Velez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors Prediction & Tips | Copa Argentina

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Velez Sarsfield

Home

Full Time

0 - 0

HT: 0 - 0

Pens: 3 - 4

Thursday 3 September

Boca Juniors

Away

Velez SarsfieldTimelineBoca Juniors

1st Half

Pellegrini M.

41'

2nd Half

Aliendro R.

54'

Valencia E.Out: Miguel Merentiel

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61'

Godoy D.Out: Veron A.

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61'

Escobar S.Out: Martinez R.

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70'

Godoy D.

74'

Flores L.Out: Villa S.

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75'

Feler L.Out: Robertone L.

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82'

Policella J.Out: Lanzini M.

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82'

Herrera F.

85'

Zenon K.Out: Velasco A.

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87'

Carlos PalaciosOut: Paredes L.

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87'

Montero A.

90'

Godoy D. (Penalty missed)

90+2'

Penalties

Blanco L.(Penalty)

sports_soccer

Gomez E. (Penalty missed)

Zenon K.(Penalty)

sports_soccer

Garcia J.(Penalty)

sports_soccer

Valencia E. (Penalty missed)

Escobar S.(Penalty)

sports_soccer

Flores L.(Penalty)

sports_soccer

Aliendro R.(Penalty)

sports_soccer

Carlos Palacios(Penalty)

sports_soccer

Silvero T. (Penalty missed)

Top stats

1.09Expected goals (xG)1.47

49%Ball possession51%

9Total shots15

1Shots on target3

1Big chances2

1Corner kicks9

83% (351/423)Passes82% (357/434)

3Yellow cards2

Shots

1.09Expected goals (xG)1.47

0.05xG on target (xGOT)0.50

9Total shots15

1Shots on target3

7Shots off target5

1Blocked shots7

4Shots inside the box8

5Shots outside the box7

1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances2

1Corner kicks9

15Touches in opposition box22

1Accurate through passes1

1Offsides1

13Free kicks7

Passes

83% (351/423)Passes82% (357/434)

55% (31/56)Long passes50% (30/60)

71% (80/113)Passes in final third61% (70/114)

33% (4/12)Crosses21% (5/24)

0.54Expected assists (xA)1.16

18Throw ins18

Defense

7Fouls13

86% (12/14)Tackles67% (10/15)

45Duels won36

30Clearances20

14Interceptions10

0Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves1

0.50xGOT faced0.05

0.50Goals prevented0.05

11Goal kicks13

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Medium Confidence

14.00

X2.92

21.92

Recommended Bet

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Home Win

Odds: 4.50Stake: Medium (6/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.70 PPG vs Away 1.60 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 1.33 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 0.50 conc vs Away 1.33 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

38%

30%

32%

Velez Sarsfield

Draw

Boca Juniors

payments

Value Comparison

Outcome	Market Odds	True Odds (AI)	Fair Odds	Value
Over 2.5 Goals	2.32	2.12	2.53	+9.6%
Under 2.5 Goals	1.52	1.90	1.66	-19.8%
Vélez Sarsfield Win	4.50	2.61	4.79	+72.7%
Draw	3.50	3.34	3.72	+4.8%
Boca Juniors Win	1.80	3.16	1.91	-43.0%
BTTS - Yes	1.66	2.02	1.79	-17.9%
BTTS - No	2.10	1.98	2.27	+6.2%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Velez Sarsfield

Starting 11

11Matías Pellegrini

LW6.82

15Dilan Godoy

CF6.98

17Alex Zahir Verón

LW6.50

8Lucas Robertone

22Manuel Lanzini

CAM7.22

29Rodrigo Germán Aliendro

CM6.89

-Emanuel Mammana

3Elías José Gómez

LB6.76

4Joaquín García

RB6.78

32Thiago Ariel Silvero

CB7.14

1Tomás Ignacio Marchiori Carreño

GK6.66

Substitutes

-Simon Prima

-Lautaro Piola

-Juan Policella

-Thiago Aguirre

5Claudio Andrés Baeza Baeza

CDM6.83

-Matías Arias

CAM

-Luca Feler

CAM

16Lisandro Magallán

CB6.26

-Leo Ariel Cristaldo Florentín

-Alexis Pereyra

1Facundo Sanguinetti

GK6.75

Boca Juniors

Starting 11

16Miguel Merentiel

CF6.84

19Leonel Benjamín Flores

CF7.38

20Alan Velasco

LW7.29

18Milton Delgado

CDM7.11

-Camilo Rey Domenech

CDM

5Santiago Ascacibar

CDM6.68

-Facundo Ezequiel Herrera

-Lautaro Di Lollo (Injured)

