Wales vs Denmark Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League A | FootballTips.app

Wales

Wales

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20h
18:45
UEFA Nations League - League A
Denmark

Denmark

Away

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Who wins?

auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
13.49
X3.67
21.98

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.33 GPG vs Away 2.40 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.50 conc vs Away 1.80 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

35%
24%
41%
Wales
Draw
Denmark
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.571.72-8.6%
Under 2.5 Goals2.092.39-12.6%
Wales Win3.752.89+29.9%
Draw3.904.17-6.4%
Denmark Win1.832.42-24.3%
BTTS - Yes1.581.78-11.1%
BTTS - No2.152.29-6.0%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Wales took full advantage of Torbjørn Heggem's red card on Thursday night, coming from behind to beat Norway 2-1 thanks to goals from Dan James and Neco Williams. That result ended a six-game winless streak in all international competitions.

Denmark fought back from behind twice to draw level against a star-studded Portugal side on Thursday night, only to concede twice in the final 25 minutes in a 4-2 home defeat. Sunday's visitors have won just one of their last five international matches.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Wales

Starting 11
-Danny Ward
GK6.36
-Jay Dasilva
DL6.48
-Ben Davies
DC6.33
-Ben Cabango
DC6.82
-Neco Williams
DR7.15
-Jordan James
DMC6.23
-Ethan Ampadu
DMC6.22
-Sorba Thomas
AML6.40
-Brennan Johnson
AMC6.19
-Daniel James
AMR6.58
-Kieffer Moore
FW6.44

Denmark

Starting 11
-Mads Hermansen
GK6.49
-Joakim Mæhle
DL6.96
-Oliver Provstgaard
DC6.51
-Joachim Andersen
DC6.52
-Rasmus Kristensen
DR6.47
-Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
MC6.38
-Victor Froholdt
MC5.98
-Mikkel Damsgaard
MC8.03
-Mohamed Daramy
FWL6.92
-Rasmus Højlund
FW6.81
-Gustav Isaksen
FWR6.88
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Statistical Comparison

WalesMetricDenmark
2
Goals
5
1
Assists
2
6.4
Average Ratings
6.5
27.9
Average Age
26
183
Average Height (cm)
186.5
0.9
Shots pg
1.3
35%
Aerial Duel Success
61%
0.6
Dribbles pg
1.5
1.1
Tackles pg
1.3

history Recent Form

WalesWales
1.2 GPG
W
L
L
L
D
DenmarkDenmark
1.5 GPG
L
W
L
D
D

group Head to Head

PL27 Sept 2026
Denmark
2-0
Wales
PL26 Jun 2021
Wales
0-4
Denmark
PL16 Nov 2018
Wales
1-2
Denmark
PL9 Sept 2018
Denmark
2-0
Wales
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
4 / 4 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
2 / 4 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
1 / 4 matches
Both Teams to Score
25%
1 / 4 matches
Wales CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Denmark CS
75%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

27 Sept 2026
Denmark
2 - 0
Wales
26 Jun 2021
Wales
0 - 4
Denmark
16 Nov 2018
Wales
1 - 2
Denmark
9 Sept 2018
Denmark
2 - 0
Wales

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Wales
1.20
Form (Overall)
Denmark
1.50

Denmark is +25% better in terms of Points Per Game

Wales
2 - 1
Norway
Denmark
2 - 0
Wales
Portugal
1 - 0
Wales
Romania
2 - 1
Wales
Wales
1 - 1
Ghana
Denmark
2 - 4
Portugal
Denmark
2 - 0
Wales
Norway
3 - 2
Denmark
Congo DR
0 - 0
Denmark
Czech Republic
2 - 2
Denmark

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