Utrecht vs Heerenveen Prediction & Tips | Eredivisie - Conference League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Utrecht

Utrecht

Home
Full Time
3 - 2
HT: 0 - 0
Thursday 21 May
Heerenveen

Heerenveen

Away
UtrechtTimelineHeerenveen
1st Half
Horemans S.Out: Engwanda A.
sync_alt
45'
2nd Half
Stepanov A.
sports_soccer
46'
Linday M.
49'
Vente D. (van Overeem J.)
sports_soccer
54'
van der Hoorn M. (El Karouani S.)
sports_soccer
56'
El Karouani S.Assist: Vesterlund N.
sports_soccer
58'
Haller S.Out: Stepanov A.
sync_alt
65'
Nordas L.Out: Oyen L.
sync_alt
69'
Trenskow J. (Kersten S.)
sports_soccer
77'
Brouwers L.Out: Linday M.
sync_alt
78'
Viergever N.Out: Eerdhuijzen M.
sync_alt
80'
Blake A.Out: Karlsson J.
sync_alt
80'

Top stats

2.08Expected goals (xG)1.22
41%Ball possession59%
23Total shots13
8Shots on target5
3Big chances2
9Corner kicks6
83% (306/367)Passes85% (464/543)
0Yellow cards1

Shots

2.08Expected goals (xG)1.22
1.89xG on target (xGOT)2.01
23Total shots13
8Shots on target5
8Shots off target6
7Blocked shots2
16Shots inside the box9
7Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

3Big chances2
9Corner kicks6
33Touches in opposition box26
0Accurate through passes2
1Offsides0
6Free kicks11

Passes

83% (306/367)Passes85% (464/543)
56% (29/52)Long passes44% (21/48)
80% (76/95)Passes in final third75% (126/167)
29% (6/21)Crosses19% (3/16)
1.47Expected assists (xA)1.51
12Throw ins14

Defense

11Fouls6
73% (8/11)Tackles55% (6/11)
37Duels won33
21Clearances11
12Interceptions7
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves5
1.96xGOT faced1.53
-0.04Goals prevented-1.47
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.98
X3.76
23.68

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
97
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.56 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.55 PPG vs Away 1.35 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.82 GPG vs Away 1.41 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.76 conc vs Away 1.71 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

68%
17%
15%
Utrecht
Draw
Heerenveen

Match Preview

A place in the Eredivisie Conference League play-off final is at stake when FC Utrecht host Heerenveen at Stadion Galgenwaard in a meeting between two sides who ended the regular season separated by only two points.

Utrecht enter the semi-final with momentum after finishing the campaign strongly. Ron Jans’ side won four of their final five league matches, including an impressive away victory at Ajax and a composed 2-0 win over Fortuna Sittard on the final day. Their form ultimately secured sixth place and home advantage for this tie.

Heerenveen’s end to the season was more inconsistent. Robin Veldman’s side lost to relegated NAC Breda before holding Ajax to a goalless draw on the final weekend, though their excellent home form proved decisive in securing a play-off spot ahead of Groningen and Sparta Rotterdam.

Interestingly, all four meetings between these sides across the last two Eredivisie seasons have ended level, including two draws during the 2025/26 campaign. Those matches were often open and transitional, with neither side consistently able to impose control for long periods.

That balance suggests another closely fought encounter may await in Utrecht.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Utrecht

Starting 11
-Vasilios Barkas
GK
-Souffian El Karouani
DL
-Mike Eerdhuijzen
DC
-Mike van der Hoorn
DC
-Niklas Vesterlund
DR
-Gjivai Zechiël
DMC
-Alonzo Engwanda
DMC
-Jesper Karlsson
AML
-Dani de Wit
AMC
-Yoann Cathline
AMR
-Sébastien Haller
FW

Heerenveen

Starting 11
-Bernt Klaverboer
GK
-Vasilios Zagaritis
DL
-Maas Willemsen
DC
-Sam Kersten
DC
-Oliver Braude
DR
-Marcus Linday
DMC
-Joris van Overeem
DMC
-Luca Oyen
AML
-Ringo Meerveld
AMC
-Jacob Trenskow
AMR
-Dylan Vente
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 34 matches
UtrechtvsHeerenveen

radarTeam Profile

Utrecht
Heerenveen
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
58Attack58
shield
55Defense38
swap_horiz
43Possession55
gps_fixed
65Efficiency67
auto_fix_high
48Creativity51
gavel
60Discipline57

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

55Goals Scored57
42Goals Conceded53
9Clean Sheets5
87Big Chances88
55Big Chances Missed53
1Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

515Total Shots510
187Shots on Target183

swap_horizPassing & Possession

47.0%Avg Possession50.9%
13,567Total Passes14,995
79.6%Pass Accuracy80.2%

shieldDefending

562Tackles519
313Interceptions265
114Saves129
51.7%Duels Won49.2%

gavelDiscipline

363Fouls375
48Yellow Cards52
2Red Cards2
38Offsides43

analyticsOther

176Corners189
219Successful Dribbles282
3Errors Leading to Goal9
6.89Avg Rating6.82

history Recent Form

UtrechtUtrecht
1.6 GPG
W
W
W
L
W
HeerenveenHeerenveen
1.5 GPG
D
L
W
W
L

group Head to Head

PL1 Feb 2026
Heerenveen
1-1
Utrecht
PL28 Sept 2025
Utrecht
2-2
Heerenveen
PL30 Mar 2025
Utrecht
2-0
Heerenveen
PL17 Aug 2024
Heerenveen
1-1
Utrecht
PL7 Apr 2024
Heerenveen
2-3
Utrecht
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
86%
31 / 36 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
22 / 36 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
15 / 36 matches
Both Teams to Score
72%
26 / 36 matches
Utrecht CS
22%
Clean Sheets
Heerenveen CS
8%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

1 Feb 2026
Heerenveen
1 - 1
Utrecht
28 Sept 2025
Utrecht
2 - 2
Heerenveen
30 Mar 2025
Utrecht
2 - 0
Heerenveen
17 Aug 2024
Heerenveen
1 - 1
Utrecht
7 Apr 2024
Heerenveen
2 - 3
Utrecht
20 Aug 2023
Utrecht
0 - 2
Heerenveen
4 Feb 2023
Utrecht
1 - 0
Heerenveen
29 Oct 2022
Heerenveen
1 - 2
Utrecht
8 Jul 2022
Heerenveen
0 - 1
Utrecht
27 Feb 2022
Heerenveen
1 - 2
Utrecht
23 Oct 2021
Utrecht
2 - 1
Heerenveen
8 May 2021
Heerenveen
0 - 0
Utrecht

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Utrecht
1.56
Form (Overall)
Heerenveen
1.50

Utrecht is +4% better in terms of Points Per Game

Utrecht
2 - 0
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
1 - 2
Utrecht
Utrecht
2 - 0
NAC Breda
Excelsior
5 - 0
Utrecht
Utrecht
4 - 1
Telstar
Heerenveen
0 - 0
Ajax
NAC Breda
2 - 0
Heerenveen
Volendam
0 - 2
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
2 - 1
Fortuna Sittard
AZ
3 - 0
Heerenveen

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