Utrecht vs Zwolle Prediction & Tips | Eredivisie | FootballTips.app

Utrecht

Utrecht

Home
Full Time
1:1
Saturday 24 October
Zwolle

Zwolle

Away
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
11.65
X4.26
24.48

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
61
Best near-miss

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
SofaScore scoring form: Home 1.78 GPG vs Away 1.11 GPG
SofaScore goals: Home 1.78 GPG vs Away 1.11 GPG
SofaScore defense: Home 2.89 conc vs Away 2.44 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

61%
22%
17%
Utrecht
Draw
Zwolle
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Under 2.5 Goals2.502.87-13.0%
Home Win1.651.64+0.9%
Draw4.264.62-7.8%
Away Win4.485.81-22.9%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Utrecht

Starting 11
-Sergio Padt
GK7.31
-Matisse Didden
DC6.89
-Nikolas Panagiotou
DC6.30
-Siebe Horemans
DC6.35
-Arthur Zagré
DML6.51
-Joris van Overeem
MC6.66
-Oualid Agougil
MC6.94
-Niklas Vesterlund
DMR6.38
-Ángel Alarcón
FWL6.49
-Dani de Wit
FW6.95
-Yoann Cathline
FWR6.72

Zwolle

Starting 11
-Jasper Schendelaar
GK6.48
-Damian van der Haar
DL6.48
-Nick Viergever
DC6.19
-Simon Graves
DC6.66
-Olivier Aertssen
DR6.57
-Ryan Thomas
DMC7.17
-Tobias Sommer
DMC6.65
-Dylan Mbayo
AML6.72
-Thijs Oosting
AMC6.70
-Gilles van der Wal
AMR6.36
-Sydney van Hooijdonk
FW6.31
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

FC Utrecht and PEC Zwolle meet at Stadion Galgenwaard after both produced impressive comeback victories last weekend. Anthony Correia’s side sit 11th with 11 points from nine matches, while Zwolle sit 15th with seven points after recording only their second league win of the campaign.

Utrecht recovered from a goal down to beat FC Twente 2-1 away, with Ángel Alarcón scoring twice shortly after half-time. They had only 37% possession and faced 17 shots, but a determined defensive display, including 51 clearances, helped them protect their advantage and secure a third win in four league matches.

That upturn has been accompanied by a significant improvement in attack, with Utrecht scoring ten times across their last five games. However, their defensive record remains problematic, as 26 goals conceded in nine matches and a 13-game run without a clean sheet continue to leave them vulnerable.

Zwolle produced an even more emphatic response after falling behind against Go Ahead Eagles, scoring four second-half goals to win 4-1. Sydney van Hooijdonk equalised immediately after the restart before Thijs Oosting struck twice and Koen Kostons completed the scoring late on.

That result ended a three-match losing run and gave Mirjam Clifford a much-needed first league win since taking charge. Zwolle remain defensively fragile, having conceded 22 times and gone six matches without a clean sheet, although they have collected four of their seven points this season away from home.

Utrecht have also enjoyed the better of this fixture recently, going unbeaten in their last five meetings with Zwolle, winning three and drawing two. With neither defence offering much security, another open contest appears likely, but the hosts’ stronger recent form gives them a slight advantage.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 9 matches
UtrechtvsZwolle
1.78Goals / Match1.11
2.89Conceded / Match2.44
0Clean Sheets1
4.33Shots on Target / Match4.33
44.7%Possession %40.8%
80.1%Pass Accuracy %76.0%

radarTeam Profile

Utrecht
Zwolle
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
54Attack33
shield
23Defense36
swap_horiz
39Possession27
gps_fixed
77Efficiency55
auto_fix_high
55Creativity39
gavel
38Discipline54

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

16Goals Scored10
26Goals Conceded22
0Clean Sheets1
22Big Chances18
12Big Chances Missed14
1Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

115Total Shots107
39Shots on Target39

swap_horizPassing & Possession

44.7%Avg Possession40.8%
3,518Total Passes3,144
80.1%Pass Accuracy76.0%

shieldDefending

142Tackles158
66Interceptions93
36Saves39
48.2%Duels Won48.4%

gavelDiscipline

147Fouls102
19Yellow Cards12
0Red Cards1
10Offsides10

analyticsOther

34Corners39
51Successful Dribbles47
3Errors Leading to Goal5
6.91Avg Rating6.90

Statistical Comparison

UtrechtMetricZwolle
16
Goals
10
11
Assists
8
6.4
Average Ratings
6.4
26.7
Average Age
25.8
182.8
Average Height (cm)
182.9
1.1
Shots pg
0.9
51%
Aerial Duel Success
47%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.2
Tackles pg
1.6

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