Valencia vs Atl. Madrid Prediction & Tips | LaLiga | FootballTips.app

Valencia

Valencia

Home
Full Time
0 - 2
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 2 May
Atl. Madrid

Atl. Madrid

Away
ValenciaTimelineAtl. Madrid
1st Half
Almada T.
29'
2nd Half
Mendoza R.
52'
Duro H.Out: Ugrinic F.
sync_alt
59'
Lopez D.Out: Rioja L.
sync_alt
59'
Vargas O.
61'
Cubo M.Out: Morcillo J.
sync_alt
63'
Luque I.Out: Belaid R.
sync_alt
63'
Tarrega C.
67'
KokeOut: Almada T.
sync_alt
73'
Griezmann A.Out: Mendoza R.
sync_alt
73'
Danjuma A.Out: Ramazani L.
sync_alt
73'
Vazquez J.Out: Gaya J.
sync_alt
73'
Luque I.Assist: Vargas O.
sports_soccer
74'
Cubo M. (Griezmann A.)
sports_soccer
82'
Raba D.Out: Renzo Saravia
sync_alt
82'
Puric A.Out: Bonar J.
sync_alt
90+7'

Top stats

1.09Expected goals (xG)2.04
53%Ball possession47%
12Total shots20
0Shots on target5
1Big chances3
1Corner kicks7
84% (392/469)Passes83% (353/425)
1Yellow cards3

Shots

1.09Expected goals (xG)2.04
0.00xG on target (xGOT)2.04
12Total shots20
0Shots on target5
7Shots off target11
5Blocked shots4
8Shots inside the box12
4Shots outside the box8
1Hit the woodwork1

Attack

1Big chances3
1Corner kicks7
22Touches in opposition box26
0Accurate through passes3
4Offsides4
12Free kicks9

Passes

84% (392/469)Passes83% (353/425)
50% (25/50)Long passes39% (21/54)
70% (77/110)Passes in final third72% (71/99)
20% (4/20)Crosses43% (6/14)
0.81Expected assists (xA)1.35
23Throw ins20

Defense

9Fouls12
67% (12/18)Tackles50% (10/20)
48Duels won53
15Clearances17
10Interceptions16
2Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves0
2.04xGOT faced0.00
0.04Goals prevented0.00
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.80
X3.94
24.52

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #12 vs Away #4
Season: Home 1.18 PPG vs Away 1.82 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.45 PPG vs Away 0.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.44 GPG vs Away 1.13 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

16%
11%
72%
Valencia
Draw
Atl. Madrid

Match Preview

Valencia have won just once in their previous four games, but they've looked stronger at home. They've won three of their last four games, losing just four times on their own turf all season.

Atletico Madrid ended a run of four straight defeats by securing a 3-2 victory over Athletic Club last time out. Away from home, they've won just four times all campaign.

When the two sides met earlier in the season, Atletico secured a 2-1 victory at home. They've won the previous four meetings, conceding just once during that period.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Valencia

Starting 11
-Stole Dimitrievski
GK6.62
-José Gayà
DL6.59
-César Tárrega
DC6.67
-Pepelu
DC6.65
-Unai Núñez
DR6.69
-Javi Guerra
DMC6.46
-Guido Rodríguez
DMC6.82
-Largie Ramazani
AML6.56
-Lucas Beltrán
AMC6.43
-Luis Rioja
AMR6.64
-Umar Sadiq
FW6.52

Atl. Madrid

Starting 11
-Juan Musso
GK6.81
-Julio Díaz
DL6.79
-Clément Lenglet
DC6.56
-Robin Le Normand
DC6.54
-Javier Boñar
DR6.62
-Obed Vargas
DMC6.40
-Rodrigo Mendoza
DMC6.16
-Thiago Almada
AML6.54
-Álex Baena
AMC6.72
-Nahuel Molina
AMR6.56
-Alexander Sørloth
FW6.74
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 33 matches
ValenciavsAtl. Madrid

radarTeam Profile

Valencia
Atl. Madrid
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
32Attack56
shield
43Defense58
swap_horiz
52Possession65
gps_fixed
49Efficiency79
auto_fix_high
33Creativity54
gavel
45Discipline43

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

37Goals Scored56
48Goals Conceded37
8Clean Sheets12
68Big Chances99
44Big Chances Missed61
5Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

386Total Shots427
105Shots on Target172

swap_horizPassing & Possession

48.2%Avg Possession54.0%
13,550Total Passes16,910
82.0%Pass Accuracy85.6%

shieldDefending

517Tackles557
250Interceptions256
93Saves79
48.9%Duels Won50.0%

gavelDiscipline

412Fouls371
64Yellow Cards68
2Red Cards4
54Offsides68

analyticsOther

173Corners207
251Successful Dribbles235
7Errors Leading to Goal4
6.75Avg Rating6.87

Statistical Comparison

ValenciaMetricAtl. Madrid
37
Goals
52
26
Assists
36
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
27.9
Average Age
25.4
182.3
Average Height (cm)
181.1
0.7
Shots pg
0.8
46%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.2
Tackles pg
1.2

history Recent Form

ValenciaValencia
1.2 GPG
W
D
L
L
W
Atl. MadridAtl. Madrid
1.8 GPG
W
L
L
L
L

group Head to Head

PL13 Dec 2025
Atlético Madrid
2-1
Valencia CF
PL22 Feb 2025
Valencia CF
0-3
Atlético Madrid
PL15 Sept 2024
Atlético Madrid
3-0
Valencia CF
PL28 Jan 2024
Atlético Madrid
2-0
Valencia CF
PL16 Sept 2023
Valencia CF
3-0
Atlético Madrid
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
76%
31 / 41 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
21 / 41 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
12 / 41 matches
Both Teams to Score
51%
21 / 41 matches
Valencia CS
15%
Clean Sheets
Atl. Madrid CS
41%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

13 Dec 2025
Atlético Madrid
2 - 1
Valencia CF
22 Feb 2025
Valencia CF
0 - 3
Atlético Madrid
15 Sept 2024
Atlético Madrid
3 - 0
Valencia CF
28 Jan 2024
Atlético Madrid
2 - 0
Valencia CF
16 Sept 2023
Valencia CF
3 - 0
Atlético Madrid
18 Mar 2023
Atlético Madrid
3 - 0
Valencia CF
29 Aug 2022
Valencia CF
0 - 1
Atlético Madrid
22 Jan 2022
Atlético Madrid
3 - 2
Valencia CF
7 Nov 2021
Valencia CF
3 - 3
Atlético Madrid
24 Jan 2021
Atlético Madrid
3 - 1
Valencia CF
28 Nov 2020
Valencia CF
0 - 1
Atlético Madrid
14 Feb 2020
Valencia CF
2 - 2
Atlético Madrid

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Valencia
1.18
Form (Overall)
Atl. Madrid
1.82

Atl. Madrid is +54% better in terms of Points Per Game

Valencia CF
2 - 1
Girona FC
RCD Mallorca
1 - 1
Valencia CF
Elche CF
1 - 0
Valencia CF
Valencia CF
2 - 3
Celta de Vigo
Sevilla FC
0 - 2
Valencia CF
Atlético Madrid
3 - 2
Athletic Club Bilbao
Elche CF
3 - 2
Atlético Madrid
Sevilla FC
2 - 1
Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid
1 - 2
FC Barcelona
Real Madrid
3 - 2
Atlético Madrid

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