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Toulouse vs Lille Prediction & Tips | Ligue 1 | FootballTips.app

Toulouse

Toulouse

Home
Full Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Thursday 3 September
Lille

Lille

Away
ToulouseTimelineLille
1st Half
Hidalgo S.
20'
2nd Half
Bakwa D.Out: Sahraoui O.
sync_alt
46'
Perraud R.Out: Verdonk C.
sync_alt
46'
Vignolo J.Out: Hidalgo S.
sync_alt
57'
Ueda A.Out: Giroud O.
sync_alt
57'
Mukau N.Out: Mbappe E.
sync_alt
57'
Tengstedt C.Out: Russell-Rowe J.
sync_alt
65'
Diallo I.Out: Messali R.
sync_alt
66'
Onal B.Out: Bentaleb N.
sync_alt
71'
Niflore M.Out: Restes G.
sync_alt
71'
Schmidt N.Out: Vossah A.
sync_alt
72'
Ueda A. ()
sports_soccer
73'

Top stats

3.47Expected goals (xG)1.21
53%Ball possession47%
24Total shots10
10Shots on target6
5Big chances1
6Corner kicks2
87% (451/516)Passes85% (395/462)
1Yellow cards0

Shots

3.47Expected goals (xG)1.21
1.80xG on target (xGOT)2.60
24Total shots10
10Shots on target6
11Shots off target2
3Blocked shots2
14Shots inside the box6
10Shots outside the box4
1Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

5Big chances1
6Corner kicks2
39Touches in opposition box12
1Accurate through passes1
3Offsides0
9Free kicks16

Passes

87% (451/516)Passes85% (395/462)
69% (29/42)Long passes36% (16/45)
81% (136/168)Passes in final third69% (68/99)
21% (6/28)Crosses17% (1/6)
1.34Expected assists (xA)0.61
13Throw ins10

Defense

16Fouls9
67% (8/12)Tackles67% (12/18)
36Duels won51
11Clearances36
13Interceptions8
2Errors leading to shot6
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

5Goalkeeper saves9
2.60xGOT faced1.80
1.60Goals prevented1.80
4Goal kicks14
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.44
X3.37
22.18

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Odds: 3.41Stake: Medium (6/10)
60
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #16 vs Away #4
Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 1.60 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.55 PPG vs Away 1.91 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.33 GPG vs Away 2.17 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

30%
24%
47%
Toulouse
Draw
Lille
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.961.87+4.9%
Toulouse Win3.413.37+1.3%
Draw3.454.24-18.6%
Lille Win1.892.14-11.8%
BTTS - Yes1.721.80-4.4%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Toulouse sit in 16th place heading into their game against Lille, having failed to win at the start of the season. They lost their opening game at home to Lyon before drawing against Brest.

Lille have enjoyed a little more success, going unbeaten in their opening two matches. They defeated Angers 2-0 away from home before drawing with PSG.

The last time these two sides met was back in April, with Lille securing an emphatic 4-0 victory away from home. Lille have won three of the last four trips to Toulouse.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Toulouse

Starting 11
-Guillaume Restes
GK6.28
-Christ Tapé
DL6.66
-Rasmus Nicolaisen
DC7.12
-Mark McKenzie
DC6.85
-Ismaïl Diallo
DR6.00
-Alexis Vossah
DMC6.47
-Cristian Cásseres
DMC7.94
-Yann Gboho
AML6.68
-Thomas Jørgensen
AMC6.58
-Julián Vignolo
AMR6.38
-Jacen Russell-Rowe
FW6.66

Lille

Starting 11
-Berke Özer
GK6.42
-Romain Perraud
DL6.92
-Alexsandro Ribeiro
DC6.96
-Nathan Ngoy
DC7.15
-Tiago Santos
DR7.50
-Nabil Bentaleb
DMC7.02
-Benjamin André
DMC7.00
-Basar Önal
AML6.40
-Hákon Haraldsson
AMC7.58
-Dilane Bakwa
AMR6.97
-Olivier Giroud
FW7.39
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 33 / 34 matches
ToulousevsLille
1.42Goals / Match1.53
1.39Conceded / Match1.09
9Clean Sheets13
4.30Shots on Target / Match4.62
42.2%Possession %55.9%
81.7%Pass Accuracy %85.3%

radarTeam Profile

Toulouse
Lille
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
41Attack50
shield
52Defense60
swap_horiz
45Possession65
gps_fixed
67Efficiency65
auto_fix_high
33Creativity39
gavel
24Discipline39

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

47Goals Scored52
46Goals Conceded37
9Clean Sheets13
63Big Chances88
33Big Chances Missed53
4Penalty Goals7

gps_fixedShooting

424Total Shots462
142Shots on Target157

swap_horizPassing & Possession

42.2%Avg Possession55.9%
12,342Total Passes16,895
81.7%Pass Accuracy85.3%

shieldDefending

540Tackles515
313Interceptions315
85Saves76
48.4%Duels Won51.7%

gavelDiscipline

474Fouls370
78Yellow Cards77
5Red Cards5
36Offsides47

analyticsOther

147Corners194
244Successful Dribbles242
4Errors Leading to Goal4
6.77Avg Rating6.86

Statistical Comparison

ToulouseMetricLille
2
Goals
4
2
Assists
3
6.5
Average Ratings
6.8
22.8
Average Age
27.5
183.6
Average Height (cm)
182.2
1.2
Shots pg
1.3
61%
Aerial Duel Success
41%
0.9
Dribbles pg
1.2
1.7
Tackles pg
1.6

history Recent Form

ToulouseToulouse
1.5 GPG
D
L
LilleLille
1.6 GPG
D
W

group Head to Head

PL12 Apr 2026
Toulouse
0-4
Lille
PL14 Sept 2025
Lille
2-1
Toulouse
PL12 Apr 2025
Toulouse
1-2
Lille
PL5 Oct 2024
Lille
2-1
Toulouse
PL25 Feb 2024
Toulouse
3-1
Lille
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
83%
25 / 30 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
16 / 30 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
5 / 30 matches
Both Teams to Score
60%
18 / 30 matches
Toulouse CS
7%
Clean Sheets
Lille CS
40%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

12 Apr 2026
Toulouse
0 - 4
Lille
14 Sept 2025
Lille
2 - 1
Toulouse
12 Apr 2025
Toulouse
1 - 2
Lille
5 Oct 2024
Lille
2 - 1
Toulouse
25 Feb 2024
Toulouse
3 - 1
Lille
12 Nov 2023
Lille
1 - 1
Toulouse
18 Mar 2023
Toulouse
0 - 2
Lille
17 Sept 2022
Lille
2 - 1
Toulouse
22 Feb 2020
Lille
3 - 0
Toulouse
19 Oct 2019
Toulouse
2 - 1
Lille
21 Apr 2019
Toulouse
0 - 0
Lille
22 Dec 2018
Lille
1 - 2
Toulouse

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Toulouse
1.50
Form (Overall)
Lille
1.60

Lille is +7% better in terms of Points Per Game

Brest
2 - 2
Toulouse
Toulouse
0 - 2
Olympique Lyonnais
Lille
2 - 2
PSG
Angers SCO
0 - 2
Lille

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