Toulouse vs Marseille Prediction & Tips | Ligue 1 | FootballTips.app

Toulouse

Toulouse

Home
Full Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 7 March
Marseille

Marseille

Away
ToulouseTimelineMarseille
1st Half
Medina F.
12'
Greenwood M.Assist: Paixao I.
sports_soccer
18'
2nd Half
Hidalgo S.Out: Emersonn
sync_alt
46'
Donnum A.
59'
Greenwood M.
59'
Weah T.
60'
McKenzie M.
64'
Gouiri A.Out: Greenwood M.
sync_alt
66'
Nnadi T.Out: Kondogbia G.
sync_alt
66'
Vossah A.Out: Casseres C.
sync_alt
69'
Russell-Rowe J.Out: Kamanzi W.
sync_alt
78'
Vignolo J.Out: Methalie D.
sync_alt
79'
Vermeeren A.Out: Timber Q.
sync_alt
82'
EmersonOut: Aubameyang P.
sync_alt
83'
Sauer M.Out: Demba P.
sync_alt
84'

Top stats

0.98Expected goals (xG)0.81
49%Ball possession51%
12Total shots10
2Shots on target3
2Big chances3
4Corner kicks2
83% (363/437)Passes84% (387/458)
2Yellow cards3

Shots

0.98Expected goals (xG)0.81
0.43xG on target (xGOT)0.39
12Total shots10
2Shots on target3
7Shots off target6
3Blocked shots1
9Shots inside the box7
3Shots outside the box3
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances3
4Corner kicks2
25Touches in opposition box11
0Accurate through passes1
3Offsides1
14Free kicks15

Passes

83% (363/437)Passes84% (387/458)
50% (21/42)Long passes38% (21/56)
67% (72/107)Passes in final third59% (51/87)
47% (7/15)Crosses20% (2/10)
0.72Expected assists (xA)0.38
19Throw ins10

Defense

15Fouls14
53% (10/19)Tackles44% (11/25)
49Duels won56
11Clearances20
12Interceptions7
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves2
0.39xGOT faced0.43
-0.61Goals prevented0.43
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.18
X3.58
22.30

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #11 vs Away #4
Season: Home 1.29 PPG vs Away 1.79 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.35 PPG vs Away 1.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.67 GPG vs Away 1.58 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

14%
14%
73%
Toulouse
Draw
Marseille

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Toulouse

Starting 11
-Guillaume Restes
GK6.45
-Djibril Sidibé
DC6.55
-Charlie Cresswell
DC7.20
-Mark McKenzie
DC6.65
-Dayann Methalie
DML6.55
-Cristian Cásseres
MC6.86
-Pape Diop
MC7.37
-Aron Dønnum
DMR7.15
-Yann Gboho
AMC7.06
-Santiago Hidalgo
AMC6.51
-Emersonn
FW6.56

Marseille

Starting 11
-Gerónimo Rulli
GK6.82
-Emerson
DL6.92
-Nayef Aguerd
DC7.00
-Benjamin Pavard
DC6.62
-Timothy Weah
DR6.73
-Geoffrey Kondogbia
DMC6.65
-Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
DMC6.86
-Igor Paixão
AML6.75
-Quinten Timber
AMC6.30
-Mason Greenwood
AMR7.35
-Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
FW6.94
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

At Stadium de Toulouse in Ligue 1, Toulouse will go head-to-head against Olympique Marseille on March 7, 2026.

With Toulouse sitting in the 11th position with 31 points and Olympique Marseille in 4th place with 43 points, the match promises a competitive encounter.

Toulouse has faced 3 losses in their last 6 Ligue 1 matches, while Olympique Marseille has struggled on the road, losing 6 out of 12 away games in the league.

In their recent head-to-head battles in Ligue 1, Toulouse has lost 50% of the last 6 meetings against Olympique Marseille.

As per the prediction suggesting a 1-1 draw, both teams will aim to secure points in what is expected to be a evenly-contested match.

Toulouse have struggled of late and started to slip down the table. They've failed to win in their last five games in Ligue 1, winning just once in their last six matches.

Marseille have found things difficult since the departure of Roberto De Zerbi. They've won just once in their last five games, losing two on the bounce away from home.

Marseille and Toulouse met in the Coupe de France earlier this week, with Toulouse winning on penalties in the quarter-final. In the league, Marseille are unbeaten since 2012.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 24 matches
ToulousevsMarseille
1.38Goals / Match2.13
1.17Conceded / Match1.38
8Clean Sheets6
4.54Shots on Target / Match5.71
42.9%Possession %57.8%
81.2%Pass Accuracy %88.8%

radarTeam Profile

Toulouse
Marseille
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
38Attack71
shield
57Defense43
swap_horiz
46Possession72
gps_fixed
66Efficiency87
auto_fix_high
29Creativity58
gavel
31Discipline30

