U. De Chile vs Nublense Prediction & Tips | Liga de Primera | FootballTips.app
U. De Chile
HomeFull Time
6:0
Monday 12 October
Nublense
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
11.50
X4.02
25.87
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
57
Best near-miss
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #3 vs Away #9
Season: Home 1.83 PPG vs Away 1.39 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 0.55 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.91 GPG vs Away 1.18 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
62%
22%
16%
U. De Chile
Draw
Nublense
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.79 | 2.19 | 1.89 | -18.4% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.01 | 1.84 | 2.12 | +9.3% |
| Universidad Chile Win | 1.53 | 1.61 | 1.63 | -5.0% |
| Draw | 4.10 | 4.64 | 4.36 | -11.7% |
| Ñublense Win | 6.00 | 6.11 | 6.38 | -1.7% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.85 | 1.82 | 1.99 | +1.5% |
| BTTS - No | 1.87 | 2.22 | 2.01 | -15.6% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
U. De Chile
Starting 11
7Maximiliano Gabriel Guerrero Pena
RW6.97
11Eduardo Vargas
CF7.16
18Juan Martín Lucero
CF6.44
15Tobías Reinhart
CM6.88
19Javier Adolfo Urzúa Altamirano
CAM6.29
21Marcelo Alfonso Díaz Rojas
CDM6.57
5Nicolás Enrique Ramírez Aguilera
CB6.56
6Nicolás Esteban Fernández Muñoz
RB5.00
17Fabián Marcelo Hormazabal Berríos
RB6.98
22Matías Ezequiel Zaldivia
CB7.08
25Gabriel Jesús Castellón Velazque
GK7.14
Substitutes
23Ignacio Antonio Vásquez González
LW6.34
32Gonzalo Ezequiel Reyna
RW6.59
8Israel Elías Poblete Zúñiga
CM6.43
13Jhon Gallego
CAM
-Matías Riquelme
CAM
4Diego Vargas
LB6.78
-Franco Ronny Fernández Rivas
-Claudio Gutiérrez
-Cristopher Benjamín Toselli Ríos
GK
Nublense
Starting 11
7Fernando Fabián Ovelar Martínez
RW6.76
11Lucas Molina
LW6.86
20Ignacio Geraldino
CF6.88
16Esteban Calderón
CF6.77
21Lorenzo Reyes
CDM7.03
35Christian León Mansilla Rocamora
6.48
5Felipe Manuel Campos Mosqueira
CB6.39
6Pablo Ezeqiel Calderón
CB6.68
14Jovany Campusano
LB6.66
15Sebastián Andrés Valencia Cisternas
CB7.01
1Nicola Pérez
GK6.98
Substitutes
8Gabriel Maximiliano Graciani
RW6.89
9Franco Rami
CF6.70
18Diego Céspedes
CDM5.67
19Ignacio Tapia
CAM6.62
3Carlos Antonio Salomon Tapia
CB2.54
16Diego Sanhueza
RB6.53
27Vicente Guzmán
6.34
-Hernan Muñoz Espinoza
GK
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 23 matchesU. De ChilevsNublense
1.52Goals / Match1.22
0.83Conceded / Match1.35
10Clean Sheets7
5.22Shots on Target / Match4.00
58.1%Possession %46.6%
81.3%Pass Accuracy %76.3%
radarTeam Profile
U. De Chile
Nublense
sports_soccer
52Attack31
shield
71Defense55
swap_horiz
64Possession37
gps_fixed
60Efficiency56
auto_fix_high
65Creativity30
gavel
46Discipline19
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
35Goals Scored28
19Goals Conceded31
10Clean Sheets7
51Big Chances37
32Big Chances Missed22
3Penalty Goals5
gps_fixedShooting
349Total Shots292
120Shots on Target92
swap_horizPassing & Possession
58.1%Avg Possession46.6%
10,762Total Passes8,562
81.3%Pass Accuracy76.3%
shieldDefending
389Tackles388
202Interceptions192
71Saves74
51.3%Duels Won48.7%
gavelDiscipline
224Fouls295
50Yellow Cards63
3Red Cards5
35Offsides38
analyticsOther
142Corners102
192Successful Dribbles147
2Errors Leading to Goal3
6.90Avg Rating6.78
history Recent Form
U. De ChileD
W
L
W
W
NublenseL
L
L
W
D
group Head to Head
PL12 Apr 2026
1-0
PL20 Jul 2025
2-2
PL15 Feb 2025
5-0
PL20 Nov 2024
1-0
PL3 Nov 2024
1-4
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
11 / 16 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
9 / 16 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
7 / 16 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
8 / 16 matches
U. De Chile CS
31%
Clean Sheets
Nublense CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
12 Apr 2026
Ñublense
1 - 0
Universidad Chile
20 Jul 2025
Ñublense
2 - 2
Universidad Chile
15 Feb 2025
Universidad Chile
5 - 0
Ñublense
20 Nov 2024
Universidad Chile
1 - 0
Ñublense
3 Nov 2024
Ñublense
1 - 4
Universidad Chile
26 May 2024
Universidad Chile
0 - 0
Ñublense
9 Dec 2023
Universidad Chile
3 - 1
Ñublense
20 May 2023
Ñublense
1 - 1
Universidad Chile
17 Jul 2022
Universidad Chile
0 - 1
Ñublense
21 Feb 2022
Ñublense
3 - 2
Universidad Chile
4 Nov 2021
Ñublense
1 - 0
Universidad Chile
29 Jul 2021
Universidad Chile
1 - 1
Ñublense
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.18
Form (Overall)
1.45
U. De Chile is +50% better in terms of Points Per Game
Universidad Chile
1 - 1
Everton
Universidad Chile
4 - 2
Coquimbo Unido
Universidad Chile
1 - 2
Colo-Colo
Universidad Chile
2 - 1
Palestino
Universidad Chile
2 - 0
Huachipato
Puerto Montt
2 - 0
Ñublense
La Serena
2 - 1
Ñublense
Deportes Limache
2 - 0
Ñublense
Universidad Católica
1 - 2
Ñublense
Audax Italiano
2 - 2
Ñublense
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