Ulsan HD vs Incheon Prediction & Tips | K League 1 | FootballTips.app

Ulsan HD

Ulsan HD

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 12 September
Incheon

Incheon

Away
Ulsan HDTimelineIncheon
1st Half
Jang Si-YoungOut: Sim Sang-Min
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22'
2nd Half
Jung Seung-Hyun (Lee Dong-Gyeong)
sports_soccer
53'
Lee Dong-GyeongAssist: Pedrinho
sports_soccer
56'
Ferrier M.Out: Leandro Ribeiro
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62'
Lee Dong-RyulOut: Gerso
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62'
Mugosa S.(Penalty)
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73'
Lee Gyu-SeongOut: Erick Farias
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75'
Kang Sang-WooOut: Pedrinho
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75'
Park Yong-WooOut: Bojanic D.
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86'
Trojak M.Out: Lee Dong-Gyeong
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86'
Kim Seong-MinOut: Seo Jae-Min
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87'
Jeong Chi-InOut: Kim Yeon-Soo
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87'
No statistics available for this match
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AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
12.18
X3.29
23.09

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 38% on target vs Away 37% on target
Standings: Home GD +5 (44pts) vs Away GD +4 (37pts)
Sofascore Stats: Home superiority - Best: Attack (+19), Creativity (+20)

donut_small Win Probabilities

58%
23%
20%
Ulsan HD
Draw
Incheon
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.901.99-4.5%
Under 2.5 Goals1.902.01-5.5%
Home Win2.151.74+23.7%
Draw3.204.39-27.1%
Away Win3.205.08-37.0%
BTTS - Yes2.001.80+11.4%
BTTS - No1.722.26-23.8%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Ulsan Hyundai and Incheon United meet in K League 1 action at the Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium on September 12, 2026.

Occupying second and seventh place in the standings respectively, Ulsan Hyundai enters the contest with 44 points, holding a seven-point advantage over their visitors.

Home form has seen Ulsan Hyundai take 9 victories from their latest 18 matches at this venue, while Incheon United have suffered 3 defeats in their previous 6 away fixtures, hinting at some difficulties on the road.

In their past six matchups across all competitions, Ulsan Hyundai have claimed victory three times over Incheon United, further underlining a slight historical edge.

Over 2.5 goals has been the outcome in four of Ulsan Hyundai’s last six home matches and in two of Incheon United’s previous six away games.

Our model gives Ulsan Hyundai a 40 percent probability to claim all three points in this encounter.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 28 / 27 matches
Ulsan HDvsIncheon
1.50Goals / Match1.26
1.32Conceded / Match1.11
6Clean Sheets7
4.86Shots on Target / Match3.67
45.7%Possession %51.8%
80.7%Pass Accuracy %84.1%

radarTeam Profile

Ulsan HD
Incheon
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
48Attack29
shield
47Defense43
swap_horiz
41Possession52
gps_fixed
66Efficiency65
auto_fix_high
48Creativity28
gavel
63Discipline47

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

42Goals Scored34
37Goals Conceded30
6Clean Sheets7
65Big Chances43
37Big Chances Missed24
4Penalty Goals6

gps_fixedShooting

389Total Shots302
136Shots on Target99

swap_horizPassing & Possession

45.7%Avg Possession51.8%
11,347Total Passes12,116
80.7%Pass Accuracy84.1%

shieldDefending

443Tackles334
243Interceptions200
80Saves77
51.7%Duels Won48.7%

gavelDiscipline

265Fouls291
40Yellow Cards54
2Red Cards3
40Offsides44

analyticsOther

117Corners115
154Successful Dribbles140
2Errors Leading to Goal3
6.84Avg Rating6.77

League Standings Context

For Ulsan HD

PosTeamPWDLPts
1FC Seoul28185559
2Ulsan Hyundai281351044
3Jeonbuk Hyundai281110743

For Incheon

PosTeamPWDLPts
6Daejeon Citizen281081038
7Incheon United271071037
8Pohang Steelers281061236

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

60.3/ 93.6
Dangerous Attacks
61.9/ 98.2
38.0%
Shots on Target
37.0%
10.7
Total Shots
8.6
49.0%
Possession
52.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.3
Goals Scored / Match
1.2
1.2
Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

Head-to-Head Summary

3
Ulsan HD Wins
50%
2
Draws
33%
1
Incheon Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketUlsan HDIncheon
Over 1.5 Goals
70%26/37
46%17/37
Over 2.5 Goals
51%19/37
35%13/37
Both Teams to Score
59%22/37
41%15/37
* Based on last 37 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Ulsan HD

Kr1
Ulsan Hyundai
1 - 0
FC Seoul
Kr1
Ulsan Hyundai
3 - 1
Sangju Sangmu
Kr1
Ulsan Hyundai
2 - 3
Gangwon FC
Kr1
Ulsan Hyundai
3 - 1
FC Anyang
Kr1
Ulsan Hyundai
1 - 2
Incheon United
Kr1
Ulsan Hyundai
1 - 3
Jeonbuk Hyundai

Home Games: Ulsan HD

Kr1
Ulsan Hyundai
1 - 0
FC Seoul
Kr1
Ulsan Hyundai
3 - 1
Sangju Sangmu
Kr1
Ulsan Hyundai
2 - 3
Gangwon FC
Kr1
Ulsan Hyundai
3 - 1
FC Anyang
Kr1
Ulsan Hyundai
1 - 2
Incheon United
Kr1
Ulsan Hyundai
1 - 3
Jeonbuk Hyundai

Last 6: Incheon

Kr1
FC Seoul
1 - 0
Incheon United
Kr1
FC Anyang
2 - 1
Incheon United
Kr1
Gwangju FC
0 - 1
Incheon United
Kr1
Jeju United
3 - 3
Incheon United
Kr1
Ulsan Hyundai
1 - 2
Incheon United
Kr1
FC Seoul
1 - 0
Incheon United

Away Games: Incheon

Kr1
FC Seoul
1 - 0
Incheon United
Kr1
FC Anyang
2 - 1
Incheon United
Kr1
Gwangju FC
0 - 1
Incheon United
Kr1
Jeju United
3 - 3
Incheon United
Kr1
Ulsan Hyundai
1 - 2
Incheon United
Kr1
FC Seoul
1 - 0
Incheon United

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