Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente Prediction & Tips | Liga Profesional - Clausura

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Velez Sarsfield

Home

Full Time

1 - 0

HT: 0 - 0

Monday 3 August

Independiente

Away

Velez SarsfieldTimelineIndependiente

1st Half

Arias S.Out: Godoy L.

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27'

Godoy D.

42'

Gutierrez M.

45+3'

2nd Half

Valdez F.Out: Abaldo M.

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46'

Mammana E.Out: Magallan L.

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46'

Barros Schelotto G.

47'

Montiel S.

53'

Escobar S.Out: Lanzini M.

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57'

Aguirre T.Out: Godoy D.

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57'

Aguirre T. ()

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70'

Pellegrini M.

72'

Meza M.Out: Perez Curci M.

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76'

Millan L.Out: Gutierrez M.

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76'

Escobar S.

85'

Feler L.Out: Pellegrini M.

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86'

Baeza C.Out: Robertone L.

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88'

Top stats

0.89Expected goals (xG)0.39

54%Ball possession46%

12Total shots11

4Shots on target1

3Big chances0

4Corner kicks4

77% (338/440)Passes75% (281/376)

3Yellow cards2

Shots

0.89Expected goals (xG)0.39

1.39xG on target (xGOT)0.08

12Total shots11

4Shots on target1

4Shots off target8

4Blocked shots2

7Shots inside the box5

5Shots outside the box6

0Hit the woodwork0

1Headed goals0

Attack

3Big chances0

4Corner kicks4

19Touches in opposition box23

1Accurate through passes0

2Offsides1

13Free kicks17

Passes

77% (338/440)Passes75% (281/376)

43% (30/70)Long passes42% (25/59)

66% (101/152)Passes in final third68% (91/133)

17% (4/24)Crosses22% (4/18)

0.82Expected assists (xA)0.85

13Throw ins14

Defense

17Fouls13

67% (14/21)Tackles52% (13/25)

63Duels won79

25Clearances28

6Interceptions8

0Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves2

0.08xGOT faced1.39

0.08Goals prevented0.39

10Goal kicks3

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AI Prediction

verified Low Confidence

12.59

X2.75

22.98

Recommended Bet

Draw

Stake: Low (4/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.79 PPG vs Away 1.58 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 2.10 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 1.20 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 0.70 conc vs Away 1.40 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

35%

39%

25%

Velez Sarsfield

Draw

Independiente

history Recent Form

Velez Sarsfield

1.8 GPG

Independiente

1.6 GPG

group Head to Head

PL31 Jan 2026

1-1

PL17 Aug 2025

2-1

PL12 Feb 2025

3-0

PL27 Sept 2024

1-0

PL27 May 2024

1-1

26%

Over 2.5 Goals

42%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

63%

12 / 19 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

26%

5 / 19 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

1 / 19 matches

Both Teams to Score

42%

8 / 19 matches

Velez Sarsfield CS

26%

Clean Sheets

Independiente CS

42%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

31 Jan 2026

Independiente

1 - 1

Vélez Sarsfield

17 Aug 2025

Vélez Sarsfield

2 - 1

Independiente

12 Feb 2025

Independiente

3 - 0

Vélez Sarsfield

27 Sept 2024

Vélez Sarsfield

1 - 0

Independiente

27 May 2024

Independiente

1 - 1

Vélez Sarsfield

27 Aug 2023

Independiente

2 - 1

Vélez Sarsfield

12 Feb 2023

Vélez Sarsfield

0 - 0

Independiente

16 Sept 2022

Vélez Sarsfield

0 - 2

Independiente

28 Aug 2022

Independiente

1 - 1

Vélez Sarsfield

20 Feb 2022

Vélez Sarsfield

0 - 0

Independiente

3 Oct 2021

Vélez Sarsfield

3 - 3

Independiente

20 Mar 2021

Vélez Sarsfield

1 - 0

Independiente

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.79

Form (Overall)

1.58

Velez Sarsfield is +13% better in terms of Points Per Game

Talleres Córdoba

1 - 3

Vélez Sarsfield

1 - 0

Instituto

Vélez Sarsfield

0 - 1

Gimnasia La Plata

Vélez Sarsfield

1 - 1

Newell's Old Boys

Vélez Sarsfield

2 - 2

Unión Santa Fe

Independiente

1 - 0

Newell's Old Boys

Estudiantes

0 - 2

Independiente

Rosario Central

3 - 1

Independiente

San Lorenzo

1 - 2

Independiente

Deportivo Riestra

2 - 0

Independiente

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AI Prediction

verified Low Confidence

12.59

X2.75

22.98