Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Tips | Eredivisie | FootballTips.app

Utrecht

Utrecht

Home
Full Time
2 - 0
HT: 2 - 0
Sunday 1 March
AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

Away
UtrechtTimelineAZ Alkmaar
1st Half
Cathline Y. ()
sports_soccer
9'
Oufkir A.
25'
Owusu-Oduro R.
33'
Stepanov A.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
35'
2nd Half
Smit K.Out: Mijnans S.
sync_alt
46'
Parrott T.Out: Meerdink M.
sync_alt
46'
Dijkstra E.Out: Penetra
sync_alt
46'
Weslley PatatiOut: Oufkir A.
sync_alt
54'
Min D.Out: Stepanov A.
sync_alt
76'
Daal R.Out: Jensen I.
sync_alt
76'
Rodriguez M.Out: Alarcon A.
sync_alt
77'
Smit K.
81'
van der Hoorn M.
81'
Karlsson J.Out: Cathline Y.
sync_alt
83'
Bozdogan C.Out: Zechiel G.
sync_alt
89'

Top stats

1.27Expected goals (xG)0.73
41%Ball possession59%
12Total shots10
3Shots on target6
1Big chances2
5Corner kicks4
76% (261/342)Passes82% (403/489)
1Yellow cards3

Shots

1.27Expected goals (xG)0.73
1.46xG on target (xGOT)0.96
12Total shots10
3Shots on target6
4Shots off target4
5Blocked shots0
9Shots inside the box5
3Shots outside the box5
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances2
5Corner kicks4
27Touches in opposition box23
0Accurate through passes2
1Offsides0
13Free kicks13

Passes

76% (261/342)Passes82% (403/489)
48% (30/63)Long passes52% (29/56)
57% (49/86)Passes in final third74% (103/140)
17% (2/12)Crosses14% (2/14)
0.70Expected assists (xA)1.31
20Throw ins16

Defense

13Fouls13
52% (11/21)Tackles58% (14/24)
60Duels won54
17Clearances32
14Interceptions9
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

6Goalkeeper saves1
0.96xGOT faced1.46
0.96Goals prevented-0.54
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
12.31
X3.52
23.04

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
63
Opp. Value

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Player Ratings Lineups: Home 6.8 vs Away 6.7
Model Consensus: 1-1 (Draw)
Statistical Edge: Home leads in 2 categories

donut_small Win Probabilities

22%
36%
42%
Utrecht
Draw
AZ Alkmaar

Match Preview

Eredivisie action will see Utrecht take on AZ Alkmaar at Stadion Galgenwaard on March 01, 2026, GMT.

Utrecht, currently 8th in the standings with 31 points, will face off against 5th-placed AZ Alkmaar, who has accumulated 39 points.

Utrecht has faced a challenging run at home, suffering 5 losses in their last 6 home matches across all leagues.

In contrast, AZ Alkmaar has shown promise on the road, securing 3 wins in their recent 6 away matches.

Looking at their past head-to-head encounters, Utrecht has managed 4 draws in the last 6 matches against AZ Alkmaar.

Given the contrasting home and away form, AZ Alkmaar is poised to secure a victory in this upcoming match with a projected scoreline of 1-2.

Algorithm prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win by 1-2.

Stadion Galgenwaard hosts a meeting of two direct European hopefuls separated by five points. Utrecht begin the weekend eighth on 31 points (8W, 7D, 9L), while AZ sit seventh with 36 (10W, 6D, 7L), both still within reach of the upper tier.

Historically, AZ hold the edge in this fixture (41 wins to Utrecht’s 30, with 19 draws), and the most recent meeting ended emphatically in AZ’s favour, a 4-1 victory. Recent clashes in Utrecht, however, have often been tight, with five draws in the last ten league meetings at Galgenwaard.

Utrecht’s recent form reflects inconsistency: two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five across all competitions. They have scored seven goals in that stretch but remain defensively exposed, going 11 matches without a clean sheet. At home, form has dipped further, with no win in their last three league matches and just one goal scored across that sequence.

AZ arrive in steadier condition. They have won three of their last five in all competitions and claimed two victories from their last three away fixtures. Across their previous five matches they have scored eight goals, though they too have defensive concerns, conceding in each of their last six games.

Both sides average around 1.5 goals per league match this season, suggesting a balanced contest between comparable attacking outputs and similarly fragile back lines.

