Utrecht vs Zwolle Prediction & Tips | Eredivisie | FootballTips.app

Utrecht

Utrecht

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 1 - 0
Sunday 22 February
Zwolle

Zwolle

Away
UtrechtTimelineZwolle
1st Half
Alarcon A. (de Wit D.)
sports_soccer
12'
2nd Half
Agougil O.Out: Vesterlund N.
sync_alt
46'
Min D.Out: Stepanov A.
sync_alt
62'
Agougil O.
65'
Faberski J.Out: Buurmeester Z.
sync_alt
71'
Karlsson J.Out: Cathline Y.
sync_alt
73'
Oosting T. (Faberski J.)
sports_soccer
79'
Velthuis T.Out: Fichtinger N.
sync_alt
89'
Haller S.Out: Zechiel G.
sync_alt
90+1'
Faberski J.
90+3'

Top stats

2.11Expected goals (xG)0.86
53%Ball possession47%
24Total shots9
3Shots on target4
2Big chances1
6Corner kicks4
78% (343/437)Passes76% (303/397)
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards1

Shots

2.11Expected goals (xG)0.86
1.20xG on target (xGOT)1.18
24Total shots9
3Shots on target4
12Shots off target4
9Blocked shots1
18Shots inside the box5
6Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances1
6Corner kicks4
41Touches in opposition box15
2Accurate through passes0
1Offsides3
17Free kicks11

Passes

78% (343/437)Passes76% (303/397)
49% (30/61)Long passes42% (25/59)
69% (79/114)Passes in final third67% (68/101)
29% (8/28)Crosses22% (2/9)
1.55Expected assists (xA)1.58
19Throw ins14

Defense

11Fouls17
53% (10/19)Tackles57% (13/23)
61Duels won56
15Clearances33
9Interceptions11
1Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves2
1.18xGOT faced1.20
0.18Goals prevented0.20
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.64
X4.12
25.19

Recommended Bet

cancel
Home Win
Stake: High (8/10)
82
Opp. Value

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Player Ratings Lineups: Home 6.8 vs Away 6.7
Model Consensus: 2-1 (Home)
Statistical Edge: Home leads in 4 categories

donut_small Win Probabilities

74%
14%
11%
Utrecht
Draw
Zwolle

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Utrecht

Starting 11
-Vasilios Barkas
GK6.74
-Souffian El Karouani
DL7.45
-Mike van der Hoorn
DC6.76
-Matisse Didden
DC6.75
-Niklas Vesterlund
DR6.24
-Gjivai Zechiël
DMC6.88
-Alonzo Engwanda
DMC6.76
-Yoann Cathline
AML6.68
-Dani de Wit
AMC6.77
-Ángel Alarcón
AMR6.93
-Artem Stepanov
FW6.46

Zwolle

Starting 11
-Tom de Graaff
GK6.70
-Sherel Floranus
DL6.59
-Anselmo MacNulty
DC6.45
-Simon Graves
DC6.74
-Tristan Gooijer
DR6.57
-Ryan Thomas
DMC6.76
-Shola Shoretire
DMC6.54
-Kaj de Rooij
AML6.66
-Thijs Oosting
AMC6.59
-Younes Namli
AMR7.43
-Koen Kostons
FW6.93
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

On February 22, 2026, Eredivisie teams Utrecht and PEC Zwolle are set to clash at Stadion Galgenwaard in a crucial encounter.

Utrecht, occupying the 10th position in the league standings, will face off against the 13th-placed PEC Zwolle, with Utrecht accumulating 30 points and PEC Zwolle trailing with 26 points.

Utrecht has suffered losses in 3 of their last 6 home matches in Eredivisie, while PEC Zwolle has faced struggles on the road, with 4 losses in their recent 6 away matches across all leagues.

In their recent head-to-head meetings, Utrecht has emerged victorious in 3 out of their last 6 matches against PEC Zwolle.

With both teams looking to secure valuable points, the upcoming game is poised to be a closely contested affair.

According to our model prediction, Utrecht holds a 46% probability of clinching the win in this Eredivisie showdown.

Utrecht return to Stadion Galgenwaard looking to steady their campaign after an inconsistent run that leaves them 10th with 30 points from 23 matches. Their recent form reads W-W-L-D-L, though they did secure a 2-1 away victory over Groningen last time out. PEC Zwolle sit 13th on 26 points and arrive having lost 4-2 away to Heerenveen, their last five producing a volatile L-L-W-L-W sequence.

