4 wins in their last 6 away matches, indicating their prowess on the road.
With Guadalajara Chivas positioned as the top team and boasting strong away form, our algorithm predicts Guadalajara Chivas to secure a 0-2 victory in this fixture.
League Standings Context
For Toluca
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 | Deportivo Toluca | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 | Pachuca CF | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
For Guadalajara Chivas
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
| 2 | UNAM Pumas | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
Team Performance (Avg)
2.0
Goals Scored / Match
1.6
0.9
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Toluca | Guadalajara Chivas |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67%20/30 | 60%18/30 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53%16/30 | 50%15/30 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50%15/30 | 47%14/30 |
* Based on last 30 matches
donut_small Win Probabilities
0%
Toluca Win
0%
Draw
99%
Guadalajara Chivas Win
Toluca
Draw
Guadalajara Chivas
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 10 / 7 matchesTolucavsGuadalajara Chivas
radarTeam Profile
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
sports_soccer
32Attack66
shield
40Defense57
swap_horiz
24Possession69
gps_fixed
50Efficiency67
auto_fix_high
0Creativity60
gavel
40Discipline46
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
22Goals Scored12
11Goals Conceded6
4Clean Sheets3
1Penalty Goals1
gavelDiscipline
16Yellow Cards16
3Red Cards0
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
39.7/ 82.2
Dangerous Attacks
40.7/ 88.4
33.0%
Shots on Target
31.0%
16.6
Total Shots
14.3
57.0%
Possession
55.0%
Head-to-Head Summary
2
Toluca Wins
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Guadalajara Chivas Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Past Matches
Last 6: Toluca
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
1 - 0
Club Tijuana
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
1 - 1
Cruz Azul
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 1
Santos Laguna
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
2 - 1
Tigres UANL
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 2
CF Monterrey
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
0 - 0
FC Juárez
Home Games: Toluca
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
1 - 0
Club Tijuana
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
1 - 1
Cruz Azul
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 1
Santos Laguna
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
2 - 1
Tigres UANL
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
3 - 2
CF Monterrey
Mx1
Deportivo Toluca
0 - 0
FC Juárez
Last 6: Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Cruz Azul
2 - 1
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Mazatlan FC
1 - 2
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Atlético San Luis
2 - 3
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
FC Juárez
0 - 1
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Cruz Azul
3 - 2
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Pachuca CF
0 - 1
Guadalajara Chivas
Away Games: Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Cruz Azul
2 - 1
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Mazatlan FC
1 - 2
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Atlético San Luis
2 - 3
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
FC Juárez
0 - 1
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Cruz Azul
3 - 2
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Pachuca CF
0 - 1
Guadalajara Chivas
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