Tottenham vs Atl. Madrid Prediction & Tips | Champions League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Tottenham

Tottenham

Home
Full Time
3 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Wednesday 18 March
Atl. Madrid

Atl. Madrid

Away
TottenhamTimelineAtl. Madrid
1st Half
Ruggeri M.
28'
Kolo Muani R. (Tel M.)
sports_soccer
30'
2nd Half
Alvarez J. (Lookman A.)
sports_soccer
47'
Tudor I.
47'
Simons X. (Gray A.)
sports_soccer
52'
Lookman A.
56'
Porro P.
57'
Vicario G.
58'
Sorloth A.Out: Lookman A.
sync_alt
63'
KokeOut: Molina N.
sync_alt
64'
Udogie D.Out: Dragusin R.
sync_alt
66'
Romero C.
70'
Udogie D.
72'
Bergvall L.Out: Porro P.
sync_alt
74'
Hancko D. (Alvarez J.)
sports_soccer
75'
Gallagher C.Out: Gray A.
sync_alt
81'
Olusesi C.Out: Tel M.
sync_alt
81'
Danso K.Out: Romero C.
sync_alt
81'
Baena A.Out: Griezmann A.
sync_alt
84'
Gonzalez N.Out: Alvarez J.
sync_alt
84'
Gimenez J. M.Out: Simeone G.
sync_alt
87'
Simons X.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
90'
Sorloth A.
90+2'

Top stats

2.45Expected goals (xG)1.04
51%Ball possession49%
18Total shots18
11Shots on target6
3Big chances1
7Corner kicks7
83% (344/415)Passes83% (335/404)
4Yellow cards3

Shots

2.45Expected goals (xG)1.04
3.66xG on target (xGOT)1.94
18Total shots18
11Shots on target6
1Shots off target3
6Blocked shots9
12Shots inside the box10
6Shots outside the box8
0Hit the woodwork1
1Headed goals1

Attack

3Big chances1
7Corner kicks7
30Touches in opposition box30
0Accurate through passes1
1Offsides3
8Free kicks16

Passes

83% (344/415)Passes83% (335/404)
44% (19/43)Long passes41% (18/44)
73% (92/126)Passes in final third82% (93/113)
17% (4/23)Crosses13% (2/15)
0.78Expected assists (xA)0.59
22Throw ins9

Defense

16Fouls8
63% (5/8)Tackles70% (19/27)
42Duels won54
18Clearances31
15Interceptions12
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

5Goalkeeper saves8
1.94xGOT faced3.66
-0.06Goals prevented0.66
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.59
X3.94
22.58

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (9/10)
92
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 0.60 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.30 PPG vs Away 2.70 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.25 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 2.75 conc vs Away 2.25 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

25%
21%
54%
Tottenham
Draw
Atl. Madrid

Match Preview

Tottenham is all set to take on Atlético Madrid in a crucial Champions League fixture at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on March 18, 2026.

Tottenham, with 4 wins in their last 6 Champions League matches and a perfect record of 4 wins in their last 4 home games in the competition, will face Atlético Madrid, who have secured 6 wins in 11 league matches and pose a strong challenge for their opponents.

In their recent head-to-head encounter in the Champions League, Tottenham suffered a loss against Atlético Madrid, setting the stage for an intriguing rematch between the two sides.

As they gear up for battle on the field, both teams will be looking to assert their dominance and secure a vital victory.

With Tottenham's strong home form and Atlético Madrid's competitive spirit, the match promises to be an intense affair.

The Head to Head stats add an element of unpredictability to the outcome, making it a match to watch for football fans.

Our model predicts a 1-3 victory for Atlético Madrid in what is expected to be a closely contested match against Tottenham.

Tottenham Hotspur face an enormous challenge when they host Atlético Madrid in the second leg of their UEFA Champions League round of 16 tie at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Atlético secured a commanding 5–2 victory in the first leg in Madrid earlier this month, putting Diego Simeone’s side firmly in control of the tie. Julián Álvarez delivered a standout performance with two goals, while Marcos Llorente, Antoine Griezmann and Robin Le Normand also found the net. Pedro Porro and Dominic Solanke scored Tottenham’s goals to keep a faint glimmer of hope alive.

Spurs must overturn a three-goal deficit to progress, a scenario that historically proves extremely difficult. In Champions League history, only four teams have ever advanced after losing the first leg of a knockout tie by three or more goals.

Igor Tudor’s side also arrive in difficult form. Tottenham are winless in their last eight matches across all competitions, though a recent 1–1 draw at Liverpool may offer a hint of improvement.

Despite their recent struggles, Tottenham have been exceptional at home in this season’s Champions League. They have won all four of their home matches without conceding, scoring ten goals in the process.

