Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Tottenham

Tottenham

Home
Full Time
1 - 4
HT: 1 - 1
Sunday 22 February
Arsenal

Arsenal

Away
TottenhamTimelineArsenal
1st Half
Timber J.
28'
Eze E.
sports_soccer
32'
Kolo Muani R.
sports_soccer
34'
Gray A.
35'
2nd Half
Gyökeres V.Assist: Timber J.
sports_soccer
47'
Mosquera C.Out: Timber J.
sync_alt
57'
Eze E.
sports_soccer
61'
Solanke D.Out: Gallagher C.
sync_alt
62'
RicharlisonOut: Kolo Muani R.
sync_alt
68'
Martinelli G.Out: Trossard L.
sync_alt
76'
Odegaard M.Out: Eze E.
sync_alt
77'
Tel M.Out: Palhinha J.
sync_alt
82'
Bissouma Y.
86'
Madueke N.Out: Saka B.
sync_alt
90+1'
Gyökeres V. (Odegaard M.)
sports_soccer
90+4'

Top stats

0.76Expected goals (xG)1.93
40%Ball possession60%
6Total shots20
5Shots on target7
0Big chances6
2Corner kicks5
73% (225/309)Passes80% (376/472)
2Yellow cards1

Shots

0.76Expected goals (xG)1.93
1.66xG on target (xGOT)1.95
6Total shots20
5Shots on target7
0Shots off target6
1Blocked shots7
3Shots inside the box13
3Shots outside the box7
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

0Big chances6
2Corner kicks5
7Touches in opposition box46
0Accurate through passes2
0Offsides0
11Free kicks17

Passes

73% (225/309)Passes80% (376/472)
22% (11/49)Long passes36% (16/45)
60% (29/48)Passes in final third72% (138/191)
18% (2/11)Crosses20% (3/15)
0.54Expected assists (xA)1.45
30Throw ins16

Defense

17Fouls11
57% (13/23)Tackles67% (18/27)
48Duels won67
39Clearances15
13Interceptions6
2Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves4
1.95xGOT faced1.66
-2.05Goals prevented0.66
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
16.22
X4.43
21.55

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Away Win
Stake: High (9/10)
88
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #16 vs Away #1
Season: Home 1.12 PPG vs Away 2.15 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.35 PPG vs Away 1.60 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.23 GPG vs Away 1.50 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

6%
6%
88%
Tottenham
Draw
Arsenal

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Tottenham

Starting 11
-Guglielmo Vicario
GK6.67
-Micky van de Ven
DC6.70
-Radu Dragusin
DC6.05
-João Palhinha
DC6.83
-Djed Spence
DML6.55
-Conor Gallagher
MC6.59
-Pape Matar Sarr
MC6.67
-Archie Gray
DMR6.38
-Randal Kolo Muani
AMC6.29
-Xavi Simons
AMC6.74
-Dominic Solanke
FW6.60

Arsenal

Starting 11
-David Raya
GK6.55
-Riccardo Calafiori
DL6.85
-Gabriel Magalhães
DC7.24
-William Saliba
DC6.82
-Jurriën Timber
DR6.94
-Martín Zubimendi
DMC6.98
-Declan Rice
DMC7.36
-Leandro Trossard
AML6.88
-Martin Ødegaard
AMC6.72
-Bukayo Saka
AMR7.28
-Viktor Gyökeres
FW6.59
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

At the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on February 22, 2026 GMT, Tottenham will face Arsenal in a crucial Premier League encounter.

Tottenham comes into the game with 4 losses in their last 6 matches, while Arsenal boasts an impressive record with 31 wins in their last 42 games.

In head-to-head meetings, Tottenham has suffered 5 defeats in their last 6 matches against Arsenal.

Moreover, there is a trend for high-scoring games, with over 2.5 goals being scored in 60% of Tottenham's last 10 matches and in 4 of Arsenal's last 6 Premier League games.

This match holds significance as it is the North London derby, where tensions run high and every goal matters.

The stage is set for an intense battle between these rival clubs.

Our model predicts a 1-2 victory for Arsenal.

Tottenham have a new manager in charge for this monster clash and Igor Tudor could not have been given a tougher task with a visit of rivals and Premier League leaders Arsenal in his first game.

Spurs have just once at home since the opening day of the season and desperately need to improve that terrible record if they want to move away from the relegation zone.

Arsenal are wobbling in their pursuit of their first Premier League title for 22 years and could be just two points ahead of second-place Manchester City by the time the North London derby gets underway - after Thursday's nightmare draw at Wolves.

