Watford vs Wrexham Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Watford

Watford

Home
Full Time
3 - 1
HT: 2 - 0
Tuesday 17 March
Wrexham

Wrexham

Away
WatfordTimelineWrexham
1st Half
Bola M. (Chakvetadze G.)
sports_soccer
18'
Kayembe E.Assist: Irankunda N.
sports_soccer
38'
2nd Half
Windass J.Out: Broadhead N.
sync_alt
46'
Cleworth M. (Rathbone O.)
sports_soccer
49'
Kabore I.Out: Longman R.
sync_alt
64'
Keillor-Dunn D.Out: Rathbone O.
sync_alt
64'
Mendy N.Out: Ekwah P.
sync_alt
71'
Doumbia M.Out: Irankunda N.
sync_alt
71'
Cadamarteri B.Out: Smith S.
sync_alt
75'
Chakvetadze G.
81'
Bove E.Out: Kayembe E.
sync_alt
83'
Mendy F.Out: Chakvetadze G.
sync_alt
83'
Rodriguez J.Out: Vyner Z.
sync_alt
88'
Keben K.Out: Abankwah J.
sync_alt
90+1'
Bove E.
sports_soccer
90+4'
Bove E.
90+5'

Top stats

2.03Expected goals (xG)0.35
42%Ball possession58%
13Total shots8
6Shots on target1
2Big chances0
3Corner kicks5
79% (325/412)Passes83% (440/530)
2Yellow cards0

Shots

2.03Expected goals (xG)0.35
2.02xG on target (xGOT)0.58
13Total shots8
6Shots on target1
7Shots off target3
0Blocked shots4
10Shots inside the box6
3Shots outside the box2
2Hit the woodwork1
0Headed goals1

Attack

2Big chances0
3Corner kicks5
20Touches in opposition box26
0Accurate through passes2
0Offsides0
7Free kicks13

Passes

79% (325/412)Passes83% (440/530)
43% (29/68)Long passes64% (37/58)
72% (103/144)Passes in final third67% (107/160)
25% (2/8)Crosses21% (9/43)
0.69Expected assists (xA)1.11
9Throw ins20

Defense

13Fouls7
56% (9/16)Tackles54% (7/13)
57Duels won56
40Clearances10
13Interceptions4
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves3
0.58xGOT faced2.02
-0.42Goals prevented-0.98
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.32
X3.32
23.19

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (9/10)
90
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #10 vs Away #6
Season: Home 1.41 PPG vs Away 1.62 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.15 PPG vs Away 2.25 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.44 GPG vs Away 1.24 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

25%
24%
51%
Watford
Draw
Wrexham

Match Preview

Watford will face off against Wrexham FC in the Championship at Vicarage Road on March 17, 2026.

The hosts, Watford, currently sit 10th in the league standings, while Wrexham FC follows closely behind in 6th place.

Watford has accumulated 52 points, whereas Wrexham FC boasts 60 points.

Interestingly, Watford has suffered losses in 50% of their last 6 home matches in the Championship, whereas Wrexham FC has been in terrific form with 5 wins in their last 6 away matches.

In their most recent encounter, Watford and Wrexham FC played out a draw, indicating a closely contested match is on the cards.

Considering their head-to-head history, it's worth noting that Watford has managed a draw in 100% of their last 1 match against Wrexham FC.

With both teams evenly matched and history favoring a tight contest, the upcoming game is poised to be a closely fought battle with a high probability of ending in a draw, according to our algorithm.

Nestory Irankunda's late goal counted for nothing at the full-time whistle on Saturday as Watford were beaten 3-1 on the road by a struggling Stoke side. The Hornets need a win here to reignite their faint play-off dreams after winning just one of their last four Championship matches.

Wrexham made no mistake against Welsh rivals Swansea at the weekend, scoring in both halves to deliver a 2-0 win at the Cae Ras. The Red Dragons have won four of their last five Championship matches heading into this midweek fixture, and are three points clear of Southampton in seventh.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Watford

Starting 11
-Egil Selvik
GK6.69
-Marc Bola
DL6.74
-Stephen Mfuni
DC6.93
-Saba Goglichidze
DC6.44
-James Abankwah
DR6.66
-Nampalys Mendy
DMC6.40
-Imrân Louza
DMC7.15
-Giorgi Chakvetadze
AML6.41
-Edo Kayembe
AMC6.60
-Nestory Irankunda
AMR6.55
-Luca Kjerrumgaard
FW6.69

