Toronto FC vs Nashville SC Prediction & Tips | MLS | FootballTips.app

Toronto FC

Toronto FC

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7h
23:30
MLS
Nashville SC

Nashville SC

Away

Who wins?

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AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
12.88
X3.63
22.26

Recommended Bet

Both Teams to Score
Odds: 2.25Stake: High (9/10)
91
Opp. Value

Also recommended

sports_soccerAway Win
@2.25Opp 91%

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.13 PPG vs Away 2.30 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 1.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.08 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 2.08 conc vs Away 0.45 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

27%
23%
50%
Toronto FC
Draw
Nashville SC
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.651.90-13.1%
Under 2.5 Goals2.102.11-0.6%
Toronto Win3.003.77-20.4%
Draw3.604.35-17.3%
Nashville SC Win2.251.98+13.6%
BTTS - Yes2.251.78+26.4%
BTTS - No1.572.28-31.2%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Toronto FC welcome Nashville SC to Toronto Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture on September 10, 2026.

Toronto FC currently sit 11th in the standings with 26 points, while visitors Nashville SC are at the top of the table with 53 points.

The hosts have been involved in 4 draws from their last 6 matches, highlighting a recent string of stalemates.

Nashville SC arrive in impressive form, having won 67 percent of their last 6 Major League Soccer matches.

In their previous head-to-head encounters, Toronto FC have lost 4 out of the last 6 matches against Nashville SC.

Prediction: Over 2.5 goals to be scored

Josh Sargent was the hero for Toronto FC in gameweek 23, scoring a hat-trick to help the Canadian side salvage a point in a chaotic 4-4 draw with Chicago Fire. Robin Fraser's men are unbeaten in six MLS outings, but four of those results were draws.

Nashville SC dominated against New York City FC at the weekend but weren't able to find a way past Matt Freese, settling for a point and a clean sheet at Yankee Stadium. The visitors remain top of the overall MLS standings by 10 points and have won four of their last five MLS games.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Toronto FC

Starting 11
-Luka Gavran
GK6.47
-Matheus Pereira
DL6.32
-Benjamín Kuscevic
DC6.61
-Walker Zimmerman
DC6.64
-Richie Laryea
DR6.61
-Markus Cimermancic
DMC6.53
-Alonso Coello
DMC6.87
-Dániel Sallói
AML6.74
-Theo Corbeanu
AMC6.64
-Derrick Etienne
AMR6.38
-Josh Sargent
FW7.18

Nashville SC

Starting 11
-Brian Schwake
GK6.96
-Reed Baker-Whiting
DL6.56
-Maxwell Woledzi
DC7.17
-Jeisson Palacios
DC7.09
-Daniel Lovitz
DR6.55
-Edvard Tagseth
DMC6.70
-Matthew Corcoran
DMC6.50
-Elias Saad
AML6.95
-Hany Mukhtar
AMC7.24
-Cristian Espinoza
AMR7.27
-Sam Surridge
FW7.15
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 23 matches
Toronto FCvsNashville SC
1.57Goals / Match2.04
1.83Conceded / Match0.74
3Clean Sheets11
4.39Shots on Target / Match4.74
46.0%Possession %54.1%
81.5%Pass Accuracy %87.0%

radarTeam Profile

Toronto FC
Nashville SC
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
41Attack61
shield
36Defense66
swap_horiz
46Possession67
gps_fixed
75Efficiency89
auto_fix_high
49Creativity71
gavel
44Discipline50

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

36Goals Scored47
42Goals Conceded17
3Clean Sheets11
43Big Chances63
29Big Chances Missed33
0Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

270Total Shots274
101Shots on Target109

swap_horizPassing & Possession

46.0%Avg Possession54.1%
9,099Total Passes11,658
81.5%Pass Accuracy87.0%

shieldDefending

335Tackles339
237Interceptions167
69Saves62
51.9%Duels Won50.4%

gavelDiscipline

265Fouls271
43Yellow Cards43
3Red Cards1
38Offsides39

analyticsOther

119Corners119
156Successful Dribbles170
5Errors Leading to Goal0
6.79Avg Rating6.98

Statistical Comparison

Toronto FCMetricNashville SC
33
Goals
47
25
Assists
33
6.5
Average Ratings
6.7
27.4
Average Age
27.2
183.6
Average Height (cm)
181.9
0.8
Shots pg
0.8
52%
Aerial Duel Success
49%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.5
0.8
Tackles pg
1.2

