Vasco vs Palmeiras Prediction & Tips | Serie A Betano | FootballTips.app

Vasco

Vasco

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Thursday 12 March
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

Away
VascoTimelinePalmeiras
1st Half
Lopez J. (Marlon Freitas)
sports_soccer
40'
2nd Half
CuiabanoOut: Lucas Piton
sync_alt
46'
Tche Tche
52'
Rojas J.Out: Tche Tche
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57'
AdsonOut: Moreira N.
sync_alt
57'
Thiago Mendes (David)
sports_soccer
63'
LuighiOut: Lopez J.
sync_alt
69'
Spinelli C.Out: David
sync_alt
69'
Allan EliasOut: Felipe Anderson
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69'
Luighi
72'
Lucas EvangelistaOut: Sosa R.
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72'
Giay A.Out: Khellven
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72'
CuiabanoAssist: Paulo Henrique
sports_soccer
74'
Cauan BarrosOut: Hugo Moura
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78'
Thiago Mendes
85'
Allan Elias
90+4'

Top stats

1.01Expected goals (xG)0.62
50%Ball possession50%
17Total shots8
6Shots on target3
2Big chances1
9Corner kicks5
84% (368/439)Passes85% (374/438)
2Yellow cards2

Shots

1.01Expected goals (xG)0.62
1.16xG on target (xGOT)0.97
17Total shots8
6Shots on target3
6Shots off target3
5Blocked shots2
6Shots inside the box3
11Shots outside the box5
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances1
9Corner kicks5
27Touches in opposition box17
0Accurate through passes0
0Offsides1
18Free kicks6

Passes

84% (368/439)Passes85% (374/438)
44% (20/45)Long passes45% (19/42)
75% (131/175)Passes in final third78% (111/143)
16% (4/25)Crosses5% (1/21)
1.07Expected assists (xA)0.72
16Throw ins17

Defense

6Fouls18
71% (12/17)Tackles56% (14/25)
55Duels won55
23Clearances46
11Interceptions5
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves4
0.97xGOT faced1.16
-0.03Goals prevented-0.84
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.98
X3.36
22.30

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #20 vs Away #1
Season: Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 2.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.22 PPG vs Away 2.67 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.80 GPG vs Away 1.50 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

17%
13%
71%
Vasco
Draw
Palmeiras

Match Preview

At Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama on March 12, 2026 GMT, Vasco da Gama will play against Palmeiras in a Brasileiro Serie A encounter.

The standings reflect Vasco da Gama in the 20th position with 1 point, while Palmeiras leads the table in 1st place with 10 points.

Vasco da Gama has endured a tough start with 3 losses in 4 league matches, whereas Palmeiras has been strong on the road, winning 50% of their away games in Brasileiro Serie A.

In previous head-to-head contests across all leagues, Vasco da Gama has suffered defeat in 5 out of the last 6 matches against Palmeiras.

Our algorithm predicts a victory for Palmeiras with a 63% probability.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Vasco

Starting 11
7David Correa da Fonseca
LW3.39
20Brenner
6.40
11Andres Gomez
7.21
23Thiago Mendes
CDM7.15
29Johan Rojas Echavarría
5.22
88Cauan Lucas Barros da Luz
7.41
2José Luis Rodríguez Bebanz
5.54
4Alan Gabriel Saldivia Vázquez
1.53
6Lucas Piton Crivellaro
6.50
30Robert Renan Alves Barbosa
6.82
1Léo Jardim
GK6.51
Substitutes
18Marino Hinestroza Angulo
RW6.68
77Claudio Spinelli
ST6.47
3Danilo das Neves Pinheiro
CM1.63
17Arilson Edgardeline Fernandes Camati
6.96
25Hugo Moura
CDM2.13
-Adson Soares
96Paulo Henrique de Oliveira Alves (Injured)
6.71
-Lucas de Freitas Molarinho Chagas
46Carlos Cuesta (Injured)
CB6.69
66Luis Eduardo Soares da Silva
6.33
-Daniel Fuzato
GK

Palmeiras

Starting 11
9Vitor Roque
CF7.48
11Jhon Arias
LW7.16
42José Manuel López
CF7.21
8Andreas Pereira
CAM7.75
27Marlon Rodrigues Freitas
CDM6.80
18Mauricio
CAM6.94
12Khellven
RB6.70
15Gustavo Gómez
CB7.27
22Joaquín Piquerez Moreira
LB7.05
26Murilo
CB7.11
1Carlos Miguel dos Santos Pereira
6.90
Substitutes
7Felipe Anderson
RW
19Ramón Sosa Acosta
LW6.78
4Agustín Giay
4.95
6Jefte Vital da Silva Dias
30Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira
CM4.51
31Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos
4.92
-Emiliano Martínez (Injured)
CDM
40Allan Andrade Elias
7.03
48Larson Torna Ferreira dos Santos
1.62
56Arthur Gabriel Santana Marcolino
3.25
-Bruno Fuchs
CB
-Marcelo Lomba do Nascimento
GK
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