The Gunners have won their last three trips to Tottenham and five of their last six games altogether against their bitter rivals.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 26 / 27 matches
TottenhamvsArsenal
1.38Goals / Match1.93
1.42Conceded / Match0.74
7Clean Sheets13
3.77Shots on Target / Match4.93
51.0%Possession %57.5%
82.0%Pass Accuracy %84.8%

radarTeam Profile

Tottenham
Arsenal
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
36Attack66
shield
52Defense67
swap_horiz
61Possession66
gps_fixed
69Efficiency70
auto_fix_high
43Creativity55
gavel
36Discipline68

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

36Goals Scored52
37Goals Conceded20
7Clean Sheets13
47Big Chances79
29Big Chances Missed53
0Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

288Total Shots391
98Shots on Target133

swap_horizPassing & Possession

51.0%Avg Possession57.5%
10,925Total Passes12,995
82.0%Pass Accuracy84.8%

shieldDefending

515Tackles430
189Interceptions197
71Saves37
49.4%Duels Won52.3%

gavelDiscipline

291Fouls271
67Yellow Cards37
3Red Cards0
43Offsides43

analyticsOther

128Corners160
249Successful Dribbles203
9Errors Leading to Goal4
6.78Avg Rating6.93

Statistical Comparison

TottenhamMetricArsenal
35
Goals
48
28
Assists
36
6.5
Average Ratings
6.7
25.2
Average Age
26.5
187.4
Average Height (cm)
183.5
0.8
Shots pg
1
46%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.7
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.2
Tackles pg
1.2

League Standings Context

For Tottenham

PosTeamPWDLPts
15Leeds United277101031
16Tottenham26781129
17Nottingham Forest26761327

For Arsenal

PosTeamPWDLPts
1Arsenal27177358
2Manchester City27175556

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

47.7/ 91.8
Dangerous Attacks
58.9/ 101.0
36.0%
Shots on Target
36.0%
11.6
Total Shots
15.0
51.0%
Possession
58.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.5
Goals Scored / Match
2.2
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
0.7

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Tottenham Wins
0%
1
Draws
17%
5
Arsenal Wins
83%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketTottenhamArsenal
Over 1.5 Goals
84%31/37
92%34/37
Over 2.5 Goals
62%23/37
62%23/37
Both Teams to Score
49%18/37
51%19/37
* Based on last 37 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Tottenham

EPL
Tottenham
1 - 2
Newcastle United
EPL
Tottenham
2 - 2
Manchester City
UCL
Tottenham
2 - 0
Borussia Dortmund
EPL
Tottenham
1 - 2
West Ham
FA
Tottenham
1 - 2
Aston Villa
EPL
Tottenham
1 - 1
Sunderland

Home Games: Tottenham

EPL
Tottenham
1 - 2
Newcastle United
EPL
Tottenham
2 - 2
Manchester City
UCL
Tottenham
2 - 0
Borussia Dortmund
EPL
Tottenham
1 - 2
West Ham
FA
Tottenham
1 - 2
Aston Villa
EPL
Tottenham
1 - 1
Sunderland

Last 6: Arsenal

EPL
Wolverhampton
2 - 2
Arsenal
EPL
Brentford
1 - 1
Arsenal
EPL
Leeds United
0 - 4
Arsenal
UCL
Inter
1 - 3
Arsenal
EPL
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
Arsenal
EFL
Chelsea
2 - 3
Arsenal

Away Games: Arsenal

EPL
Wolverhampton
2 - 2
Arsenal
EPL
Brentford
1 - 1
Arsenal
EPL
Leeds United
0 - 4
Arsenal
UCL
Inter
1 - 3
Arsenal
EPL
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
Arsenal
EFL
Chelsea
2 - 3
Arsenal

history Recent Form

TottenhamTottenham
1.1 GPG
L
L
D
D
L
ArsenalArsenal
2.1 GPG
D
D
W
W
L

group Head to Head

PL23 Nov 2025
Arsenal
4-1
Tottenham Hotspur
PL31 Jul 2025
Arsenal
0-1
Tottenham Hotspur
PL15 Jan 2025
Arsenal
2-1
Tottenham Hotspur
PL15 Sept 2024
Tottenham Hotspur
0-1
Arsenal
PL28 Apr 2024
Tottenham Hotspur
2-3
Arsenal
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
86%
36 / 42 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
26 / 42 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
15 / 42 matches
Both Teams to Score
67%
28 / 42 matches
Tottenham CS
17%
Clean Sheets
Arsenal CS
19%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

23 Nov 2025
Arsenal
4 - 1
Tottenham Hotspur
31 Jul 2025
Arsenal
0 - 1
Tottenham Hotspur
15 Jan 2025
Arsenal
2 - 1
Tottenham Hotspur
15 Sept 2024
Tottenham Hotspur
0 - 1
Arsenal
28 Apr 2024
Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 3
Arsenal
24 Sept 2023
Arsenal
2 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur
15 Jan 2023
Tottenham Hotspur
0 - 2
Arsenal
1 Oct 2022
Arsenal
3 - 1
Tottenham Hotspur
12 May 2022
Tottenham Hotspur
3 - 0
Arsenal
26 Sept 2021
Arsenal
3 - 1
Tottenham Hotspur
14 Mar 2021
Arsenal
2 - 1
Tottenham Hotspur
6 Dec 2020
Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 0
Arsenal

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Tottenham
1.12
Form (Overall)
Arsenal
2.15

Arsenal is +92% better in terms of Points Per Game

Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 2
Newcastle United
Manchester United
2 - 0
Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 2
Manchester City
Burnley
2 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 2
West Ham United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 - 2
Arsenal
Brentford
1 - 1
Arsenal
Arsenal
3 - 0
Sunderland
Leeds United
0 - 4
Arsenal
Arsenal
2 - 3
Manchester United

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