Waterford vs Derry City Prediction & Tips | Premier Division | FootballTips.app
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AI Prediction
verified Medium Model Confidence
12.66
X3.45
22.39
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
51
Best near-miss
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #8 vs Away #5
Season: Home 1.10 PPG vs Away 1.23 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.40 PPG vs Away 1.65 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.33 GPG vs Away 1.07 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
39%
25%
36%
Waterford
Draw
Derry City
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.72 | 1.83 | 1.83 | -6.1% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.08 | 2.20 | 2.21 | -5.5% |
| Waterford Win | 2.60 | 2.58 | 2.90 | +0.7% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.96 | 3.79 | -14.1% |
| Derry City Win | 2.30 | 2.78 | 2.56 | -17.2% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.57 | 1.81 | 1.70 | -13.0% |
| BTTS - No | 2.25 | 2.24 | 2.43 | +0.4% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 30 matchesWaterfordvsDerry City
1.33Goals / Match1.40
1.63Conceded / Match1.33
6Clean Sheets8
4.10Shots on Target / Match5.00
38.5%Possession %54.1%
59.4%Pass Accuracy %75.6%
radarTeam Profile
Waterford
Derry City
sports_soccer
37Attack43
shield
51Defense55
swap_horiz
10Possession48
gps_fixed
63Efficiency64
auto_fix_high
35Creativity52
gavel
43Discipline33
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
40Goals Scored42
49Goals Conceded40
6Clean Sheets8
49Big Chances56
22Big Chances Missed33
6Penalty Goals4
gps_fixedShooting
400Total Shots413
123Shots on Target150
swap_horizPassing & Possession
38.5%Avg Possession54.1%
7,819Total Passes12,472
59.4%Pass Accuracy75.6%
shieldDefending
526Tackles563
297Interceptions260
120Saves82
49.5%Duels Won51.8%
gavelDiscipline
392Fouls368
69Yellow Cards77
0Red Cards3
55Offsides33
analyticsOther
160Corners175
121Successful Dribbles233
4Errors Leading to Goal2
6.77Avg Rating6.83
history Recent Form
WaterfordD
W
W
W
W
Derry CityW
L
W
D
L
group Head to Head
PL3 Jul 2026
2-4
PL15 May 2026
2-2
PL27 Feb 2026
4-2
PL17 Oct 2025
1-2
PL4 Jul 2025
7-2
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
22 / 25 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
17 / 25 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
8 / 25 matches
Both Teams to Score
60%
15 / 25 matches
Waterford CS
4%
Clean Sheets
Derry City CS
36%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
3 Jul 2026
Derry City
2 - 4
Waterford
15 May 2026
Waterford
2 - 2
Derry City
27 Feb 2026
Derry City
4 - 2
Waterford
17 Oct 2025
Waterford
1 - 2
Derry City
4 Jul 2025
Derry City
7 - 2
Waterford
25 Apr 2025
Waterford
2 - 1
Derry City
28 Feb 2025
Derry City
1 - 2
Waterford
23 Aug 2024
Waterford
0 - 1
Derry City
3 Jun 2024
Derry City
3 - 0
Waterford
26 Apr 2024
Waterford
0 - 2
Derry City
8 Mar 2024
Derry City
3 - 0
Waterford
2 Nov 2021
Waterford
2 - 2
Derry City
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.33
Form (Overall)
0.87
Waterford is +53% better in terms of Points Per Game
Waterford
1 - 1
Dundalk
Waterford
3 - 0
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
2 - 1
Athlone Town
Waterford
3 - 1
Bohemians
Waterford
1 - 0
Shelbourne
Shelbourne
0 - 1
Derry City
Bohemians
5 - 3
Derry City
UCD
1 - 2
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
1 - 1
Derry City
Rijeka
1 - 0
Derry City
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