Toluca vs Pachuca Prediction & Tips | Liga MX - Clausura - Play Offs

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Toluca

Home

Full Time

0 - 1

HT: 0 - 1

Monday 4 May

Pachuca

Away

TolucaTimelinePachuca

1st Half

Valencia E.Assist: Montiel E.

sports_soccer

Bautista A.

41'

2nd Half

PaulinhoOut: Cordova S.

sync_alt

60'

Castro N.Out: Angulo J.

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60'

Simon S.Out: Barbosa D.

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60'

Dominguez A.Out: Idrissi O.

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64'

Lopez R.Out: Sanchez C.

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75'

Rossi F.Out: Perez P.

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75'

Alvarez A.

76'

Isais M.Out: Alvarez A.

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82'

Rodriguez S.Out: Montiel E.

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90'

Berlanga J.Out: Kenedy

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90'

Rodriguez S.

90+7'

Top stats

0.64Expected goals (xG)1.27

72%Ball possession28%

16Total shots15

4Shots on target6

0Big chances4

10Corner kicks4

89% (536/600)Passes71% (170/240)

1Yellow cards2

Shots

0.64Expected goals (xG)1.27

0.23xG on target (xGOT)1.63

16Total shots15

4Shots on target6

10Shots off target5

2Blocked shots4

7Shots inside the box10

9Shots outside the box5

1Hit the woodwork1

Attack

0Big chances4

10Corner kicks4

18Touches in opposition box19

0Accurate through passes1

2Offsides1

14Free kicks10

Passes

89% (536/600)Passes71% (170/240)

43% (17/40)Long passes38% (20/53)

81% (133/165)Passes in final third68% (54/79)

20% (8/41)Crosses43% (3/7)

0.89Expected assists (xA)0.99

18Throw ins23

Defense

10Fouls14

55% (6/11)Tackles67% (8/12)

37Duels won42

14Clearances38

13Interceptions5

2Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

5Goalkeeper saves4

1.63xGOT faced0.23

0.63Goals prevented0.23

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AI Prediction

verified Low Confidence

11.80

X3.82

24.09

Recommended Bet

Away Win

Stake: Medium (5/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.93 PPG vs Away 1.56 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.05 PPG vs Away 1.35 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 2.40 GPG vs Away 1.33 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 1.05 conc vs Away 1.33 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

36%

25%

39%

Toluca

Draw

Pachuca

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 18 matches

TolucavsPachuca

radarTeam Profile

Toluca

Pachuca

sports_soccer

32Attack38

shield

22Defense45

swap_horiz

24Possession24

gps_fixed

50Efficiency50

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0Creativity0

gavel

52Discipline70

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

40Goals Scored47

27Goals Conceded17

4Clean Sheets8

1Penalty Goals4

gavelDiscipline

28Yellow Cards17

3Red Cards1

history Recent Form

Toluca

1.9 GPG

Pachuca

1.6 GPG

group Head to Head

PL22 Mar 2026

1-1

PL27 Oct 2025

2-2

PL29 Mar 2025

3-2

PL18 Sept 2024

2-2

PL31 Mar 2024

2-3

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

58%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

76%

25 / 33 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

58%

19 / 33 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

39%

13 / 33 matches

Both Teams to Score

58%

19 / 33 matches

Toluca CS

24%

Clean Sheets

Pachuca CS

24%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

22 Mar 2026

Pachuca

1 - 1

Toluca

27 Oct 2025

Toluca

2 - 2

Pachuca

29 Mar 2025

Toluca

3 - 2

Pachuca

18 Sept 2024

Pachuca

2 - 2

Toluca

31 Mar 2024

Pachuca

2 - 3

Toluca

3 Sept 2023

Toluca

5 - 0

Pachuca

20 Feb 2023

Pachuca

1 - 2

Toluca

31 Oct 2022

Pachuca

3 - 1

Toluca

28 Oct 2022

Toluca

1 - 5

Pachuca

28 Aug 2022

Toluca

1 - 4

Pachuca

13 Mar 2022

Toluca

0 - 3

Pachuca

14 Sept 2021

Pachuca

1 - 2

Toluca

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.93

Form (Overall)

1.56

Toluca is +24% better in terms of Points Per Game

Toluca

4 - 1

León

Mazatlán

4 - 3

Toluca

América

2 - 1

Toluca

1 - 1

Atlético San Luis

Querétaro

1 - 0

Toluca

Pachuca

0 - 2

Pumas UNAM

Tijuana

3 - 1

Pachuca

Monterrey

1 - 3

Pachuca

4 - 2

Santos Laguna

Cruz Azul

1 - 2

Pachuca

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AI Prediction

verified Low Confidence

11.80

X3.82

24.09