Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate Prediction & Tips | Liga Profesional - Apertura | FootballTips.app
Velez Sarsfield
HomeFull Time
1 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Sunday 22 February
River Plate
AwayVelez SarsfieldTimelineRiver Plate
1st Half
Lanzini M.Assist: Pellegrini M.
sports_soccer
6'
Diaz P.
18'
Freitas J.Out: Quintero J.
sync_alt
27'
Veron A.Out: Pellegrini M.
sync_alt
34'
2nd Half
Paez K.Out: Galvan T.
sync_alt
46'
Beltran S.Out: Armani F.
sync_alt
46'
Vina M.
52'
Monzon F.
64'
Romero B.Out: Monzon F.
sync_alt
64'
Aliendro R.Out: Robertone L.
sync_alt
65'
Giuliano GaloppoOut: Fausto Vera
sync_alt
66'
Subiabre I.Out: Paez K.
sync_alt
70'
Machuca I.Out: Lanzini M.
sync_alt
77'
Montiel G.
87'
Top stats
0.87Expected goals (xG)0.97
37%Ball possession63%
9Total shots12
4Shots on target5
1Big chances2
5Corner kicks7
61% (196/321)Passes78% (444/567)
1Yellow cards3
Shots
0.87Expected goals (xG)0.97
1.07xG on target (xGOT)0.52
9Total shots12
4Shots on target5
2Shots off target5
3Blocked shots2
3Shots inside the box8
6Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0
Attack
1Big chances2
5Corner kicks7
9Touches in opposition box20
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides1
14Free kicks9
Passes
61% (196/321)Passes78% (444/567)
31% (22/72)Long passes41% (29/70)
50% (59/118)Passes in final third64% (87/135)
7% (1/14)Crosses20% (3/15)
0.50Expected assists (xA)0.42
27Throw ins24
Defense
9Fouls14
85% (23/27)Tackles58% (11/19)
61Duels won50
22Clearances13
14Interceptions11
0Errors leading to shot2
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
5Goalkeeper saves3
0.52xGOT faced1.07
0.52Goals prevented0.07
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.86
X2.74
22.70
Recommended Bet
check_circle
Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 36% on target vs Away 29% on target
Standings: Home GD +3 (11pts) vs Away GD -1 (7pts)
Sofascore Stats: Home superiority - Best: Efficiency (+40), Discipline (+43)
donut_small Win Probabilities
75%
Velez Sarsfield Win
14%
Draw
11%
River Plate Win
Velez Sarsfield
Draw
River Plate
Match Preview
Vélez Sársfield will meet River Plate in the Liga Profesional at Estadio José Amalfitani on February 22, 2026.
Vélez Sársfield has secured 2 wins in 3 home matches in the league, while River Plate has experienced 3 losses in their recent 6 matches.
Notably, in their recent meetings, Under 2.5 goals have been scored in 60 percent of Vélez Sársfield's last 10 matches against River Plate and in 100 percent of River Plate's last 3 away matches.
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals to be scored.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 5 matchesVelez SarsfieldvsRiver Plate
1.40Goals / Match0.80
0.80Conceded / Match1.00
1Clean Sheets3
3.60Shots on Target / Match5.00
53.6%Possession %65.4%
77.4%Pass Accuracy %83.2%
radarTeam Profile
Velez Sarsfield
River Plate
sports_soccer
34Attack34
shield
52Defense70
swap_horiz
50Possession70
gps_fixed
69Efficiency29
auto_fix_high
32Creativity22
gavel
55Discipline12
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
7Goals Scored4
4Goals Conceded5
1Clean Sheets3
9Big Chances10
5Big Chances Missed9
gps_fixedShooting
56Total Shots80
18Shots on Target25
swap_horizPassing & Possession
53.6%Avg Possession65.4%
2,055Total Passes2,608
77.4%Pass Accuracy83.2%
shieldDefending
75Tackles79
39Interceptions45
19Saves12
48.1%Duels Won47.9%
gavelDiscipline
59Fouls63
9Yellow Cards14
0Red Cards2
8Offsides13
analyticsOther
17Corners23
38Successful Dribbles34
0Errors Leading to Goal2
6.76Avg Rating6.76
League Standings Context
For Velez Sarsfield
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes La Plata | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Vélez Sársfield | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 3 | CA Platense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
For River Plate
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Racing Club | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | River Plate | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junín | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
52.3/ 85.7
Dangerous Attacks
63.3/ 116.0
36.0%
Shots on Target
29.0%
10.7
Total Shots
18.0
51.0%
Possession
68.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
1.2
Goals Scored / Match
0.8
1.0
Goals Conceded / Match
0.8
Head-to-Head Summary
1
Velez Sarsfield Wins
17%
3
Draws
50%
2
River Plate Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Velez Sarsfield | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 83%5/6 | 33%2/6 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 33%2/6 | 17%1/6 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67%4/6 | 17%1/6 |
* Based on last 6 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Velez Sarsfield
Ar1
Vélez Sársfield
2 - 1
Boca Juniors
Ar1
Vélez Sársfield
2 - 1
Talleres Córdoba
Ar1
Vélez Sársfield
0 - 2
Argentinos Juniors
Home Games: Velez Sarsfield
Ar1
Vélez Sársfield
2 - 1
Boca Juniors
Ar1
Vélez Sársfield
2 - 1
Talleres Córdoba
Ar1
Vélez Sársfield
0 - 2
Argentinos Juniors
Last 6: River Plate
Ar1
Argentinos Juniors
1 - 0
River Plate
Ar1
Rosario Central
0 - 0
River Plate
Ar1
Barracas Central
0 - 1
River Plate
Away Games: River Plate
Ar1
Argentinos Juniors
1 - 0
River Plate
Ar1
Rosario Central
0 - 0
River Plate
Ar1
Barracas Central
0 - 1
River Plate
Weekly Newsletter
Subscribe for Betting Tips
Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.
Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.
Free Weekly Tips
Value Opportunities