USA vs Belgium Prediction & Tips | World Championship - Play Offs

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USA

Home

Full Time

1 - 4

HT: 1 - 2

Tuesday 7 July

Belgium

Away

USATimelineBelgium

1st Half

De Ketelaere C. (Raskin N.)

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Vanaken H.Out: Onana A.

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21'

Tillman M.

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31'

De Ketelaere C.Assist: Trossard L.

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33'

McKennie W.

35'

2nd Half

Reyna G.Out: Dest S.

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46'

Vanaken H. (De Ketelaere C.)

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57'

Berhalter S.Out: Pulisic C.

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59'

Doku J.Out: Lukebakio D.

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67'

Lukaku R.Out: De Ketelaere C.

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67'

Tillman M.

69'

Pepi R.Out: Adams T.

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72'

Saelemaekers A.Out: Trossard L.

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89'

Witsel A.Out: Raskin N.

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89'

Wright H.Out: Balogun F.

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90+2'

Arfsten M.Out: Robinson A.

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90+2'

Lukaku R. (Vanaken H.)

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90+3'

Top stats

0.63Expected goals (xG)2.01

56%Ball possession44%

7Total shots15

2Shots on target7

0Big chances4

3Corner kicks5

87% (459/527)Passes81% (334/414)

2Yellow cards0

Shots

0.63Expected goals (xG)2.01

0.22xG on target (xGOT)3.51

7Total shots15

2Shots on target7

5Shots off target4

0Blocked shots4

5Shots inside the box10

2Shots outside the box5

0Hit the woodwork0

0Headed goals1

Attack

0Big chances4

3Corner kicks5

12Touches in opposition box22

2Accurate through passes0

0Offsides1

9Free kicks11

Passes

87% (459/527)Passes81% (334/414)

53% (19/36)Long passes30% (18/60)

71% (98/139)Passes in final third63% (61/97)

18% (2/11)Crosses33% (5/15)

0.72Expected assists (xA)1.67

25Throw ins18

Defense

11Fouls9

45% (9/20)Tackles45% (10/22)

52Duels won55

23Clearances18

9Interceptions9

2Errors leading to shot1

3Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves1

3.51xGOT faced0.22

-0.49Goals prevented-0.78

6Goal kicks7

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AI Prediction

verified Medium Confidence

12.61

X3.32

22.93

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: Medium (5/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.95 PPG vs Away 2.30 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 2.33 GPG vs Away 2.80 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 1.56 conc vs Away 1.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

37%

27%

36%

USA

Draw

Belgium

Match Preview

The USA survived a second-half scare against Bosnia and Herzegovina as Folarin Balogun's red card set the co-hosts on the back foot. Fortunately for Mauricio Pochettino, Malik Tillman put the icing on the cake late as the North American side secured their third win in four World Cup games in 2026.

Belgium's route to the round of 16 was even less straightforward. Rudi Garcia's side needed two goals in the final four minutes of regulation time to take Senegal to extra time before Youri Tielemans scored a 125th-minute penalty that capped off a remarkable comeback. The European nation is unbeaten with two wins and two draws so far this tournament.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

USA

Starting 11

-Matt Freese

GK6.73

-Antonee Robinson

DL7.32

-Chris Richards

DC7.35

-Tim Ream

DC7.05

-Alex Freeman

DR7.28

-Malik Tillman

DMC7.23

-Tyler Adams

DMC6.97

-Christian Pulisic

AML7.16

-Weston McKennie

AMC7.26

-Sergiño Dest

AMR6.84

-Ricardo Pepi

FW6.24

Belgium

Starting 11

-Thibaut Courtois

GK6.81

-Maxim De Cuyper

DL6.77

-Arthur Theate

DC6.69

-Brandon Mechele

DC6.97

-Timothy Castagne

DR6.97

-Hans Vanaken

DMC6.41

-Youri Tielemans

DMC7.19

-Leandro Trossard

AML7.82

-Kevin De Bruyne

AMC7.13

-Jérémy Doku

AMR6.51

-Romelu Lukaku

FW6.76

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Statistical Comparison

USAMetricBelgium

Goals

Assists

6.7

Average Ratings

6.8

26.6

Average Age

30.3

183.4

Average Height (cm)

184.5

1.3

Shots pg

1.5

48%

Aerial Duel Success

59%

1.4

Dribbles pg

1.3

Tackles pg

0.9

history Recent Form

USA

1.8 GPG

Belgium

2.2 GPG

group Head to Head

PL28 Mar 2026

2-5

PL1 Jul 2014

2-1

100%

Over 2.5 Goals

100%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

100%

2 / 2 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

100%

2 / 2 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

50%

1 / 2 matches

Both Teams to Score

100%

2 / 2 matches

USA CS

Clean Sheets

Belgium CS

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

28 Mar 2026

USMNT

2 - 5

Belgium

1 Jul 2014

Belgium

2 - 1

USMNT

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.80

Form (Overall)

2.20

Belgium is +22% better in terms of Points Per Game

USMNT

2 - 0

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Turkey

3 - 2

USMNT

2 - 0

Australia

USMNT

4 - 1

Paraguay

USMNT

1 - 2

Germany

Belgium

3 - 2

Senegal

New Zealand

1 - 5

Belgium

0 - 0

Iran

Belgium

1 - 1

Egypt

Belgium

5 - 0

Tunisia

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AI Prediction

verified Medium Confidence

12.61

X3.32

22.93