Wales vs Denmark Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League A | FootballTips.app

Wales

Wales

Home
Full Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Sunday 4 October
Denmark

Denmark

Away
WalesTimelineDenmark
1st Half
Skov Olsen A.Out: Hojbjerg P.
sync_alt
10'
Cullen L.
29'
2nd Half
Harris M.Out: Koumas L.
sync_alt
56'
Sheehan J.Out: James J.
sync_alt
56'
Cabango B.
66'
Hojlund R.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
75'
Burns W.Out: Cullen L.
sync_alt
76'
Colwill J.Out: Johnson B.
sync_alt
76'
Gaaei A.Out: Kristensen R.
sync_alt
76'
Thomas S.
80'
Kvistgaarden M.Out: Isaksen G.
sync_alt
82'
Hogh K.Out: Hojlund R.
sync_alt
82'
Moore K.Out: Davies B.
sync_alt
83'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
13.49
X3.67
21.98

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.33 GPG vs Away 2.40 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.50 conc vs Away 1.80 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

35%
24%
41%
Wales
Draw
Denmark
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.571.72-8.6%
Under 2.5 Goals2.092.39-12.6%
Wales Win3.752.89+29.9%
Draw3.904.17-6.4%
Denmark Win1.832.42-24.3%
BTTS - Yes1.581.78-11.1%
BTTS - No2.152.29-6.0%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Wales

Starting 11
-Danny Ward
GK6.36
-Jay Dasilva
DL6.48
-Ben Davies
DC6.33
-Ben Cabango
DC6.82
-Neco Williams
DR7.15
-Jordan James
DMC6.23
-Ethan Ampadu
DMC6.22
-Sorba Thomas
AML6.40
-Brennan Johnson
AMC6.19
-Daniel James
AMR6.58
-Kieffer Moore
FW6.44

Denmark

Starting 11
-Mads Hermansen
GK6.49
-Joakim Mæhle
DL6.96
-Oliver Provstgaard
DC6.51
-Joachim Andersen
DC6.52
-Rasmus Kristensen
DR6.47
-Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
MC6.38
-Victor Froholdt
MC5.98
-Mikkel Damsgaard
MC8.03
-Mohamed Daramy
FWL6.92
-Rasmus Højlund
FW6.81
-Gustav Isaksen
FWR6.88
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Wales took full advantage of Torbjørn Heggem's red card on Thursday night, coming from behind to beat Norway 2-1 thanks to goals from Dan James and Neco Williams. That result ended a six-game winless streak in all international competitions.

Denmark fought back from behind twice to draw level against a star-studded Portugal side on Thursday night, only to concede twice in the final 25 minutes in a 4-2 home defeat. Sunday's visitors have won just one of their last five international matches.

Statistical Comparison

WalesMetricDenmark
2
Goals
5
1
Assists
2
6.4
Average Ratings
6.5
27.9
Average Age
26
183
Average Height (cm)
186.5
0.9
Shots pg
1.3
35%
Aerial Duel Success
61%
0.6
Dribbles pg
1.5
1.1
Tackles pg
1.3

history Recent Form

WalesWales
1.2 GPG
W
L
L
L
D
DenmarkDenmark
1.5 GPG
L
W
L
D
D

group Head to Head

PL27 Sept 2026
Denmark
2-0
Wales
PL26 Jun 2021
Wales
0-4
Denmark
PL16 Nov 2018
Wales
1-2
Denmark
PL9 Sept 2018
Denmark
2-0
Wales
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
4 / 4 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
2 / 4 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
1 / 4 matches
Both Teams to Score
25%
1 / 4 matches
Wales CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Denmark CS
75%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

27 Sept 2026
Denmark
2 - 0
Wales
26 Jun 2021
Wales
0 - 4
Denmark
16 Nov 2018
Wales
1 - 2
Denmark
9 Sept 2018
Denmark
2 - 0
Wales

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Wales
1.20
Form (Overall)
Denmark
1.50

Denmark is +25% better in terms of Points Per Game

Wales
2 - 1
Norway
Denmark
2 - 0
Wales
Portugal
1 - 0
Wales
Romania
2 - 1
Wales
Wales
1 - 1
Ghana
Denmark
2 - 4
Portugal
Denmark
2 - 0
Wales
Norway
3 - 2
Denmark
Congo DR
0 - 0
Denmark
Czech Republic
2 - 2
Denmark

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

No spam, unsubscribe at any time.