Toulouse vs Lorient Prediction & Tips | Ligue 1 | FootballTips.app

Toulouse
HomeFull Time
1 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 21 March

Lorient
AwayToulouseTimelineLorient
1st Half
Hidalgo S.
5'
2nd Half
Cadiou N.
47'
EmersonnOut: Russell-Rowe J.
sync_alt
64'
Kamanzi W.Out: Hidalgo S.
sync_alt
65'
Faye A.
70'
Tosin A.Out: Karim D.
sync_alt
73'
Soumano S.Out: Dieng B.
sync_alt
73'
Katseris P.Out: Le Bris T.
sync_alt
79'
EmersonnAssist: Casseres C.
sports_soccer
81'
Sauer M.Out: Sidibe D.
sync_alt
84'
Donnum A.
86'
Makengo J.
90+10'
Top stats
1.65Expected goals (xG)0.39
42%Ball possession58%
12Total shots7
4Shots on target2
3Big chances0
1Corner kicks4
84% (365/437)Passes88% (530/602)
2Yellow cards3
Shots
1.65Expected goals (xG)0.39
0.90xG on target (xGOT)0.29
12Total shots7
4Shots on target2
6Shots off target3
2Blocked shots2
8Shots inside the box3
4Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0
Attack
3Big chances0
1Corner kicks4
19Touches in opposition box11
0Accurate through passes1
1Offsides2
10Free kicks9
Passes
84% (365/437)Passes88% (530/602)
53% (19/36)Long passes44% (26/59)
68% (88/129)Passes in final third69% (68/98)
33% (2/6)Crosses16% (3/19)
0.47Expected assists (xA)0.45
8Throw ins11
Defense
9Fouls10
70% (7/10)Tackles50% (5/10)
35Duels won37
21Clearances18
7Interceptions14
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
2Goalkeeper saves3
0.29xGOT faced0.90
0.29Goals prevented-0.10
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
11.96
X3.35
24.57
Recommended Bet
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Draw
Stake: Medium (7/10)
65
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #11 vs Away #9
Season: Home 1.31 PPG vs Away 1.42 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.05 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.54 GPG vs Away 0.85 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
37%
Toulouse Win
40%
Draw
23%
Lorient Win
Toulouse
Draw
Lorient
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Toulouse
Starting 11
-Kjetil Haug
GK6.26
-Djibril Sidibé
DC6.53
-Rasmus Nicolaisen
DC6.61
-Mark McKenzie
DC6.64
-Warren Kamanzi
DML6.39
-Cristian Cásseres
MC6.82
-Pape Diop
MC7.23
-Aron Dønnum
DMR7.16
-Yann Gboho
AMC7.13
-Santiago Hidalgo
AMC6.50
-Jacen Russell-Rowe
FW6.14
Lorient
Starting 11
-Yvon Mvogo
GK6.54
-Montassar Talbi
DC6.77
-Abdoulaye Faye
DC6.43
-Darlin Yongwa
DC6.38
-Arsène Kouassi
DML6.84
-Noah Cadiou
MC6.50
-Arthur Avom
MC6.74
-Théo Le Bris
DMR6.66
-Dermane Karim
AMC6.42
-Jean-Victor Makengo
AMC6.60
-Bamba Dieng
FW6.80
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Match Preview
Toulouse have won just once in their previous six games, losing four of them. Toulouse have also failed to win in their previous three matches on their own turf.
Lorient are unbeaten in their last five matches, and they're in phenomenal form at home. They are currently unbeaten in their last 11 matches at home.
The last time the two sides met earlier in the season, back in November, a 1-1 draw was played out. Toulouse are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Lorient at home.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 26 matchesToulousevsLorient
1.42Goals / Match1.42
1.23Conceded / Match1.54
8Clean Sheets5
4.50Shots on Target / Match3.88
43.4%Possession %44.9%
81.6%Pass Accuracy %84.4%
radarTeam Profile
Toulouse
Lorient
sports_soccer
40Attack38
shield
55Defense37
swap_horiz
46Possession52
gps_fixed
66Efficiency70
auto_fix_high
31Creativity32
gavel
31Discipline61
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
37Goals Scored37
32Goals Conceded40
8Clean Sheets5
46Big Chances51
24Big Chances Missed29
4Penalty Goals2
gps_fixedShooting
345Total Shots300
117Shots on Target101
swap_horizPassing & Possession
43.4%Avg Possession44.9%
9,820Total Passes11,094
81.6%Pass Accuracy84.4%
shieldDefending
431Tackles366
245Interceptions228
57Saves59
49.2%Duels Won51.4%
gavelDiscipline
372Fouls253
61Yellow Cards45
2Red Cards1
28Offsides39
analyticsOther
125Corners83
199Successful Dribbles183
4Errors Leading to Goal3
6.79Avg Rating6.79
Statistical Comparison
ToulouseMetricLorient
36
Goals
36
24
Assists
24
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
25.9
Average Age
24.5
181.5
Average Height (cm)
182.3
1
Shots pg
0.8
53%
Aerial Duel Success
47%
0.7
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.4
Tackles pg
1
history Recent Form
W
L
L
D
L
W
D
D
D
W
group Head to Head
PL9 Nov 2025
1-1
PL28 Apr 2024
1-2
PL3 Dec 2023
1-1
PL23 Apr 2023
0-1
PL21 Aug 2022
2-2
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
13 / 21 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
7 / 21 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
5 / 21 matches
Both Teams to Score
57%
12 / 21 matches
Toulouse CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Lorient CS
24%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
9 Nov 2025
Lorient
1 - 1
Toulouse
28 Apr 2024
Lorient
1 - 2
Toulouse
3 Dec 2023
Toulouse
1 - 1
Lorient
23 Apr 2023
Lorient
0 - 1
Toulouse
21 Aug 2022
Toulouse
2 - 2
Lorient
8 Feb 2017
Lorient
1 - 1
Toulouse
10 Dec 2016
Toulouse
3 - 2
Lorient
16 Apr 2016
Lorient
1 - 1
Toulouse
5 Dec 2015
Toulouse
2 - 3
Lorient
18 Apr 2015
Lorient
0 - 1
Toulouse
29 Nov 2014
Toulouse
2 - 3
Lorient
15 Feb 2014
Lorient
1 - 3
Toulouse
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.31
Form (Overall)
1.42
Lorient is +8% better in terms of Points Per Game
Metz
3 - 4
Toulouse
Toulouse
0 - 1
Olympique Marseille
Rennes
1 - 0
Toulouse
Toulouse
1 - 1
Paris
Le Havre
2 - 1
Toulouse
Lorient
2 - 1
Lens
Lille
1 - 1
Lorient
Lorient
2 - 2
Auxerre
Nice
3 - 3
Lorient
Lorient
2 - 0
Angers SCO
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