UNAM Pumas vs Toluca Prediction & Tips | Liga MX - Clausura | FootballTips.app
UNAM Pumas
HomeFull Time
2 - 3
HT: 1 - 1
Wednesday 4 March
Toluca
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.75
X3.83
21.87
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
92
Opp. Value
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.42 PPG vs Away 2.10 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 2.50 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.50 GPG vs Away 1.47 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.92 conc vs Away 0.60 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
69%
15%
16%
UNAM Pumas
Draw
Toluca
Match Preview
UNAM Pumas will meet Deportivo Toluca at Estadio Olímpico de Universitario on March 4th, 2026, in a Liga MX matchup.
UNAM Pumas, with a 67% win rate in their last 6 home matches, will face Deportivo Toluca, who have secured victory in 50% of their recent Liga MX fixtures.
In their previous head-to-head encounters, UNAM Pumas and Deportivo Toluca have played out 4 draws in their last 6 matches.
Both teams have been involved in low-scoring affairs recently, with UNAM Pumas witnessing under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 home matches, while Deportivo Toluca has seen under 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 away games.
As per our model prediction, UNAM Pumas and Deportivo Toluca are expected to play out a draw in this contest.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
UNAM Pumas
Starting 11
23Juninho
RW7.10
-1Robert Morales
6.55
-1Pedro Vite
6.59
7Rodrigo López Quiñones
5.69
-1Alan Medina
CM6.65
28Adalberto Carrasquilla
CM7.03
-1Jordan Carrillo Rodríguez
LW5.67
215Ángel Amhed Azuaje García
4.17
6Nathan Silva
CB6.69
77Álvaro Anyiver Angulo Mosquera
LB6.95
1Keylor Navas
GK6.97
Substitutes
9Guillermo Martínez Ayala
6.43
-1Carlos Uriel Antuna Romero
4.06
8José Luis Caicedo Barrera
4.89
14Cesar Garza Cantu
5.26
-Pablo Emiliano Lara Nevarez
241Dennis Ramirez
1.09
2Pablo Bennevendo Peña
6.18
5Rubén Duarte
LB5.94
14Jesús Andrés Rivas Gutiérrez
3.63
-1Antonio Leone
0.44
Toluca
Starting 11
5Franco Agustín Romero
6.58
26José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior
CF7.28
10Jesús Ricardo Angulo Uriarte
6.60
14Marcel Alejandro Ruiz Suárez
7.09
19Santiago Simón
RW6.16
20Jesús Daniel Gallardo Vasconcelos
6.76
29Jorge Roberto Díaz Price
5.15
2Diego Armando Barbosa Zaragoza
5.57
-1Bruno Méndez Cittadini
CB5.46
6Federico Pereira
CB6.74
22Luis Manuel García Palomera
2.69
Substitutes
27Franco Andrés Rossi Donazar
1.34
-1Francisco Sebastián Córdova Reyes
4.44
-1Helio Junio Nunes de Castro
RW7.01
15Pavel Uriel Pérez Hernández
6.81
17Mauricio André Isais
0.95
-1Fernando David Arce Juárez
1.01
3Antonio Briseño Vázquez
3.50
13Luan
CB1.65
-1Everardo López
5.49
-1Hugo Alfonso González Durán
4.35
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 8 / 10 matchesUNAM PumasvsToluca
radarTeam Profile
UNAM Pumas
Toluca
sports_soccer
52Attack32
shield
57Defense40
swap_horiz
54Possession24
gps_fixed
82Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
38Creativity0
gavel
41Discipline40
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
15Goals Scored22
7Goals Conceded11
3Clean Sheets4
2Penalty Goals1
gavelDiscipline
15Yellow Cards16
1Red Cards3
League Standings Context
For UNAM Pumas
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 5 | Pachuca CF | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
For Toluca
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| 2 | Deportivo Toluca | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
42.3/ 84.2
Dangerous Attacks
38.8/ 82.3
32.0%
Shots on Target
34.0%
12.1
Total Shots
16.5
51.0%