3Lautaro Emanuel Blanco

LB7.42

48Dylan Gorosito

RB6.41

-Álvaro Montero

Substitutes

-Milton Giménez

29Ángel Romero

RW6.49

-Enner Valencia

21Kevin Andrés Zenon

LW6.66

-Sebastián Villa Cano

-Leandro Paredes

CDM

7Carlos Palacios

CAM6.94

30Tomás Belmonte

CDM6.74

15William Héctor Alarcón Cepeda

CM6.80

4Jorge Nicolás Figal

CB7.22

-Matías Satas

12Leandro Brey

GK6.94

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 2 matches

Velez SarsfieldvsBoca Juniors

3.00Goals / Match2.00

0.50Conceded / Match0.00

1Clean Sheets2

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

6Goals Scored4

1Goals Conceded0

1Clean Sheets2

gavelDiscipline

2Yellow Cards2

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

50.8/ 98.1

Dangerous Attacks

54.4/ 105.4

36.0%

Shots on Target

32.0%

11.8

Total Shots

15.2

55.0%

Possession

60.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.3

Goals Scored / Match

1.3

0.8

Goals Conceded / Match

0.7

Head-to-Head Summary

Velez Sarsfield Wins

33%

Draws

17%

Boca Juniors Wins

50%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

Market	Velez Sarsfield	Boca Juniors
Over 1.5 Goals	62%16/26	92%24/26
Over 2.5 Goals	27%7/26	42%11/26
Both Teams to Score	54%14/26	58%15/26

* Based on last 26 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Velez Sarsfield

Home Games: Velez Sarsfield

Last 6: Boca Juniors

Away Games: Boca Juniors

history Recent Form

Velez Sarsfield

1.7 GPG

Boca Juniors

1.6 GPG

group Head to Head

PL8 Aug 2026

1-1

PL9 Feb 2026

2-1

PL28 Nov 2024

3-4

PL14 Jun 2024

1-0

PL26 Feb 2023

1-2

50%

Over 2.5 Goals

43%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

71%

10 / 14 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

50%

7 / 14 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

29%

4 / 14 matches

Both Teams to Score

43%

6 / 14 matches

Velez Sarsfield CS

29%

Clean Sheets

Boca Juniors CS

43%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

8 Aug 2026

Boca Juniors

1 - 1

Vélez Sarsfield

9 Feb 2026

Vélez Sarsfield

2 - 1

Boca Juniors

28 Nov 2024

Boca Juniors

3 - 4

Vélez Sarsfield

14 Jun 2024

Boca Juniors

1 - 0

Vélez Sarsfield

26 Feb 2023

Vélez Sarsfield

1 - 2

Boca Juniors

2 Oct 2022

Boca Juniors

1 - 0

Vélez Sarsfield

10 Apr 2022

Vélez Sarsfield

0 - 0

Boca Juniors

25 Oct 2021

Vélez Sarsfield

2 - 0

Boca Juniors

8 Mar 2021

Vélez Sarsfield

1 - 7

Boca Juniors

10 Nov 2019

Vélez Sarsfield

0 - 0

Boca Juniors

3 Sept 2018

Boca Juniors

3 - 0

Vélez Sarsfield

23 Sept 2017

Vélez Sarsfield

0 - 4

Boca Juniors

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.70

Form (Overall)

1.60

Velez Sarsfield is +6% better in terms of Points Per Game

Deportivo Riestra

1 - 1

Vélez Sarsfield

River Plate

2 - 2

Vélez Sarsfield

1 - 1

Defensa y Justicia

Boca Juniors

1 - 1

Vélez Sarsfield

1 - 0

Independiente

Boca Juniors

1 - 0

Lanús

Racing Club

1 - 1

Boca Juniors

Platense

1 - 1

Boca Juniors

1 - 1

Vélez Sarsfield

Boca Juniors

1 - 0

Estudiantes

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Velez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors Prediction & Tips | Copa Argentina | FootballTips.app

Velez Sarsfield

Boca Juniors

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Recommended Bet

Key Factors

donut_small Win Probabilities

Value Comparison

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Velez Sarsfield

Starting 11

Substitutes

Boca Juniors

Starting 11

Substitutes

compareTeam Comparison

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

gavelDiscipline

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

Team Performance (Avg)

Head-to-Head Summary

Recent Form Stats

Past Matches

Last 6: Velez Sarsfield

Home Games: Velez Sarsfield

Last 6: Boca Juniors

Away Games: Boca Juniors

history Recent Form

group Head to Head

Head-to-Head Detailed

Recent Matches

Current Form Comparison

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