League Standings Context

For Toronto FC

PosTeamPWDLPts
10New York Red Bulls23761027
11Toronto FC23511726
12DC United22510725

For Nashville SC

PosTeamPWDLPts
1Nashville SC23165253
2Inter Miami CF23127443

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

44.0/ 90.3
Dangerous Attacks
40.9/ 94.7
39.0%
Shots on Target
37.0%
11.5
Total Shots
11.4
46.0%
Possession
52.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.5
Goals Scored / Match
1.8
1.9
Goals Conceded / Match
0.7

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Toronto FC Wins
0%
2
Draws
33%
4
Nashville SC Wins
67%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketToronto FCNashville SC
Over 1.5 Goals
88%21/24
79%19/24
Over 2.5 Goals
67%16/24
67%16/24
Both Teams to Score
83%20/24
54%13/24
* Based on last 24 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Toronto FC

Us1
Toronto FC
4 - 4
Chicago Fire
Us1
Toronto FC
1 - 1
New York City FC
Us1
Toronto FC
3 - 3
Charlotte FC
Us1
Toronto FC
2 - 1
New England Revolution
Us1
Toronto FC
2 - 4
Inter Miami CF
CaC
Toronto FC
1 - 3
Atlético Ottawa

Home Games: Toronto FC

Us1
Toronto FC
4 - 4
Chicago Fire
Us1
Toronto FC
1 - 1
New York City FC
Us1
Toronto FC
3 - 3
Charlotte FC
Us1
Toronto FC
2 - 1
New England Revolution
Us1
Toronto FC
2 - 4
Inter Miami CF
CaC
Toronto FC
1 - 3
Atlético Ottawa

Last 6: Nashville SC

Us1
New York City FC
0 - 0
Nashville SC
Us1
New York Red Bulls
0 - 1
Nashville SC
LC
CF Monterrey
2 - 1
Nashville SC
Us1
DC United
2 - 2
Nashville SC
Us1
Orlando City SC
1 - 0
Nashville SC
Us1
New England Revolution
0 - 3
Nashville SC

Away Games: Nashville SC

Us1
New York City FC
0 - 0
Nashville SC
Us1
New York Red Bulls
0 - 1
Nashville SC
LC
CF Monterrey
2 - 1
Nashville SC
Us1
DC United
2 - 2
Nashville SC
Us1
Orlando City SC
1 - 0
Nashville SC
Us1
New England Revolution
0 - 3
Nashville SC

history Recent Form

Toronto FCToronto FC
1.3 GPG
D
D
D
W
L
Nashville SCNashville SC
1.7 GPG
D
W
L
D
L

group Head to Head

PL20 Jul 2025
Nashville SC
1-0
Toronto
PL25 May 2025
Toronto
1-2
Nashville SC
PL20 Jun 2024
Toronto
1-2
Nashville SC
PL16 May 2024
Nashville SC
2-0
Toronto
PL11 Jun 2023
Toronto
1-1
Nashville SC
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
73%
8 / 11 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
5 / 11 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
2 / 11 matches
Both Teams to Score
64%
7 / 11 matches
Toronto FC CS
9%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC CS
36%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

20 Jul 2025
Nashville SC
1 - 0
Toronto
25 May 2025
Toronto
1 - 2
Nashville SC
20 Jun 2024
Toronto
1 - 2
Nashville SC
16 May 2024
Nashville SC
2 - 0
Toronto
11 Jun 2023
Toronto
1 - 1
Nashville SC
9 Apr 2023
Nashville SC
0 - 0
Toronto
7 Aug 2022
Nashville SC
3 - 4
Toronto
19 Sept 2021
Toronto
2 - 1
Nashville SC
2 Aug 2021
Toronto
1 - 1
Nashville SC
24 Jun 2021
Nashville SC
3 - 2
Toronto
24 Nov 2020
Toronto
0 - 1
Nashville SC

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Toronto FC
1.31
Form (Overall)
Nashville SC
1.73

Nashville SC is +32% better in terms of Points Per Game

Toronto
4 - 4
Chicago Fire
Toronto
1 - 1
New York City
Toronto
3 - 3
Charlotte
Toronto
2 - 1
New England Revolution
Toronto
2 - 4
Inter Miami
New York City
0 - 0
Nashville SC
New York RB
0 - 1
Nashville SC
Monterrey
2 - 1
Nashville SC
DC United
2 - 2
Nashville SC
Orlando City
1 - 0
Nashville SC

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