Possession
56.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
1.5
Goals Scored / Match
2.0
1.4
Goals Conceded / Match
0.8
Head-to-Head Summary
1
UNAM Pumas Wins
17%
4
Draws
67%
1
Toluca Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | UNAM Pumas | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 82%23/28 | 75%21/28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46%13/28 | 57%16/28 |
| Both Teams to Score | 68%19/28 | 54%15/28 |
* Based on last 28 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: UNAM Pumas
Mx1
UNAM Pumas
2 - 0
CF Monterrey
CNL
UNAM Pumas
1 - 0
San Diego
Mx1
UNAM Pumas
4 - 0
Santos Laguna
Mx1
UNAM Pumas
1 - 1
Club León
Mx1
UNAM Pumas
1 - 1
Querétaro FC
Mx1
UNAM Pumas
4 - 1
Club Tijuana
Home Games: UNAM Pumas
Mx1
UNAM Pumas
2 - 0
CF Monterrey
CNL
UNAM Pumas
1 - 0
San Diego
Mx1
UNAM Pumas
4 - 0
Santos Laguna
Mx1
UNAM Pumas
1 - 1
Club León
Mx1
UNAM Pumas
1 - 1
Querétaro FC
Mx1
UNAM Pumas
4 - 1
Club Tijuana
Last 6: Toluca
Mx1
Club Necaxa
0 - 3
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
Puebla FC
0 - 0
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
Tigres UANL
0 - 0
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
CF Monterrey
0 - 1
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
Tigres UANL
1 - 0
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
CF Monterrey
1 - 0
Deportivo Toluca
Away Games: Toluca
Mx1
Club Necaxa
0 - 3
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
Puebla FC
0 - 0
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
Tigres UANL
0 - 0
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
CF Monterrey
0 - 1
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
Tigres UANL
1 - 0
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
CF Monterrey
1 - 0
Deportivo Toluca
history Recent Form
UNAM PumasD
W
W
D
W
TolucaW
W
W
D
D
group Head to Head
PL17 Aug 2025
1-1
PL30 Jan 2025
1-1
PL6 Oct 2024
1-1
PL18 Mar 2024
3-0
PL19 Aug 2023
1-1
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
24 / 31 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
18 / 31 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
8 / 31 matches
Both Teams to Score
68%
21 / 31 matches
UNAM Pumas CS
16%
Clean Sheets
Toluca CS
19%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
17 Aug 2025
Toluca
1 - 1
Pumas UNAM
30 Jan 2025
Pumas UNAM
1 - 1
Toluca
6 Oct 2024
Toluca
1 - 1
Pumas UNAM
18 Mar 2024
Toluca
3 - 0
Pumas UNAM
19 Aug 2023
Pumas UNAM
1 - 1
Toluca
16 Apr 2023
Pumas UNAM
3 - 1
Toluca
14 Dec 2022
Pumas UNAM
1 - 1
Toluca
11 Sept 2022
Toluca
2 - 2
Pumas UNAM
11 Jan 2022
Pumas UNAM
5 - 0
Toluca
21 Nov 2021
Toluca
1 - 2
Pumas UNAM
29 Aug 2021
Toluca
2 - 1
Pumas UNAM
14 Feb 2021
Toluca
1 - 0
Pumas UNAM
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.42
Form (Overall)
2.10
Toluca is +48% better in terms of Points Per Game
Tijuana
1 - 1
Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM
2 - 0
Monterrey
Puebla
2 - 3
Pumas UNAM
Atlas
2 - 2
Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM
4 - 0
Santos Laguna
Toluca
2 - 0
Guadalajara
Necaxa
0 - 3
Toluca
Toluca
1 - 0
Tijuana
Toluca
1 - 1
Cruz Azul
Puebla
0 - 0
Toluca
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.75
X3.83
21.87
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
92
Opp. Value
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.42 PPG vs Away 2.10 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 2.50 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.50 GPG vs Away 1.47 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.92 conc vs Away 0.60 conc
Match Preview
UNAM Pumas will meet Deportivo Toluca at Estadio Olímpico de Universitario on March 4th, 2026, in a Liga MX matchup.
