Valencia vs Villarreal Prediction & Tips | LaLiga | FootballTips.app

Valencia

Valencia

Home
69'
1:0
Saturday 24 October
Villarreal

Villarreal

Away

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AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
13.25
X3.71
22.14

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
59
Best near-miss

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #19 vs Away #12
Season: Home 0.67 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.40 PPG vs Away 0.60 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.40 GPG vs Away 1.40 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

27%
23%
49%
Valencia
Draw
Villarreal
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.722.02-14.7%
Under 2.5 Goals2.161.98+8.9%
Valencia CF Win3.203.68-13.1%
Draw3.504.28-18.1%
Villarreal Win2.172.02+7.3%
BTTS - Yes1.601.82-12.0%
BTTS - No2.262.22+1.7%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Valencia

Starting 11
-Stole Dimitrievski
GK6.67
-José Gayà
DL6.59
-Justin de Haas
DC6.73
-César Tárrega
DC6.84
-Pablo Maffeo
DR6.62
-Guido Rodríguez
DMC7.10
-Luis Rioja
ML6.37
-Javi Guerra
MC6.58
-Pepelu
MC6.58
-Dani Raba
MR6.54
-Arnaut Danjuma
FW6.43

Villarreal

Starting 11
-Péter Gulácsi
GK6.82
-Sergi Cardona
DL6.68
-Renato Veiga
DC6.73
-Juan Foyth
DC6.98
-Alex Freeman
DR6.89
-Alberto Moleiro
ML6.96
-Pape Gueye
MC6.61
-Santi Comesaña
MC6.35
-Ilias Akhomach
MR6.50
-Gerard Moreno
FW6.64
-Ayoze Pérez
FW6.57
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Valencia are 19th in LaLiga with six points from nine games (W1 D3 L5). They have picked up two points from their last two, most recently a goalless home draw with Athletic Club.

Villarreal sit 13th with nine points (W2 D3 L4). They were held to a 0-0 draw at home by Elche last weekend, having lost 1-0 at Real Madrid the week before.

The sides last met at La Ceramica on 22 February 2026, when Villarreal won 2-1. Largie Ramazani gave Valencia the lead from the penalty spot, but Santi Comesana equalised and Pape Gueye scored a penalty in first-half stoppage time to win it.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 9 matches
ValenciavsVillarreal
0.67Goals / Match1.44
1.67Conceded / Match1.44
3Clean Sheets1
2.67Shots on Target / Match6.22
46.3%Possession %60.6%
81.8%Pass Accuracy %88.9%

radarTeam Profile

Valencia
Villarreal
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
20Attack63
shield
55Defense31
swap_horiz
54Possession86
gps_fixed
28Efficiency59
auto_fix_high
38Creativity81
gavel
52Discipline58

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

6Goals Scored13
15Goals Conceded13
3Clean Sheets1
19Big Chances31
15Big Chances Missed21
0Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

100Total Shots147
24Shots on Target56

swap_horizPassing & Possession

46.3%Avg Possession60.6%
3,804Total Passes5,176
81.8%Pass Accuracy88.9%

shieldDefending

152Tackles130
83Interceptions71
32Saves20
50.2%Duels Won47.9%

gavelDiscipline

98Fouls100
20Yellow Cards16
19Offsides26

analyticsOther

36Corners64
78Successful Dribbles98
0Errors Leading to Goal1
7.14Avg Rating7.38

Statistical Comparison

ValenciaMetricVillarreal
5
Goals
12
4
Assists
9
6.4
Average Ratings
6.5
28.8
Average Age
27.7
183.1
Average Height (cm)
183.4
0.8
Shots pg
1.2
47%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.9
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.6
Tackles pg
1

history Recent Form

ValenciaValencia
0.4 GPG
D
L
L
L
D
VillarrealVillarreal
1.0 GPG
L
L
W
L
L

group Head to Head

PL22 Feb 2026
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia CF
PL25 Oct 2025
Valencia CF
0-2
Villarreal
PL15 Feb 2025
Villarreal
1-1
Valencia CF
PL31 Aug 2024
Valencia CF
1-1
Villarreal
PL17 Mar 2024
Villarreal
1-0
Valencia CF
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
81%
29 / 36 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
17 / 36 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
10 / 36 matches
Both Teams to Score
53%
19 / 36 matches
Valencia CS
22%
Clean Sheets
Villarreal CS
31%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

22 Feb 2026
Villarreal
2 - 1
Valencia CF
25 Oct 2025
Valencia CF
0 - 2
Villarreal
15 Feb 2025
Villarreal
1 - 1
Valencia CF
31 Aug 2024
Valencia CF
1 - 1
Villarreal
17 Mar 2024
Villarreal
1 - 0
Valencia CF
2 Jan 2024
Valencia CF
3 - 1
Villarreal
3 May 2023
Valencia CF
1 - 1
Villarreal
31 Dec 2022
Villarreal
2 - 1
Valencia CF
19 Apr 2022
Villarreal
2 - 0
Valencia CF
30 Oct 2021
Valencia CF
2 - 0
Villarreal
5 Mar 2021
Valencia CF
2 - 1
Villarreal
18 Oct 2020
Villarreal
2 - 1
Valencia CF

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Valencia
0.40
Form (Overall)
Villarreal
1.00

Villarreal is +150% better in terms of Points Per Game

Valencia CF
0 - 0
Athletic Club Bilbao
Valencia CF
2 - 3
Real Sociedad
Valencia CF
0 - 5
FC Barcelona
Valencia CF
0 - 1
Real Betis
Valencia CF
0 - 0
Celta de Vigo
Liverpool
4 - 3
Villarreal
Real Madrid
1 - 0
Villarreal
Málaga CF
1 - 3
Villarreal
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 2
Villarreal
Deportivo Alavés
1 - 0
Villarreal

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