V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka Prediction & Tips | J1 League

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V-Varen Nagasaki

Home

Full Time

2 - 2

HT: 0 - 0

Saturday 13 March

Gamba Osaka

Away

V-Varen NagasakiTimelineGamba Osaka

1st Half

Hatsuse R.

36'

2nd Half

Yoneda S.Out: Takahata K.

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46'

Jebali I.Out: Kurata S.

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46'

Hummet D.Out: Nakatsumi N.

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46'

Matheus JesusOut: Sekiguchi M.

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50'

Yamaguchi H.

61'

Doi K.

66'

Yasuda K.Out: Thiago

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66'

Diego PitucaOut: Yamada R.

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66'

Yoshihara Y.Out: Suzuki T.

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68'

Egawa Y.Out: Doi K.

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75'

Yasuda K.

sports_soccer

79'

Nakano S.Out: Hatsuse R.

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82'

Matheus Jesus (Yamaguchi H.)

sports_soccer

84'

Okamoto A.Out: Sasaki S.

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88'

Hummet D. (Nakatani S.)

sports_soccer

90'

Jebali I.

sports_soccer

90+4'

Top stats

2.09Expected goals (xG)1.74

44%Ball possession56%

20Total shots16

10Shots on target6

5Big chances2

5Corner kicks5

79% (303/383)Passes82% (397/484)

2Yellow cards1

Shots

2.09Expected goals (xG)1.74

1.84xG on target (xGOT)2.85

20Total shots16

10Shots on target6

6Shots off target7

4Blocked shots3

14Shots inside the box6

6Shots outside the box10

0Hit the woodwork1

Attack

5Big chances2

5Corner kicks5

29Touches in opposition box26

1Accurate through passes0

1Offsides1

11Free kicks9

Passes

79% (303/383)Passes82% (397/484)

41% (26/63)Long passes43% (24/56)

67% (92/137)Passes in final third74% (100/135)

25% (3/12)Crosses33% (5/15)

1.90Expected assists (xA)1.11

16Throw ins30

Defense

9Fouls11

71% (12/17)Tackles56% (9/16)

50Duels won38

27Clearances27

7Interceptions11

1Errors leading to shot1

0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves8

2.85xGOT faced1.84

0.85Goals prevented-0.16

6Goal kicks8

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

13.36

X3.50

22.07

Recommended Bet

cancel

Home Win

Stake: High (9/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #12 vs Away #17

Season: Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.30 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.06 PPG vs Away 0.50 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.75 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

57%

24%

19%

V-Varen Nagasaki

Draw

Gamba Osaka

Match Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki hosts Gamba Osaka in J1 League action at transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki on September 2, 2026.

Both sides approach this fixture looking to improve on their early season starts, with V-Varen Nagasaki currently 18th on 3 points and Gamba Osaka in 12th place with 5 points.

Recent form suggests Nagasaki has found some stability at home, claiming 2 wins from their last 3 matches in front of their supporters, while Gamba Osaka has drawn 2 of their previous 3 away outings.

Looking back at their recent J1 League meetings, V-Varen Nagasaki has faced challenges in this matchup, suffering 2 defeats in their last 4 encounters with Gamba Osaka.

Our model expects the match to end in a draw.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 4 matches

V-Varen NagasakivsGamba Osaka

1.00Goals / Match1.50

2.25Conceded / Match1.75

0Clean Sheets1

2.25Shots on Target / Match4.75

45.0%Possession %55.8%

79.3%Pass Accuracy %84.9%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

4Goals Scored6

9Goals Conceded7

0Clean Sheets1

5Big Chances6

4Big Chances Missed5

gps_fixedShooting

29Total Shots51

9Shots on Target19

swap_horizPassing & Possession

45.0%Avg Possession55.8%

1,777Total Passes1,897

79.3%Pass Accuracy84.9%

shieldDefending

42Tackles55

30Interceptions24

10Saves16

49.2%Duels Won45.2%

gavelDiscipline

32Fouls47

4Yellow Cards3

0Red Cards2

6Offsides6

analyticsOther

17Corners22

14Successful Dribbles20

1Errors Leading to Goal2

6.72Avg Rating7.17

League Standings Context

For V-Varen Nagasaki

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
17	Urawa Red Diamonds	4	1	0	3	3
18	V-Varen Nagasaki	4	1	0	3	3
19	Tokyo Verdy	4	0	2	2	2