Utrecht’s defensive run without a clean sheet meets an AZ side that have conceded in six straight but continue to score consistently through Parrott and their penalty threat. With both teams averaging around a goal and a half per game and recent meetings often finely balanced at Galgenwaard, this projects as a tight contest.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Utrecht

Starting 11
-Vasilios Barkas
GK6.74
-Souffian El Karouani
DL7.44
-Matisse Didden
DC6.72
-Mike van der Hoorn
DC6.76
-Niklas Vesterlund
DR6.24
-Gjivai Zechiël
DMC6.89
-Alonzo Engwanda
DMC6.78
-Yoann Cathline
AML6.72
-Dani de Wit
AMC6.76
-Ángel Alarcón
AMR7.11
-Artem Stepanov
FW6.48

AZ Alkmaar

Starting 11
-Jeroen Zoet
GK6.44
-Billy van Duijl
DC7.26
-Alexandre Penetra
DC6.83
-Wouter Goes
DC6.69
-Mateo Chávez
ML6.66
-Matej Sín
MC6.22
-Peer Koopmeiners
MC6.78
-Isak Jensen
MR6.82
-Kasper Boogaard
AMC6.62
-Troy Parrott
FW7.13
-Jizz Hornkamp
FW6.06
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 24 matches
UtrechtvsAZ Alkmaar

radarTeam Profile

Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
54Attack68
shield
44Defense44
swap_horiz
43Possession60
gps_fixed
59Efficiency67
auto_fix_high
43Creativity56
gavel
61Discipline49

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

36Goals Scored42
31Goals Conceded38
3Clean Sheets5
59Big Chances81
40Big Chances Missed53
0Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

356Total Shots376
122Shots on Target139

swap_horizPassing & Possession

47.7%Avg Possession52.9%
9,791Total Passes10,951
79.7%Pass Accuracy82.0%

shieldDefending

401Tackles435
213Interceptions177
74Saves71
51.4%Duels Won48.9%

gavelDiscipline

258Fouls254
34Yellow Cards54
1Red Cards1
26Offsides25

analyticsOther

123Corners132
145Successful Dribbles197
1Errors Leading to Goal7
6.86Avg Rating6.82

Statistical Comparison

UtrechtMetricAZ Alkmaar
36
Goals
40
29
Assists
27
6.6
Average Ratings
6.6
24.8
Average Age
23.6
184.5
Average Height (cm)
185
1.1
Shots pg
1
55%
Aerial Duel Success
46%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.3
Tackles pg
1.6

League Standings Context

For Utrecht

PosTeamPWDLPts
9Fortuna Sittard25951132
10Utrecht2487931
11Groningen24941131

For AZ Alkmaar

PosTeamPWDLPts
4Ajax241110343
5AZ Alkmaar24116739
6Twente24911438

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

37.7/ 91.0
Dangerous Attacks
50.7/ 101.4
36.0%
Shots on Target
40.0%
13.3
Total Shots
15.9
47.0%
Possession
53.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.4
Goals Scored / Match
2.0
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Utrecht Wins
17%
4
Draws
67%
1
AZ Alkmaar Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketUtrechtAZ Alkmaar
Over 1.5 Goals
80%32/40
80%32/40
Over 2.5 Goals
53%21/40
65%26/40
Both Teams to Score
65%26/40
57%23/40
* Based on last 40 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Utrecht

Nl1
Utrecht
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle
Nl1
Utrecht
0 - 1
Feyenoord
Nl1
Utrecht
0 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam
UEL
Utrecht
0 - 2
Racing Genk
NlC
Utrecht
1 - 2
Twente
Nl1
Utrecht
1 - 2
PSV Eindhoven

Home Games: Utrecht

Nl1
Utrecht
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle
Nl1
Utrecht
0 - 1
Feyenoord
Nl1
Utrecht
0 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam
UEL
Utrecht
0 - 2
Racing Genk
NlC
Utrecht
1 - 2
Twente
Nl1
Utrecht
1 - 2
PSV Eindhoven

Last 6: AZ Alkmaar

ECL
Noah
1 - 0
AZ Alkmaar
Nl1
Excelsior
1 - 2
AZ Alkmaar
Nl1
SC Telstar
0 - 1
AZ Alkmaar
Nl1
PEC Zwolle
3 - 1
AZ Alkmaar
Nl1
Fortuna Sittard
4 - 3
AZ Alkmaar
ECL
Drita
0 - 3
AZ Alkmaar

Away Games: AZ Alkmaar

ECL
Noah
1 - 0
AZ Alkmaar
Nl1
Excelsior
1 - 2
AZ Alkmaar
Nl1
SC Telstar
0 - 1
AZ Alkmaar
Nl1
PEC Zwolle
3 - 1
AZ Alkmaar
Nl1
Fortuna Sittard
4 - 3
AZ Alkmaar
ECL
Drita
0 - 3
AZ Alkmaar

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