Atlético, meanwhile, approach the match in confident mood. Simeone’s side have won five of their last six matches in all competitions and arrive in London aiming to reach the Champions League quarter-finals for the eighth time under their long-serving manager.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Tottenham

Starting 11
-Guglielmo Vicario
GK7.02
-Djed Spence
DL6.63
-Kevin Danso
DC6.54
-Radu Dragusin
DC
-Pedro Porro
DR7.21
-Conor Gallagher
MC6.26
-Pape Matar Sarr
MC6.40
-Archie Gray
MC6.60
-Mathys Tel
FWL6.56
-Dominic Solanke
FW7.14
-Randal Kolo Muani
FWR6.72

Atl. Madrid

Starting 11
-Juan Musso
GK6.87
-Matteo Ruggeri
DL6.89
-Dávid Hancko
DC6.86
-Robin Le Normand
DC6.50
-Marc Pubill
DR6.61
-Ademola Lookman
ML6.70
-Marcos Llorente
MC6.95
-Johnny Cardoso
MC6.64
-Giuliano Simeone
MR6.95
-Julián Alvarez
FW7.79
-Antoine Griezmann
FW6.94
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 9 / 11 matches
TottenhamvsAtl. Madrid

radarTeam Profile

Tottenham
Atl. Madrid
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
67Attack80
shield
67Defense35
swap_horiz
66Possession64
gps_fixed
86Efficiency92
auto_fix_high
65Creativity53
gavel
42Discipline63

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

19Goals Scored29
12Goals Conceded21
6Clean Sheets0
31Big Chances36
18Big Chances Missed18
2Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

111Total Shots163
43Shots on Target67

swap_horizPassing & Possession

49.8%Avg Possession51.8%
3,909Total Passes5,609
84.9%Pass Accuracy86.0%

shieldDefending

141Tackles184
83Interceptions99
25Saves36
50.6%Duels Won49.9%

gavelDiscipline

105Fouls115
19Yellow Cards18
1Red Cards0
10Offsides14

analyticsOther

39Corners67
99Successful Dribbles81
6Errors Leading to Goal1
6.90Avg Rating6.89

Statistical Comparison

TottenhamMetricAtl. Madrid
16
Goals
28
11
Assists
14
6.6
Average Ratings
6.7
25
Average Age
27.2
185.9
Average Height (cm)
182.5
0.9
Shots pg
1
52%
Aerial Duel Success
54%
0.9
Dribbles pg
0.6
0.8
Tackles pg
1.4

League Standings Context

For Tottenham

PosTeamPWDLPts
3Liverpool860218
4Tottenham852117
5Barcelona851216

For Atl. Madrid

PosTeamPWDLPts
13Juventus834113
14Atlético Madrid841313
15Atalanta841313

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

45.8/ 90.6
Dangerous Attacks
53.1/ 100.1
36.0%
Shots on Target
41.0%
11.6
Total Shots
13.9
50.0%
Possession
54.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.5
Goals Scored / Match
2.0
1.5
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Tottenham Wins
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Atl. Madrid Wins
100%
Total H2H Matches: 1

Recent Form Stats

MarketTottenhamAtl. Madrid
Over 1.5 Goals
86%36/42
86%36/42
Over 2.5 Goals
64%27/42
64%27/42
Both Teams to Score
55%23/42
60%25/42
* Based on last 42 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Tottenham

EPL
Tottenham
1 - 3
Crystal Palace
EPL
Tottenham
1 - 4
Arsenal
EPL
Tottenham
1 - 2
Newcastle United
EPL
Tottenham
2 - 2
Manchester City
UCL
Tottenham
2 - 0
Borussia Dortmund
EPL
Tottenham
1 - 2
West Ham

Home Games: Tottenham

EPL
Tottenham
1 - 3
Crystal Palace
EPL
Tottenham
1 - 4
Arsenal
EPL
Tottenham
1 - 2
Newcastle United
EPL
Tottenham
2 - 2
Manchester City
UCL
Tottenham
2 - 0
Borussia Dortmund
EPL
Tottenham
1 - 2
West Ham

Last 6: Atl. Madrid

EsC
Barcelona
3 - 0
Atlético Madrid
Es1
Real Oviedo
0 - 1
Atlético Madrid
UCL
Club Brugge
3 - 3
Atlético Madrid
Es1
Rayo Vallecano
3 - 0
Atlético Madrid
EsC
Real Betis
0 - 5
Atlético Madrid
Es1
Levante
0 - 0
Atlético Madrid

Away Games: Atl. Madrid

EsC
Barcelona
3 - 0
Atlético Madrid
Es1
Real Oviedo
0 - 1
Atlético Madrid
UCL
Club Brugge
3 - 3
Atlético Madrid
Es1
Rayo Vallecano
3 - 0
Atlético Madrid
EsC
Real Betis
0 - 5
Atlético Madrid
Es1
Levante
0 - 0
Atlético Madrid

history Recent Form

TottenhamTottenham
0.6 GPG
D
L
L
L
L
Atl. MadridAtl. Madrid
2.2 GPG
W
W
W
W
L

group Head to Head

PL10 Mar 2026
Atlético Madrid
5-2
Tottenham Hotspur
PL29 Jul 2016
Tottenham Hotspur
0-1
Atlético Madrid
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
50%
1 / 2 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1 / 2 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
1 / 2 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
1 / 2 matches
Tottenham CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Atl. Madrid CS
50%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

10 Mar 2026
Atlético Madrid
5 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur
29 Jul 2016
Tottenham Hotspur
0 - 1
Atlético Madrid

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Tottenham
0.60
Form (Overall)
Atl. Madrid
2.20

Atl. Madrid is +267% better in terms of Points Per Game

Liverpool
1 - 1
Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 3
Crystal Palace
Fulham
2 - 1
Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 4
Arsenal
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 2
Newcastle United
Atlético Madrid
1 - 0
Getafe CF
Atlético Madrid
3 - 2
Real Sociedad
Real Oviedo
0 - 1
Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid
4 - 2
RCD Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano
3 - 0
Atlético Madrid

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