UNAM Pumas, with a 67% win rate in their last 6 home matches, will face Deportivo Toluca, who have secured victory in 50% of their recent Liga MX fixtures.
In their previous head-to-head encounters, UNAM Pumas and Deportivo Toluca have played out 4 draws in their last 6 matches.
Both teams have been involved in low-scoring affairs recently, with UNAM Pumas witnessing under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 home matches, while Deportivo Toluca has seen under 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 away games.
As per our model prediction, UNAM Pumas and Deportivo Toluca are expected to play out a draw in this contest.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 8 / 10 matchesUNAM PumasvsToluca
radarTeam Profile
UNAM Pumas
Toluca
sports_soccer
52Attack32
shield
57Defense40
swap_horiz
54Possession24
gps_fixed
82Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
38Creativity0
gavel
41Discipline40
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
15Goals Scored22
7Goals Conceded11
3Clean Sheets4
2Penalty Goals1
gavelDiscipline
15Yellow Cards16
1Red Cards3
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
42.3/ 84.2
Dangerous Attacks
38.8/ 82.3
32.0%
Shots on Target
34.0%
12.1
Total Shots
16.5
51.0%
Possession
56.0%
Head-to-Head Summary
1
UNAM Pumas Wins
17%
4
Draws
67%
1
Toluca Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Past Matches
Last 6: UNAM Pumas
Mx1
UNAM Pumas
2 - 0
CF Monterrey
CNL
UNAM Pumas
1 - 0
San Diego
Mx1
UNAM Pumas
4 - 0
Santos Laguna
Mx1
UNAM Pumas
1 - 1
Club León
Mx1
UNAM Pumas
1 - 1
Querétaro FC
Mx1
UNAM Pumas
4 - 1
Club Tijuana
Home Games: UNAM Pumas
Mx1
UNAM Pumas
2 - 0
CF Monterrey
CNL
UNAM Pumas
1 - 0
San Diego
Mx1
UNAM Pumas
4 - 0
Santos Laguna
Mx1
UNAM Pumas
1 - 1
Club León
Mx1
UNAM Pumas
1 - 1
Querétaro FC
Mx1
UNAM Pumas
4 - 1
Club Tijuana
Last 6: Toluca
Mx1
Club Necaxa
0 - 3
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
Puebla FC
0 - 0
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
Tigres UANL
0 - 0
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
CF Monterrey
0 - 1
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
Tigres UANL
1 - 0
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
CF Monterrey
1 - 0
Deportivo Toluca
Away Games: Toluca
Mx1
Club Necaxa
0 - 3
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
Puebla FC
0 - 0
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
Tigres UANL
0 - 0
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
CF Monterrey
0 - 1
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
Tigres UANL
1 - 0
Deportivo Toluca
Mx1
CF Monterrey
1 - 0
Deportivo Toluca
group Head to Head
PL17 Aug 2025
1-1
PL30 Jan 2025
1-1
PL6 Oct 2024
1-1
PL18 Mar 2024
3-0
PL19 Aug 2023
1-1
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
Both Team Score
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.42
Form (Overall)
2.10
Toluca is +48% better in terms of Points Per Game
Tijuana
1 - 1
Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM
2 - 0
Monterrey
Puebla
2 - 3
Pumas UNAM
Atlas
2 - 2
Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM
4 - 0
Santos Laguna
