Ukraine vs Sweden Prediction & Tips | World Cup - Qualification - Promotion

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Ukraine

Home

Full Time

1 - 3

HT: 0 - 1

Thursday 26 March

Sweden

Away

UkraineTimelineSweden

1st Half

Gyökeres V. (Nygren B.)

sports_soccer

Starfelt C.Out: Hien I.

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37'

2nd Half

Gyökeres V.Assist: Nordfeldt K.

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51'

Tymchyk O.

56'

Yaremchuk R.Out: Vanat V.

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60'

Ocheretko O.Out: Zubkov O.

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60'

Gutsulyak O.Out: Kaliuzhnyi I.

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60'

Trubin A.

71'

Gyökeres V.(Penalty)

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73'

Nordfeldt K.

75'

Ponomarenko M.Out: Sudakov G.

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77'

Svensson D.Out: Gudmundsson G.

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77'

Bergvall L.Out: Ayari Y.

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77'

Shaparenko M.Out: Yarmolyuk Y.

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85'

Ponomarenko M.

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90'

Svanberg M.Out: Elanga A.

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90+4'

Top stats

0.80Expected goals (xG)2.38

68%Ball possession32%

10Total shots10

4Shots on target4

2Big chances2

9Corner kicks3

84% (474/562)Passes75% (205/272)

2Yellow cards1

Shots

0.80Expected goals (xG)2.38

1.54xG on target (xGOT)2.91

10Total shots10

4Shots on target4

5Shots off target4

1Blocked shots2

7Shots inside the box9

3Shots outside the box1

0Hit the woodwork1

1Headed goals0

Attack

2Big chances2

9Corner kicks3

21Touches in opposition box17

0Accurate through passes0

5Offsides0

10Free kicks12

Passes

84% (474/562)Passes75% (205/272)

33% (15/46)Long passes36% (19/53)

72% (97/134)Passes in final third62% (56/90)

16% (5/32)Crosses29% (2/7)

0.89Expected assists (xA)0.66

22Throw ins18

Defense

12Fouls10

50% (9/18)Tackles100% (6/6)

41Duels won36

8Clearances43

6Interceptions10

0Errors leading to shot1

0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves3

2.91xGOT faced1.54

-0.09Goals prevented0.54

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AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

13.15

X3.22

22.39

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: High (10/10)

100

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 1.10 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.05 PPG vs Away 0.30 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.75 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.80 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

78%

12%

10%

Ukraine

Draw

Sweden

Match Preview

A neutral venue in Spain hosts one of the most intriguing ties of the play-offs, where context and history intersect. Ukraine, displaced but resilient, continue to adapt to life without a true home advantage. Sweden, rebuilding under Graham Potter, arrive with uncertainty but also opportunity.

Ukraine carry stronger recent competitive form, having finished second behind France, while Sweden’s route has been far less convincing, reaching this stage via the Nations League after a winless qualifying campaign.

History leans heavily toward Ukraine, who have won four of the five previous meetings, including the dramatic extra-time victory at Euro 2020. Yet this feels less about history and more about who can impose their structure on a one-off night.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Ukraine

Starting 11

-Anatoliy Trubin

-Vitalii Mykolenko

-Oleksandr Svatok

-Illia Zabarnyi

-Yukhym Konoplia

-Ruslan Malinovskyi

-Mykola Shaparenko

-Ivan Kaliuzhnyi

-Roman Yaremchuk

FWL

-Vladyslav Vanat

-Viktor Tsygankov

FWR

Sweden

Starting 11

-Kristoffer Nordfeldt

-Gabriel Gudmundsson

-Victor Lindelöf

-Isak Hien

-Daniel Svensson

-Anthony Elanga

-Jesper Karlström

-Yasin Ayari

-Williot Swedberg

-Viktor Gyökeres

-Roony Bardghji

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

history Recent Form

Ukraine

1.6 GPG

Sweden

1.1 GPG

group Head to Head

PL29 Jun 2021

1-2

100%

Over 2.5 Goals

100%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

100%

1 / 1 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

100%

1 / 1 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

0 / 1 matches

Both Teams to Score

100%

1 / 1 matches

Ukraine CS

Clean Sheets

Sweden CS

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Jun 2021

Sweden

1 - 2

Ukraine

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.60

Form (Overall)

1.10

Ukraine is +45% better in terms of Points Per Game

Ukraine

2 - 0

Iceland

France

4 - 0

Ukraine

2 - 1

Azerbaijan

Iceland

3 - 5

Ukraine

Azerbaijan

1 - 1

Ukraine

Sweden

1 - 1

Slovenia

Switzerland

4 - 1

Sweden

0 - 1

Kosovo

Sweden

0 - 2

Switzerland

Kosovo

2 - 0

Sweden

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AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

13.15

X3.22

22.39