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

33Goals Scored51
28Goals Conceded33
8Clean Sheets6
43Big Chances69
23Big Chances Missed38
4Penalty Goals5

gps_fixedShooting

314Total Shots345
109Shots on Target137

swap_horizPassing & Possession

42.9%Avg Possession57.8%
8,884Total Passes13,557
81.2%Pass Accuracy88.8%

shieldDefending

398Tackles350
222Interceptions181
50Saves68
49.7%Duels Won48.3%

gavelDiscipline

344Fouls309
56Yellow Cards54
2Red Cards4
25Offsides26

analyticsOther

117Corners118
189Successful Dribbles151
4Errors Leading to Goal3
6.80Avg Rating6.87

Statistical Comparison

ToulouseMetricMarseille
32
Goals
50
20
Assists
38
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
24.1
Average Age
29.1
182
Average Height (cm)
182.9
1
Shots pg
1
53%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
0.8
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.6
Tackles pg
1.1

League Standings Context

For Toulouse

PosTeamPWDLPts
10Lorient2489733
11Toulouse2487931
12Angers24851129

For Marseille

PosTeamPWDLPts
3Lyon24143745
4Olympique Marseille24134743
5Monaco25124940

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

40.0/ 82.9
Dangerous Attacks
43.6/ 89.4
35.0%
Shots on Target
41.0%
11.9
Total Shots
12.9
43.0%
Possession
59.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.4
Goals Scored / Match
2.3
1.1
Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Toulouse Wins
0%
4
Draws
67%
2
Marseille Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketToulouseMarseille
Over 1.5 Goals
64%18/28
104%29/28
Over 2.5 Goals
46%13/28
96%27/28
Both Teams to Score
46%13/28
61%17/28
* Based on last 28 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Toulouse

Fr1
Toulouse
1 - 1
Paris FC
CdF
Toulouse
1 - 0
Amiens
Fr1
Toulouse
0 - 0
Auxerre
Fr1
Toulouse
5 - 1
Nice
Fr1
Toulouse
0 - 3
Lens
Fr1
Toulouse
1 - 0
Strasbourg

Home Games: Toulouse

Fr1
Toulouse
1 - 1
Paris FC
CdF
Toulouse
1 - 0
Amiens
Fr1
Toulouse
0 - 0
Auxerre
Fr1
Toulouse
5 - 1
Nice
Fr1
Toulouse
0 - 3
Lens
Fr1
Toulouse
1 - 0
Strasbourg

Last 6: Marseille

Fr1
Brest
2 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Fr1
PSG
5 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Fr1
Paris FC
2 - 2
Olympique Marseille
UCL
Club Brugge
3 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Fr1
Angers
2 - 5
Olympique Marseille
CdF
Bayeux FC
0 - 9
Olympique Marseille

Away Games: Marseille

Fr1
Brest
2 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Fr1
PSG
5 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Fr1
Paris FC
2 - 2
Olympique Marseille
UCL
Club Brugge
3 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Fr1
Angers
2 - 5
Olympique Marseille
CdF
Bayeux FC
0 - 9
Olympique Marseille

history Recent Form

ToulouseToulouse
1.3 GPG
L
D
L
L
D
MarseilleMarseille
1.8 GPG
W
L
D
L
D

group Head to Head

PL4 Mar 2026
Olympique Marseille
2-2
Toulouse
PL29 Nov 2025
Olympique Marseille
2-2
Toulouse
PL6 Apr 2025
Olympique Marseille
3-2
Toulouse
PL31 Aug 2024
Toulouse
1-3
Olympique Marseille
PL21 Apr 2024
Toulouse
2-2
Olympique Marseille
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
74%
23 / 31 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
15 / 31 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
12 / 31 matches
Both Teams to Score
61%
19 / 31 matches
Toulouse CS
16%
Clean Sheets
Marseille CS
35%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

4 Mar 2026
Olympique Marseille
2 - 2
Toulouse
29 Nov 2025
Olympique Marseille
2 - 2
Toulouse
6 Apr 2025
Olympique Marseille
3 - 2
Toulouse
31 Aug 2024
Toulouse
1 - 3
Olympique Marseille
21 Apr 2024
Toulouse
2 - 2
Olympique Marseille
17 Sept 2023
Olympique Marseille
0 - 0
Toulouse
19 Feb 2023
Toulouse
2 - 3
Olympique Marseille
29 Dec 2022
Olympique Marseille
6 - 1
Toulouse
8 Feb 2020
Olympique Marseille
1 - 0
Toulouse
24 Nov 2019
Toulouse
0 - 2
Olympique Marseille
18 May 2019
Toulouse
2 - 5
Olympique Marseille
10 Aug 2018
Olympique Marseille
4 - 0
Toulouse

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Toulouse
1.29
Form (Overall)
Marseille
1.79

Marseille is +39% better in terms of Points Per Game

Rennes
1 - 0
Toulouse
Toulouse
1 - 1
Paris
Le Havre
2 - 1
Toulouse
Angers SCO
1 - 0
Toulouse
Toulouse
0 - 0
Auxerre
Olympique Marseille
3 - 2
Olympique Lyonnais
Brest
2 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille
2 - 2
Strasbourg
PSG
5 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Paris
2 - 2
Olympique Marseille

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

No spam, unsubscribe at any time.