Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Prediction & Tips | Liga Portugal | FootballTips.app
Vitoria Guimaraes
HomeFull Time
0 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Sunday 6 September
Casa Pia
AwayVitoria GuimaraesTimelineCasa Pia
1st Half
Mandic I.Out: Gomes A.
sync_alt
29'
2nd Half
JPOut: Prieto K.
sync_alt
46'
Araujo H.Out: Jatta A.
sync_alt
57'
Salah M.Out: Pauwels B.
sync_alt
57'
Gustavo
62'
Mandic I.
62'
Jakupovic A.Out: Ndoye A.
sync_alt
63'
Goulart J.Out: Kaly
sync_alt
70'
Rivas Viondi O.Out: Sidibe A.
sync_alt
71'
Camara O.Out: Nogueira M.
sync_alt
71'
JP
72'
Thiago Balieiro
86'
Ouotro P.Out: Doucet L.
sync_alt
87'
Nogueira G.Out: Samu
sync_alt
87'
Top stats
2.39Expected goals (xG)0.21
74%Ball possession26%
29Total shots7
8Shots on target3
4Big chances0
17Corner kicks4
83% (454/550)Passes56% (107/191)
2Yellow cards2
Shots
2.39Expected goals (xG)0.21
0.87xG on target (xGOT)0.24
29Total shots7
8Shots on target3
10Shots off target4
11Blocked shots0
17Shots inside the box4
12Shots outside the box3
2Hit the woodwork1
Attack
4Big chances0
17Corner kicks4
36Touches in opposition box9
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides0
6Free kicks16
Passes
83% (454/550)Passes56% (107/191)
48% (24/50)Long passes27% (16/60)
73% (127/174)Passes in final third49% (47/96)
24% (11/46)Crosses31% (4/13)
1.34Expected assists (xA)0.23
31Throw ins21
Defense
16Fouls6
50% (6/12)Tackles62% (16/26)
55Duels won68
16Clearances72
9Interceptions6
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
3Goalkeeper saves7
0.24xGOT faced0.87
0.24Goals prevented0.87
9Goal kicks10
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.51
X4.02
26.54
Recommended Bet
cancel
Away Win
Odds: 6.54Stake: Medium (7/10)
67
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Player Ratings Lineups: Home 6.5 vs Away 6.2
Model Consensus: 2-0 (Home)
Statistical Edge: Home leads in 2 categories
donut_small Win Probabilities
60%
Vitoria Guimaraes Win
23%
Draw
17%
Casa Pia Win
Vitoria Guimaraes
Draw
Casa Pia
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 1.51 | 1.66 | 1.61 | -9.1% |
| Draw | 4.02 | 4.43 | 4.28 | -9.2% |
| Away Win | 6.54 | 5.80 | 6.96 | +12.7% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Vitoria de Guimaraes were unable to respond to Diego Rodrigues' 79th-minute opener in gameweek four as Sunday's hosts suffered a narrow away defeat to Sporting Braga. Tiago Margarido's men have claimed just three points from a possible 12 so far this season.
Casa Pia are rooted to the bottom of the Liga Portugal standings ahead of their trip to Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques on Sunday. Filipe Coelho's side have lost all four of their first Liga Portugal matches and have yet to score a goal this season.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Vitoria Guimaraes
Starting 11
-Oliwier Zych
GK6.18
-João Mendes
DL6.42
-Thiago Balieiro
DC6.41
-Óscar Rivas
DC6.48
-Tony Strata
DR7.04
-Lohann Doucet
DMC6.42
-Gonçalo Nogueira
DMC6.36
-Miguel Nogueira
AML6.54
-Samu
AMC6.78
-Victor Andersson
AMR5.93
-Alioune Ndoye
FW6.70
Casa Pia
Starting 11
-André Gomes
GK5.90
-Pedro Rosas
DL6.60
-João Goulart
DC6.32
-David Sousa
DC6.72
-André Geraldes
DR6.22
-Lawrence Ofori
DMC5.86
-Seba Pérez
DMC6.09
-Rochinha
AML5.95
-João Rego
AMC6.50
-Kevin Prieto
AMR6.18
-Alassana Jatta
FW6.18
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 4 matchesVitoria GuimaraesvsCasa Pia
0.75Goals / Match0.00
1.25Conceded / Match2.75
1Clean Sheets0
3.25Shots on Target / Match2.00
49.0%Possession %51.0%
81.5%Pass Accuracy %83.4%
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
3Goals Scored0
5Goals Conceded11
1Clean Sheets0
13Big Chances3
11Big Chances Missed3
gps_fixedShooting
67Total Shots39
13Shots on Target8
swap_horizPassing & Possession
49.0%Avg Possession51.0%
1,680Total Passes1,643
81.5%Pass Accuracy83.4%
shieldDefending
74Tackles60
42Interceptions46
4Saves11
47.9%Duels Won51.4%
gavelDiscipline
66Fouls50
11Yellow Cards6
0Red Cards1
4Offsides6
analyticsOther
12Corners16
16Successful Dribbles29
3Errors Leading to Goal2
7.08Avg Rating6.72
Statistical Comparison
Vitoria GuimaraesMetricCasa Pia
3
Goals
0
3
Assists
0
6.4
Average Ratings
6.2
23.5
Average Age
26.8
183.1
Average Height (cm)
183.5
1.2
Shots pg
0.9
48%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
0.3
Dribbles pg
0.8
1.3
Tackles pg
1.2
Weekly Newsletter
Subscribe for Betting Tips
Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.
Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.
Free Weekly Tips
Value Opportunities