League Standings Context

For Vasco

PosTeamPWDLPts
19Cruzeiro40222
20Vasco da Gama40131

For Palmeiras

PosTeamPWDLPts
1Palmeiras431010
2São Paulo431010

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

45.6/ 105.5
Dangerous Attacks
20.5/ 85.0
32.0%
Shots on Target
37.0%
16.4
Total Shots
13.6
61.0%
Possession
51.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.1
Goals Scored / Match
1.8
0.9
Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Vasco Wins
0%
1
Draws
17%
5
Palmeiras Wins
83%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketVascoPalmeiras
Over 1.5 Goals
62%8/13
77%10/13
Over 2.5 Goals
31%4/13
69%9/13
Both Teams to Score
46%6/13
62%8/13
* Based on last 13 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Vasco

BrC
Vasco da Gama
0 - 1
Fluminense
BrC
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
Volta Redonda
Br1
Vasco da Gama
0 - 1
Bahia
BrC
Vasco da Gama
2 - 0
Botafogo
Br1
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
Chapecoense SC
BrC
Vasco da Gama
0 - 0
Nova Iguacu RJ

Home Games: Vasco

BrC
Vasco da Gama
0 - 1
Fluminense
BrC
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
Volta Redonda
Br1
Vasco da Gama
0 - 1
Bahia
BrC
Vasco da Gama
2 - 0
Botafogo
Br1
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
Chapecoense SC
BrC
Vasco da Gama
0 - 0
Nova Iguacu RJ

Last 6: Palmeiras

BrP
Novorizontino SP
1 - 2
Palmeiras
Br1
Internacional
1 - 3
Palmeiras
BrP
Corinthians
0 - 1
Palmeiras
BrP
Botafogo SP
1 - 0
Palmeiras
Br1
Atlético Mineiro
2 - 2
Palmeiras
BrP
Novorizontino SP
4 - 0
Palmeiras

Away Games: Palmeiras

BrP
Novorizontino SP
1 - 2
Palmeiras
Br1
Internacional
1 - 3
Palmeiras
BrP
Corinthians
0 - 1
Palmeiras
BrP
Botafogo SP
1 - 0
Palmeiras
Br1
Atlético Mineiro
2 - 2
Palmeiras
BrP
Novorizontino SP
4 - 0
Palmeiras

history Recent Form

VascoVasco
1.0 GPG
L
L
D
L
PalmeirasPalmeiras
2.5 GPG
W
W
W
D

group Head to Head

PL1 Oct 2025
Palmeiras
3-0
Vasco da Gama
PL4 May 2025
Vasco da Gama
0-1
Palmeiras
PL22 Sept 2024
Vasco da Gama
0-1
Palmeiras
PL14 Jun 2024
Palmeiras
2-0
Vasco da Gama
PL27 Aug 2023
Palmeiras
1-0
Vasco da Gama
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
63%
10 / 16 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
5 / 16 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
3 / 16 matches
Both Teams to Score
38%
6 / 16 matches
Vasco CS
6%
Clean Sheets
Palmeiras CS
56%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

1 Oct 2025
Palmeiras
3 - 0
Vasco da Gama
4 May 2025
Vasco da Gama
0 - 1
Palmeiras
22 Sept 2024
Vasco da Gama
0 - 1
Palmeiras
14 Jun 2024
Palmeiras
2 - 0
Vasco da Gama
27 Aug 2023
Palmeiras
1 - 0
Vasco da Gama
23 Apr 2023
Vasco da Gama
2 - 2
Palmeiras
26 Jan 2021
Palmeiras
1 - 1
Vasco da Gama
8 Nov 2020
Vasco da Gama
0 - 1
Palmeiras
7 Nov 2019
Vasco da Gama
1 - 2
Palmeiras
27 Jul 2019
Palmeiras
1 - 1
Vasco da Gama
25 Nov 2018
Vasco da Gama
0 - 1
Palmeiras
12 Aug 2018
Palmeiras
1 - 0
Vasco da Gama

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Vasco
1.00
Form (Overall)
Palmeiras
2.50

Palmeiras is +150% better in terms of Points Per Game

Santos
2 - 1
Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
0 - 1
Bahia
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
Chapecoense
Mirassol
2 - 1
Vasco da Gama
Palmeiras
2 - 1
Fluminense
Internacional
1 - 3
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
5 - 1
Vitória
Atlético Mineiro
2 - 2
Palmeiras

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