V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction & Tips | J1 League | FootballTips.app

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 28 February
Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

Away
V-Varen NagasakiTimelineCerezo Osaka
1st Half
Cools D.
26'
Matheus JesusAssist: Hasegawa M.
sports_soccer
38'
2nd Half
Nakajima M.Out: Shibayama M.
sync_alt
57'
Yokoyama Y.Out: Sakata R.
sync_alt
57'
Iwasaki Y.Out: Hasegawa M.
sync_alt
64'
Diego PitucaOut: Yamada R.
sync_alt
64'
Hatanaka S.
66'
Ishiwatari N.Out: Kagawa S.
sync_alt
71'
Yamasaki R.Out: Campbell N.
sync_alt
75'
Kushibiki K.Out: Thiago
sync_alt
75'
Yengi K.Out: Thiago Andrade
sync_alt
81'
Okuda H.Out: Cools D.
sync_alt
81'
Diego Pituca
89'

Top stats

1.65Expected goals (xG)1.20
42%Ball possession58%
22Total shots14
6Shots on target4
1Big chances1
8Corner kicks4
77% (316/412)Passes84% (489/583)
1Yellow cards2

Shots

1.65Expected goals (xG)1.20
2.35xG on target (xGOT)1.14
22Total shots14
6Shots on target4
9Shots off target3
7Blocked shots7
10Shots inside the box8
12Shots outside the box6
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances1
8Corner kicks4
26Touches in opposition box42
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides0
11Free kicks6

Passes

77% (316/412)Passes84% (489/583)
35% (25/71)Long passes47% (21/45)
73% (83/114)Passes in final third75% (144/192)
24% (5/21)Crosses12% (3/25)
0.59Expected assists (xA)1.64
17Throw ins21

Defense

6Fouls11
56% (9/16)Tackles64% (7/11)
49Duels won33
38Clearances28
12Interceptions11
0Errors leading to shot3
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves5
1.14xGOT faced2.35
1.14Goals prevented1.35
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
12.57
X3.34
22.52

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: Low (5/10)
45
Opp. Value

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 44% on target vs Away 33% on target
Standings: Home GD -2 (3pts) vs Away GD +1 (4pts)
➡️ MID OPPORTUNITY (45)

donut_small Win Probabilities

26%
35%
38%
V-Varen Nagasaki
Draw
Cerezo Osaka

Match Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki will take on Cerezo Osaka in a J1 League clash at the Transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki on February 28, 2026, GMT.

V-Varen Nagasaki occupies the 8th spot, trailing behind Cerezo Osaka, who is in 6th place in the standings.

V-Varen Nagasaki has accumulated 3 points, while Cerezo Osaka holds 4 points.

V-Varen Nagasaki has shown promise with 3 victories in their last 6 matches across all leagues, while Cerezo Osaka has faced difficulties, suffering 3 losses in their recent 6 fixtures.

In their recent head-to-head encounters in the J1 League, V-Varen Nagasaki has struggled, losing their last 2 matches against Cerezo Osaka.

With both teams eager to secure points, this match presents an opportunity for Cerezo Osaka to capitalize on their recent form.

According to our model prediction, Cerezo Osaka is favored to win with a probability of 42%.

League Standings Context

For V-Varen Nagasaki

PosTeamPWDLPts
7Shimizu S-Pulse31114
8V-Varen Nagasaki31023
9Fagiano Okayama30212

For Cerezo Osaka

PosTeamPWDLPts
5Nagoya Grampus31115
6Cerezo Osaka31114
7Shimizu S-Pulse31114

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

21.5/ 56.0
Dangerous Attacks
32.7/ 58.0
44.0%
Shots on Target
33.0%
5.7
Total Shots
9.5
41.0%
Possession
53.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.8
Goals Scored / Match
1.5
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

Head-to-Head Summary

2
V-Varen Nagasaki Wins
33%
0
Draws
0%
4
Cerezo Osaka Wins
67%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketV-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
Over 1.5 Goals
100%6/6
83%5/6
Over 2.5 Goals
67%4/6
67%4/6
Both Teams to Score
67%4/6
67%4/6
* Based on last 6 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: V-Varen Nagasaki

Jp1
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 - 3
Sanfrecce
Jp2
V-Varen Nagasaki
2 - 1
Mito HollyHock

Home Games: V-Varen Nagasaki

Jp1
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 - 3
Sanfrecce
Jp2
V-Varen Nagasaki
2 - 1
Mito HollyHock

Last 6: Cerezo Osaka

Jp1
Avispa Fukuoka
0 - 2
Cerezo Osaka
Jp1
Yokohama Marinos
3 - 1
Cerezo Osaka
Jp1
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 - 4
Cerezo Osaka

Away Games: Cerezo Osaka

Jp1
Avispa Fukuoka
0 - 2
Cerezo Osaka
Jp1
Yokohama Marinos
3 - 1
Cerezo Osaka
Jp1
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 - 4
Cerezo Osaka

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