Vitoria vs Gremio Prediction & Tips | Serie A Betano | FootballTips.app
Vitoria
HomeFull Time
1 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Monday 7 September
Gremio
AwayVitoriaTimelineGremio
1st Half
Pedro Gabriel
36'
Pavon C.
38'
2nd Half
Caio PaulistaOut: Pedro Gabriel
sync_alt
46'
Erick
48'
Caio Paulista
48'
Caique Goncalves
55'
Noriega E.
59'
ReneAssist: Matheusinho
sports_soccer
63'
Danilo BarbosaOut: Noriega E.
sync_alt
69'
Nardoni J.Out: Pavon C.
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69'
Enamorado J.Out: Villasanti M.
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69'
MarinhoOut: Erick
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72'
Braithwaite M.Out: Carlos Vinicius
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78'
Gustavo Martins
79'
EdenilsonOut: Caique Goncalves
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81'
FabricioOut: Tarzia D.
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82'
Pochettino T.Out: Matheuzinho
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82'
Renato KayzerOut: Rene
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90'
Top stats
1.66Expected goals (xG)0.45
46%Ball possession54%
20Total shots11
6Shots on target5
2Big chances0
6Corner kicks1
82% (322/394)Passes83% (400/480)
2Yellow cards5
Shots
1.66Expected goals (xG)0.45
1.99xG on target (xGOT)0.54
20Total shots11
6Shots on target5
10Shots off target4
4Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box4
10Shots outside the box7
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0
Attack
2Big chances0
6Corner kicks1
29Touches in opposition box15
1Accurate through passes0
1Offsides1
19Free kicks13
Passes
82% (322/394)Passes83% (400/480)
43% (27/63)Long passes48% (30/62)
77% (96/125)Passes in final third65% (65/100)
28% (8/29)Crosses27% (3/11)
1.12Expected assists (xA)0.46
14Throw ins17
Defense
13Fouls19
71% (15/21)Tackles71% (12/17)
60Duels won46
21Clearances27
7Interceptions4
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
5Goalkeeper saves5
0.54xGOT faced1.99
0.54Goals prevented0.99
6Goal kicks17
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
12.12
X3.19
23.54
Recommended Bet
check_circle
Home Win
Odds: 2.20Stake: Low (4/10)
38
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 37% on target vs Away 33% on target
Standings: Home GD -13 (29pts) vs Away GD -5 (28pts)
👎 LOW OPPORTUNITY (38)
donut_small Win Probabilities
41%
Vitoria Win
29%
Draw
30%
Gremio Win
Vitoria
Draw
Gremio
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.14 | 2.07 | 2.27 | +3.6% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.68 | 1.94 | 1.79 | -13.3% |
| Home Win | 2.20 | 2.43 | 2.31 | -9.4% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.48 | 3.47 | -5.3% |
| Away Win | 3.40 | 3.32 | 3.58 | +2.3% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.90 | 1.91 | 2.00 | -0.5% |
| BTTS - No | 1.90 | 2.10 | 2.00 | -9.5% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Vitória are set to take on Grêmio in the Brasileiro Serie A at Estádio Manoel Barradas on September 8, 2026.
Currently, Vitória hold 13th place in the standings with 29 points, while Grêmio are just behind in 15th position with 28 points.
The hosts have secured eight victories from twelve home matches this season, whereas Grêmio have won half of their last six games.
In their previous 28 meetings, Vitória have suffered 14 defeats to Grêmio.
Prediction: Vitória to win 2-0.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 25 / 24 matchesVitoriavsGremio
0.96Goals / Match1.13
1.48Conceded / Match1.33
9Clean Sheets5
3.76Shots on Target / Match3.54
44.9%Possession %49.7%
80.6%Pass Accuracy %85.0%
radarTeam Profile
Vitoria
Gremio
sports_soccer
22Attack27
shield
56Defense45
swap_horiz
43Possession56
gps_fixed
53Efficiency58
auto_fix_high
34Creativity35
gavel
33Discipline27
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
24Goals Scored27
37Goals Conceded32
9Clean Sheets5
37Big Chances38
22Big Chances Missed22
4Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
287Total Shots272
94Shots on Target85
swap_horizPassing & Possession
44.9%Avg Possession49.7%
8,716Total Passes9,992
80.6%Pass Accuracy85.0%
shieldDefending
409Tackles345
205Interceptions214
84Saves73
49.7%Duels Won48.9%
gavelDiscipline
329Fouls313
57Yellow Cards59
3Red Cards4
29Offsides39
analyticsOther
109Corners106
173Successful Dribbles171
3Errors Leading to Goal4
6.73Avg Rating6.79
League Standings Context
For Vitoria
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Botafogo | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 31 |
| 14 | Vitória | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 29 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28 |
For Gremio
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Vitória | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 29 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28 |
| 16 | Mirassol SP | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
45.0/ 88.3
Dangerous Attacks
39.5/ 90.2
37.0%
Shots on Target
33.0%
12.5
Total Shots
11.9
50.0%
Possession
54.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
1.4
Goals Scored / Match
1.4
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.0
Head-to-Head Summary
0
Vitoria Wins
0%
2
Draws
33%
4
Gremio Wins
67%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Vitoria | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79%41/52 | 67%35/52 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46%24/52 | 38%20/52 |
| Both Teams to Score | 44%23/52 | 44%23/52 |
* Based on last 52 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Vitoria
BrC
Vitória
0 - 2
Vasco da Gama
Br1
Vitória
0 - 2
Bahia
Br1
Vitória
1 - 0
Botafogo
BrC
Vitória
4 - 0
Atlético PR
Br1
Vitória
0 - 4
Palmeiras
Br1
Vitória
1 - 0
Vasco da Gama
Home Games: Vitoria
BrC
Vitória
0 - 2
Vasco da Gama
Br1
Vitória
0 - 2
Bahia
Br1
Vitória
1 - 0
Botafogo
BrC
Vitória
4 - 0
Atlético PR
Br1
Vitória
0 - 4
Palmeiras
Br1
Vitória
1 - 0
Vasco da Gama
Last 6: Gremio
BrC
Internacional
0 - 0
Grêmio
Br1
RB Bragantino
1 - 0
Grêmio
Br1
Atlético Mineiro
3 - 0
Grêmio
BrC
Mirassol SP
1 - 1
Grêmio
CS
Bolívar
3 - 2
Grêmio
Br1
Mirassol SP
2 - 1
Grêmio
Away Games: Gremio
BrC
Internacional
0 - 0
Grêmio
Br1
RB Bragantino
1 - 0
Grêmio
Br1
Atlético Mineiro
3 - 0
Grêmio
BrC
Mirassol SP
1 - 1
Grêmio
CS
Bolívar
3 - 2
Grêmio
Br1
Mirassol SP
2 - 1
Grêmio
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