Historically, this fixture has favoured the hosts. Utrecht have won four of the last five meetings, including a 2-0 away success in August, and have claimed eight of the last nine home league matches against Zwolle.

At Galgenwaard, Utrecht have been defensively reliable. They have conceded just 11 home goals all season, the second-best home defensive record in the division, allowing only one goal per game on average. Zwolle’s away profile tells a different story: 34 goals conceded on the road at 2.62 per match, the worst away defensive return in the league.

The matchup also carries attacking intrigue. Five of the last nine head-to-heads have featured four or more goals, with Utrecht averaging 2.56 goals per game across those encounters.

Utrecht’s dominant recent home record in this fixture and Zwolle’s defensive vulnerability on the road give the hosts a narrow edge, though Zwolle’s scoring consistency suggests they will threaten.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 23 matches
UtrechtvsZwolle
1.52Goals / Match1.43
1.30Conceded / Match2.13
3Clean Sheets4
5.17Shots on Target / Match3.52
47.4%Possession %44.4%
79.8%Pass Accuracy %78.4%

radarTeam Profile

Utrecht
Zwolle
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
53Attack36
shield
43Defense41
swap_horiz
43Possession36
gps_fixed
63Efficiency85
auto_fix_high
43Creativity42
gavel
61Discipline43

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

35Goals Scored33
30Goals Conceded49
3Clean Sheets4
57Big Chances49
38Big Chances Missed29

gps_fixedShooting

331Total Shots212
119Shots on Target81

swap_horizPassing & Possession

47.4%Avg Possession44.4%
9,352Total Passes8,656
79.8%Pass Accuracy78.4%

shieldDefending

378Tackles370
204Interceptions230
71Saves97
51.3%Duels Won48.0%

gavelDiscipline

247Fouls251
33Yellow Cards42
1Red Cards4
25Offsides40

analyticsOther

117Corners67
138Successful Dribbles130
1Errors Leading to Goal5
6.86Avg Rating6.72

Statistical Comparison

UtrechtMetricZwolle
35
Goals
33
28
Assists
28
6.6
Average Ratings
6.4
24.8
Average Age
25.3
184.5
Average Height (cm)
181.5
1
Shots pg
0.6
55%
Aerial Duel Success
44%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.2
Tackles pg
1.1

League Standings Context

For Utrecht

PosTeamPWDLPts
9Heerenveen2487931
10Utrecht2386930
11Fortuna Sittard24851129

For Zwolle

PosTeamPWDLPts
12Excelsior24751226
13PEC Zwolle23751126
14Volendam24661224

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

37.0/ 91.0
Dangerous Attacks
34.9/ 84.4
37.0%
Shots on Target
40.0%
13.1
Total Shots
9.6
47.0%
Possession
45.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.5
Goals Scored / Match
1.5
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
2.1

Head-to-Head Summary

3
Utrecht Wins
50%
2
Draws
33%
1
Zwolle Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketUtrechtZwolle
Over 1.5 Goals
79%31/39
56%22/39
Over 2.5 Goals
54%21/39
46%18/39
Both Teams to Score
64%25/39
46%18/39
* Based on last 39 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Utrecht

Nl1
Utrecht
0 - 1
Feyenoord
Nl1
Utrecht
0 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam
UEL
Utrecht
0 - 2
Racing Genk
NlC
Utrecht
1 - 2
Twente
Nl1
Utrecht
1 - 2
PSV Eindhoven
UEL
Utrecht
1 - 2
Nottingham Forest

Home Games: Utrecht

Nl1
Utrecht
0 - 1
Feyenoord
Nl1
Utrecht
0 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam
UEL
Utrecht
0 - 2
Racing Genk
NlC
Utrecht
1 - 2
Twente
Nl1
Utrecht
1 - 2
PSV Eindhoven
UEL
Utrecht
1 - 2
Nottingham Forest

Last 6: Zwolle

Nl1
Heerenveen
4 - 2
PEC Zwolle
Nl1
Nijmegen
2 - 1
PEC Zwolle
Nl1
Twente
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle
Nl1
Excelsior
2 - 1
PEC Zwolle
Nl1
Feyenoord
6 - 1
PEC Zwolle
Nl1
Groningen
2 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Away Games: Zwolle

Nl1
Heerenveen
4 - 2
PEC Zwolle
Nl1
Nijmegen
2 - 1
PEC Zwolle
Nl1
Twente
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle
Nl1
Excelsior
2 - 1
PEC Zwolle
Nl1
Feyenoord
6 - 1
PEC Zwolle
Nl1
Groningen
2 - 2
PEC Zwolle

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