Wrexham

Starting 11
-Arthur Okonkwo
GK6.70
-Callum Doyle
DC6.84
-Dominic Hyam
DC6.89
-Max Cleworth
DC6.91
-George Thomason
DML6.84
-Zak Vyner
MC6.14
-Lewis O'Brien
MC6.80
-Issa Kaboré
DMR6.82
-Nathan Broadhead
AMC6.72
-Josh Windass
AMC6.63
-Sam Smith
FW6.41
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 37 matches
WatfordvsWrexham

radarTeam Profile

Watford
Wrexham
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
43Attack44
shield
41Defense51
swap_horiz
54Possession38
gps_fixed
51Efficiency74
auto_fix_high
37Creativity36
gavel
50Discipline64

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

47Goals Scored57
45Goals Conceded47
6Clean Sheets10
83Big Chances88
58Big Chances Missed54
2Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

520Total Shots422
166Shots on Target146

swap_horizPassing & Possession

51.4%Avg Possession47.6%
15,569Total Passes15,118
80.7%Pass Accuracy77.8%

shieldDefending

547Tackles583
314Interceptions315
94Saves106
50.7%Duels Won52.3%

gavelDiscipline

387Fouls345
74Yellow Cards61
3Red Cards1
38Offsides72

analyticsOther

177Corners166
294Successful Dribbles203
4Errors Leading to Goal4
6.79Avg Rating6.87

Statistical Comparison

WatfordMetricWrexham
46
Goals
52
30
Assists
39
6.5
Average Ratings
6.6
24.7
Average Age
26.4
182.2
Average Height (cm)
182.2
0.9
Shots pg
0.7
52%
Aerial Duel Success
55%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.1
Tackles pg
1

League Standings Context

For Watford

PosTeamPWDLPts
9Birmingham City3814111353
10Watford3713131152
11Swansea City381571652

For Wrexham

PosTeamPWDLPts
5Hull City381961363
6Wrexham FC371612960
7Southampton3715121057

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

40.8/ 88.2
Dangerous Attacks
41.8/ 95.6
32.0%
Shots on Target
34.0%
13.8
Total Shots
11.9
51.0%
Possession
47.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.3
Goals Scored / Match
1.6
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Watford Wins
0%
1
Draws
100%
0
Wrexham Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 1

Recent Form Stats

MarketWatfordWrexham
Over 1.5 Goals
79%31/39
92%36/39
Over 2.5 Goals
49%19/39
56%22/39
Both Teams to Score
64%25/39
74%29/39
* Based on last 39 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Watford

CH
Watford
0 - 2
Ipswich Town
CH
Watford
2 - 0
Derby County
CH
Watford
0 - 2
Swansea City
CH
Watford
1 - 1
Portsmouth
CH
Watford
0 - 2
Millwall
CH
Watford
3 - 0
Birmingham City

Home Games: Watford

CH
Watford
0 - 2
Ipswich Town
CH
Watford
2 - 0
Derby County
CH
Watford
0 - 2
Swansea City
CH
Watford
1 - 1
Portsmouth
CH
Watford
0 - 2
Millwall
CH
Watford
3 - 0
Birmingham City

Last 6: Wrexham

CH
Charlton Athletic
0 - 1
Wrexham FC
CH
Bristol City
2 - 2
Wrexham FC
CH
Sheffield Wednesday
0 - 1
Wrexham FC
CH
QPR
2 - 3
Wrexham FC
CH
Derby County
1 - 2
Wrexham FC
CH
Blackburn Rovers
0 - 2
Wrexham FC

Away Games: Wrexham

CH
Charlton Athletic
0 - 1
Wrexham FC
CH
Bristol City
2 - 2
Wrexham FC
CH
Sheffield Wednesday
0 - 1
Wrexham FC
CH
QPR
2 - 3
Wrexham FC
CH
Derby County
1 - 2
Wrexham FC
CH
Blackburn Rovers
0 - 2
Wrexham FC

history Recent Form

WatfordWatford
1.4 GPG
L
D
W
L
W
WrexhamWrexham
1.6 GPG
W
L
W
W
W

group Head to Head

PL13 Dec 2025
Wrexham
2-2
Watford
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Both Teams to Score
100%
1 / 1 matches
Watford CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Wrexham CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

13 Dec 2025
Wrexham
2 - 2
Watford

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Watford
1.41
Form (Overall)
Wrexham
1.62

Wrexham is +15% better in terms of Points Per Game

Stoke City
3 - 1
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1 - 1
Watford
Bristol City
1 - 2
Watford
Watford
0 - 2
Ipswich Town
Watford
2 - 0
Derby County
Wrexham
2 - 0
Swansea City
Wrexham
1 - 2
Hull City
Charlton Athletic
0 - 1
Wrexham
Wrexham
2 - 1
Portsmouth
Wrexham
5 - 3
Ipswich Town

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