For Gamba Osaka

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
11	Mito HollyHock	4	1	2	1	5
12	Gamba Osaka	4	1	2	1	5
13	Fagiano Okayama	4	1	1	2	4

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

33.5/ 65.2

Dangerous Attacks

42.7/ 86.2

36.0%

Shots on Target

37.0%

5.5

Total Shots

8.7

44.0%

Possession

57.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.3

Goals Scored / Match

1.3

1.8

Goals Conceded / Match

1.2

Head-to-Head Summary

V-Varen Nagasaki Wins

33%

Draws

17%

Gamba Osaka Wins

50%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

Market	V-Varen Nagasaki	Gamba Osaka
Over 1.5 Goals	67%4/6	67%4/6
Over 2.5 Goals	67%4/6	33%2/6
Both Teams to Score	50%3/6	50%3/6

* Based on last 6 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: V-Varen Nagasaki

Home Games: V-Varen Nagasaki

Last 6: Gamba Osaka

Away Games: Gamba Osaka

history Recent Form

V-Varen Nagasaki

2.1 GPG

Gamba Osaka

1.3 GPG

group Head to Head

PL25 Apr 2026

1-1

PL8 Mar 2026

3-2

PL26 Jun 2019

0-2

PL19 Jun 2019

1-4

PL24 Nov 2018

2-1

67%

Over 2.5 Goals

67%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

100%

6 / 6 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

67%

4 / 6 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

33%

2 / 6 matches

Both Teams to Score

67%

4 / 6 matches

V-Varen Nagasaki CS

Clean Sheets

Gamba Osaka CS

33%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

25 Apr 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki

1 - 1

Gamba Osaka

8 Mar 2026

Gamba Osaka

3 - 2

V-Varen Nagasaki

26 Jun 2019

Gamba Osaka

0 - 2

V-Varen Nagasaki

19 Jun 2019

V-Varen Nagasaki

1 - 4

Gamba Osaka

24 Nov 2018

Gamba Osaka

2 - 1

V-Varen Nagasaki

14 Apr 2018

V-Varen Nagasaki

3 - 0

Gamba Osaka

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

2.10

Form (Overall)

1.30

V-Varen Nagasaki is +62% better in terms of Points Per Game

Gamba Osaka

0 - 0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Nagoya Grampus

3 - 1

Gamba Osaka

Mito Hollyhock

1 - 1

Gamba Osaka

4 - 3

Urawa Reds

V-Varen Nagasaki

0 - 3

Tokyo

Kashiwa Reysol

4 - 2

V-Varen Nagasaki

Fagiano Okayama

1 - 0

V-Varen Nagasaki

2 - 1

Kyoto Sanga

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V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka Prediction & Tips | J1 League | FootballTips.app

V-Varen Nagasaki

Gamba Osaka

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Recommended Bet

Key Factors

donut_small Win Probabilities

Match Preview

compareTeam Comparison

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

gps_fixedShooting

swap_horizPassing & Possession

shieldDefending

gavelDiscipline

analyticsOther

League Standings Context

For V-Varen Nagasaki

For Gamba Osaka

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

Team Performance (Avg)

Head-to-Head Summary

Recent Form Stats

Past Matches

Last 6: V-Varen Nagasaki

Home Games: V-Varen Nagasaki

Last 6: Gamba Osaka

Away Games: Gamba Osaka

history Recent Form

group Head to Head

Head-to-Head Detailed

Recent Matches

Current Form Comparison

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