Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction & Tips | Liga Profesional - Clausura | FootballTips.app
Velez Sarsfield
HomeFull Time
1 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Sunday 6 September
Estudiantes L.P.
AwayVelez SarsfieldTimelineEstudiantes L.P.
1st Half
Silvero T.
25'
Castro A.
33'
Martinez R.Assist: Silvero T.
sports_soccer
40'
Palacios T.
45+1'
2nd Half
Piovi L.Out: Gabriel Neves
sync_alt
46'
Correa J.Out: Aguirre B.
sync_alt
46'
Cetre E.
47'
Piovi L.
56'
Carrillo G.Out: Gaich A.
sync_alt
65'
Burgos J.Out: Cetre E.
sync_alt
65'
Lanzini M.Out: Policella J.
sync_alt
65'
Feler L.Out: Robertone L.
sync_alt
73'
Aguirre T.Out: Martinez R.
sync_alt
73'
Pellegrini M.
73'
Nunez S.Out: Gonzalez Pirez L.
sync_alt
77'
Arias M.Out: Pellegrini M.
sync_alt
90'
Correa J.
90+5'
Top stats
1.48Expected goals (xG)0.38
45%Ball possession55%
11Total shots6
3Shots on target2
3Big chances0
5Corner kicks1
67% (249/373)Passes74% (346/465)
2Yellow cards5
Shots
1.48Expected goals (xG)0.38
1.06xG on target (xGOT)0.07
11Total shots6
3Shots on target2
5Shots off target2
3Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box5
2Shots outside the box1
2Hit the woodwork0
Attack
3Big chances0
5Corner kicks1
29Touches in opposition box11
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides5
18Free kicks16
Passes
67% (249/373)Passes74% (346/465)
37% (23/62)Long passes44% (34/77)
57% (77/135)Passes in final third59% (69/117)
45% (9/20)Crosses30% (3/10)
1.13Expected assists (xA)0.75
25Throw ins22
Defense
16Fouls18
86% (12/14)Tackles83% (15/18)
60Duels won69
25Clearances25
14Interceptions14
0Errors leading to shot3
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
2Goalkeeper saves2
0.07xGOT faced1.06
0.07Goals prevented0.06
5Goal kicks3
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
12.69
X2.55
23.10
Recommended Bet
cancel
Away Win
Odds: 3.60Stake: Medium (5/10)
50
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 35% on target vs Away 36% on target
Standings: Home GD +4 (13pts) vs Away GD +0 (7pts)
Sofascore Stats: Away superiority - Best: Creativity (+17), Attack (+10)
donut_small Win Probabilities
39%
Velez Sarsfield Win
25%
Draw
36%
Estudiantes L.P. Win
Velez Sarsfield
Draw
Estudiantes L.P.
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.60 | 2.28 | 2.76 | +13.8% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.48 | 1.78 | 1.57 | -16.8% |
| Home Win | 2.37 | 2.54 | 2.50 | -6.8% |
| Draw | 2.80 | 3.98 | 2.96 | -29.6% |
| Away Win | 3.60 | 2.81 | 3.80 | +28.0% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.70 | 2.04 | 1.83 | -16.5% |
| BTTS - No | 2.05 | 1.97 | 2.21 | +4.3% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Vélez Sársfield will take on Estudiantes La Plata in the Liga Profesional at Estadio José Amalfitani on 2026-09-06 GMT.
Vélez Sársfield have shown strong home form, claiming victory in 8 of their last 14 matches in their own stadium, while Estudiantes La Plata have been less secure on the road with 4 losses in their past 6 away league games.
The recent head to head record leans toward the hosts, as Vélez Sársfield have won 4 of their last 6 encounters with Estudiantes La Plata in Liga Profesional action.
Vélez Sársfield to win 1-0
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 24 matchesVelez SarsfieldvsEstudiantes L.P.
1.17Goals / Match1.08
0.79Conceded / Match0.63
9Clean Sheets12
4.21Shots on Target / Match5.08
54.1%Possession %55.5%
78.0%Pass Accuracy %81.9%
radarTeam Profile
Velez Sarsfield
Estudiantes L.P.
sports_soccer
33Attack43
shield
73Defense75
swap_horiz
50Possession61
gps_fixed
57Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
46Creativity63
gavel
46Discipline35
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
28Goals Scored26
19Goals Conceded15
9Clean Sheets12
47Big Chances61
33Big Chances Missed44
2Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
288Total Shots341
101Shots on Target122
swap_horizPassing & Possession
54.1%Avg Possession55.5%
10,520Total Passes10,221
78.0%Pass Accuracy81.9%
shieldDefending
447Tackles409
214Interceptions186
92Saves62
49.7%Duels Won53.1%
gavelDiscipline
268Fouls281
56Yellow Cards64
1Red Cards2
26Offsides32
analyticsOther
106Corners102
169Successful Dribbles200
0Errors Leading to Goal2
6.85Avg Rating6.95
League Standings Context
For Velez Sarsfield
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 4 | Vélez Sársfield | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 | Newell's Old Boys | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
For Estudiantes L.P.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | CA Platense | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 12 | Estudiantes La Plata | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 13 | Lanús | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
50.5/ 97.9
Dangerous Attacks
47.4/ 95.7
35.0%
Shots on Target
36.0%
11.7
Total Shots
13.8
54.0%
Possession
53.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
1.3
Goals Scored / Match
1.3
0.7
Goals Conceded / Match
0.6
Head-to-Head Summary
4
Velez Sarsfield Wins
67%
1
Draws
17%
1
Estudiantes L.P. Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Velez Sarsfield | Estudiantes L.P. |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 59%16/27 | 78%21/27 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 26%7/27 | 41%11/27 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52%14/27 | 37%10/27 |
* Based on last 27 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Velez Sarsfield
ArC
Vélez Sársfield
0 - 0
Boca Juniors
Ar1
Vélez Sársfield
1 - 1
Defensa y Justicia
Ar1
Vélez Sársfield
1 - 0
Independiente
Ar1
Vélez Sársfield
1 - 0
Instituto Córdoba
Ar1
Vélez Sársfield
0 - 1
Gimnasia La Plata
Ar1
Vélez Sársfield
1 - 1
Newell's Old Boys
Home Games: Velez Sarsfield
ArC
Vélez Sársfield
0 - 0
Boca Juniors
Ar1
Vélez Sársfield
1 - 1
Defensa y Justicia
Ar1
Vélez Sársfield
1 - 0
Independiente
Ar1
Vélez Sársfield
1 - 0
Instituto Córdoba
Ar1
Vélez Sársfield
0 - 1
Gimnasia La Plata
Ar1
Vélez Sársfield
1 - 1
Newell's Old Boys
Last 6: Estudiantes L.P.
Ar1
Sarmiento Junín
2 - 0
Estudiantes La Plata
CLA
Universidad Católica
0 - 3
Estudiantes La Plata
Ar1
Deportivo Riestra
2 - 0
Estudiantes La Plata
Ar1
Boca Juniors
1 - 0
Estudiantes La Plata
CLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Estudiantes La Plata
CLA
Cusco FC
1 - 1
Estudiantes La Plata
Away Games: Estudiantes L.P.
Ar1
Sarmiento Junín
2 - 0
Estudiantes La Plata
CLA
Universidad Católica
0 - 3
Estudiantes La Plata
Ar1
Deportivo Riestra
2 - 0
Estudiantes La Plata
Ar1
Boca Juniors
1 - 0
Estudiantes La Plata
CLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Estudiantes La Plata
CLA
Cusco FC
1 - 1
Estudiantes La Plata
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