Toluca
2 - 0
Guadalajara
Necaxa
0 - 3
Toluca
Toluca
1 - 0
Tijuana
Toluca
1 - 1
Cruz Azul
Puebla
0 - 0
Toluca
donut_small Win Probabilities
69%
15%
16%
UNAM Pumas
Draw
Toluca
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
UNAM Pumas
Starting 11
23Juninho
RW7.10
-1Robert Morales
6.55
-1Pedro Vite
6.59
7Rodrigo López Quiñones
5.69
-1Alan Medina
CM6.65
28Adalberto Carrasquilla
CM7.03
-1Jordan Carrillo Rodríguez
LW5.67
215Ángel Amhed Azuaje García
4.17
6Nathan Silva
CB6.69
77Álvaro Anyiver Angulo Mosquera
LB6.95
1Keylor Navas
GK6.97
Substitutes
9Guillermo Martínez Ayala
6.43
-1Carlos Uriel Antuna Romero
4.06
8José Luis Caicedo Barrera
4.89
14Cesar Garza Cantu
5.26
-Pablo Emiliano Lara Nevarez
241Dennis Ramirez
1.09
2Pablo Bennevendo Peña
6.18
5Rubén Duarte
LB5.94
14Jesús Andrés Rivas Gutiérrez
3.63
-1Antonio Leone
0.44
Toluca
Starting 11
5Franco Agustín Romero
6.58
26José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior
CF7.28
10Jesús Ricardo Angulo Uriarte
6.60
14Marcel Alejandro Ruiz Suárez
7.09
19Santiago Simón
RW6.16
20Jesús Daniel Gallardo Vasconcelos
6.76
29Jorge Roberto Díaz Price
5.15
2Diego Armando Barbosa Zaragoza
5.57
-1Bruno Méndez Cittadini
CB5.46
6Federico Pereira
CB6.74
22Luis Manuel García Palomera
2.69
Substitutes
27Franco Andrés Rossi Donazar
1.34
-1Francisco Sebastián Córdova Reyes
4.44
-1Helio Junio Nunes de Castro
RW7.01
15Pavel Uriel Pérez Hernández
6.81
17Mauricio André Isais
0.95
-1Fernando David Arce Juárez
1.01
3Antonio Briseño Vázquez
3.50
13Luan
CB1.65
-1Everardo López
5.49
-1Hugo Alfonso González Durán
4.35
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
League Standings Context
For UNAM Pumas
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 5 | Pachuca CF | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
For Toluca
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| 2 | Deportivo Toluca | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 |
Team Performance (Avg)
1.5
Goals Scored / Match
2.0
1.4
Goals Conceded / Match
0.8
Recent Form Stats
| Market | UNAM Pumas | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 82%23/28 | 75%21/28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46%13/28 | 57%16/28 |
| Both Teams to Score | 68%19/28 | 54%15/28 |
* Based on last 28 matches
history Recent Form
UNAM PumasD
W
W
D
W
TolucaW
W
W
D
D
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
24 / 31 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
18 / 31 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
8 / 31 matches
Both Teams to Score
68%
21 / 31 matches
UNAM Pumas CS
16%
Clean Sheets
Toluca CS
19%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
17 Aug 2025
Toluca
1 - 1
Pumas UNAM
30 Jan 2025
Pumas UNAM
1 - 1
Toluca
6 Oct 2024
Toluca
1 - 1
Pumas UNAM
18 Mar 2024
Toluca
3 - 0
Pumas UNAM
19 Aug 2023
Pumas UNAM
1 - 1
Toluca
16 Apr 2023
Pumas UNAM
3 - 1
Toluca
14 Dec 2022
Pumas UNAM
1 - 1
Toluca
11 Sept 2022
Toluca
2 - 2
Pumas UNAM
11 Jan 2022
Pumas UNAM
5 - 0
Toluca
21 Nov 2021
Toluca
1 - 2
Pumas UNAM
29 Aug 2021
Toluca
2 - 1
Pumas UNAM
14 Feb 2021
Toluca
1 - 0
Pumas UNAM
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