Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction & Tips | Leagues Cup - Play Offs

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Toluca

Home

Full Time

2 - 0

HT: 1 - 0

Monday 7 September

Monterrey

Away

TolucaTimelineMonterrey

1st Half

Pereira F.

Vega A. ()

sports_soccer

Pineda O.

13'

Romero F.

38'

2nd Half

Diaz Price J.Out: Angulo J.

sync_alt

61'

Barbosa D.Out: Garcia Caprizo B. A.

sync_alt

61'

Guzman V.Out: Vega A.

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68'

LuanOut: Castro N.

sync_alt

68'

Helinho

sports_soccer

70'

Barbosa D.

74'

Djurdjevic U.Out: Chavez R.

sync_alt

75'

Orellano L.Out: Torres O.

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75'

PaulinhoOut: Helinho

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78'

Fimbres I.Out: Pineda O.

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88'

Ambriz F.Out: Corona J.

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88'

Cuypers H.

90'

Top stats

2.29Expected goals (xG)1.07

48%Ball possession52%

8Total shots14

5Shots on target2

3Big chances0

2Corner kicks14

79% (261/332)Passes85% (270/318)

3Yellow cards2

Shots

2.29Expected goals (xG)1.07

1.98xG on target (xGOT)0.14

8Total shots14

5Shots on target2

2Shots off target8

1Blocked shots4

5Shots inside the box11

3Shots outside the box3

1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

3Big chances0

2Corner kicks14

10Touches in opposition box34

0Accurate through passes0

1Offsides2

14Free kicks19

Passes

79% (261/332)Passes85% (270/318)

58% (46/79)Long passes51% (24/47)

58% (47/81)Passes in final third75% (85/114)

50% (2/4)Crosses23% (10/44)

0.28Expected assists (xA)1.41

16Throw ins25

Defense

19Fouls14

86% (18/21)Tackles80% (12/15)

47Duels won51

43Clearances15

4Interceptions5

0Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves3

0.14xGOT faced1.98

0.14Goals prevented-0.02

8Goal kicks2

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

12.06

X3.32

23.35

Recommended Bet

check_circle

Home Win

Odds: 2.25Stake: High (9/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 1.60 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.30 PPG vs Away 1.05 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 2.25 GPG vs Away 1.40 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 0.63 conc vs Away 1.40 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

54%

24%

22%

Toluca

Draw

Monterrey

payments

Value Comparison

Outcome	Market Odds	True Odds (AI)	Fair Odds	Value
Over 2.5 Goals	1.65	1.89	—	-12.6%
Toluca Win	2.25	1.86	2.31	+20.8%
Draw	3.65	4.12	3.75	-11.4%
Monterrey Win	3.24	4.53	3.33	-28.5%
BTTS - Yes	1.55	1.79	—	-13.5%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 5 matches

TolucavsMonterrey

2.00Goals / Match3.00

0.60Conceded / Match1.20

2Clean Sheets1

radarTeam Profile

Toluca

Monterrey

sports_soccer

28Attack38

shield

46Defense25

swap_horiz

24Possession24

gps_fixed

50Efficiency50

auto_fix_high

0Creativity0

gavel

42Discipline63

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

10Goals Scored15

3Goals Conceded6

2Clean Sheets1

2Penalty Goals4

gavelDiscipline

10Yellow Cards3

1Red Cards1

League Standings Context

For Toluca

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
2	Club América	3	2	1	0	7
3	Deportivo Toluca	3	2	0	1	6
4	CF Monterrey	3	2	0	1	6

For Monterrey

Pos	Team	P	W	L	Pts
3	Deportivo Toluca	3	2	1	6
4	CF Monterrey	3	2	1	6
5	Cruz Azul	3	2	1	6

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

42.5/ 92.8

Dangerous Attacks

38.8/ 84.4

34.0%

Shots on Target

36.0%

17.1

Total Shots

14.2

59.0%

Possession

56.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.0

Goals Scored / Match

1.7

0.9

Goals Conceded / Match

1.5

Head-to-Head Summary

Toluca Wins

67%

Draws

Monterrey Wins

33%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

Market	Toluca	Monterrey
Over 1.5 Goals	75%45/60	73%44/60
Over 2.5 Goals	55%33/60	53%32/60
Both Teams to Score	50%30/60	53%32/60

* Based on last 60 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Toluca

Home Games: Toluca

Last 6: Monterrey

Away Games: Monterrey

history Recent Form

Toluca

2.2 GPG

Monterrey

1.6 GPG

group Head to Head

PL11 Jan 2026

0-1

PL7 Dec 2025

3-2

PL4 Dec 2025

1-0

PL25 Sept 2025

6-2

PL11 May 2025

2-1

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

69%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

81%

26 / 32 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

53%

17 / 32 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

31%

10 / 32 matches

Both Teams to Score

69%

22 / 32 matches

Toluca CS

22%

Clean Sheets

Monterrey CS

13%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

11 Jan 2026

Monterrey

0 - 1

Toluca

7 Dec 2025

Toluca

3 - 2

Monterrey

4 Dec 2025

Monterrey

1 - 0

Toluca

25 Sept 2025

Toluca

6 - 2

Monterrey

11 May 2025

Toluca

2 - 1

Monterrey

8 May 2025

Monterrey

3 - 2

Toluca

19 Jan 2025

Toluca

1 - 1

Monterrey

1 Sept 2024

Monterrey

1 - 2

Toluca

19 Feb 2024

Monterrey

0 - 0

Toluca

31 Aug 2023

Toluca

1 - 0

Monterrey

6 Feb 2023

Monterrey

2 - 1

Toluca

18 Aug 2022

Toluca

1 - 1

Monterrey

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

2.20

Form (Overall)

1.60

Toluca is +38% better in terms of Points Per Game

Toluca

4 - 0

Juárez

Querétaro

1 - 2

Toluca

Atlante

0 - 0

Toluca

3 - 1

Necaxa

Toluca

1 - 2

Pumas UNAM

Monterrey

1 - 3

Atlético San Luis

León

2 - 0

Monterrey

6 - 1

Juárez

Atlas

0 - 2

Monterrey

Necaxa

2 - 1

Monterrey

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Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction & Tips | Leagues Cup - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Toluca

Monterrey

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Recommended Bet

Key Factors

donut_small Win Probabilities

Value Comparison

compareTeam Comparison

radarTeam Profile

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

gavelDiscipline

League Standings Context

For Toluca

For Monterrey

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

Team Performance (Avg)

Head-to-Head Summary

Recent Form Stats

Past Matches

Last 6: Toluca

Home Games: Toluca

Last 6: Monterrey

Away Games: Monterrey

history Recent Form

group Head to Head

Head-to-Head Detailed

Recent Matches

Current Form Comparison

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