Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

Home
Full Time
2 - 3
HT: 1 - 2
Friday 6 February
Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

Away
Wellington PhoenixTimelineMelbourne Victory
1st Half
Esposito S. (Piscopo R.)
sports_soccer
10'
Armiento C. (Najjarine R.)
sports_soccer
39'
Nduka C.
41'
Velupillay N. (Nduka C.)
sports_soccer
44'
Retre P.
45+3'
2nd Half
Jelacic K.Out: Mata J.
sync_alt
63'
Grimaldi M.Out: Piscopo R.
sync_alt
63'
Brooke-Smith L.Out: Kartum S.
sync_alt
68'
Vergos N.Out: Nduka C.
sync_alt
76'
D'Arrigo L.Out: Genreau D.
sync_alt
76'
Piper C.Out: Najjarine R.
sync_alt
77'
D'Arrigo L.Assist: Jelacic K.
sports_soccer
77'
Kelly-Heald L.Out: Retre P.
sync_alt
82'
Sheridan M.Out: James M.
sync_alt
82'
Roderick
sports_soccer
84'
Kelly-Heald L.
90+2'

Top stats

0.73Expected goals (xG)1.01
57%Ball possession43%
8Total shots12
3Shots on target6
1Big chances4
6Corner kicks7
84% (444/529)Passes79% (312/397)
2Yellow cards1

Shots

0.73Expected goals (xG)1.01
0.57xG on target (xGOT)2.39
8Total shots12
3Shots on target6
1Shots off target5
4Blocked shots1
6Shots inside the box7
2Shots outside the box5
0Hit the woodwork1
0Headed goals2

Attack

1Big chances4
6Corner kicks7
17Touches in opposition box19
1Accurate through passes3
3Offsides1
6Free kicks7

Passes

84% (444/529)Passes79% (312/397)
43% (17/40)Long passes38% (22/58)
65% (53/81)Passes in final third66% (105/160)
14% (2/14)Crosses13% (2/15)
0.61Expected assists (xA)1.63
18Throw ins18

Defense

7Fouls6
70% (14/20)Tackles55% (6/11)
46Duels won37
30Clearances17
4Interceptions15
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves2
2.39xGOT faced0.57
-0.61Goals prevented-0.43
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
13.54
X3.89
21.91

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
56
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #10 vs Away #8
Season: Home 1.27 PPG vs Away 1.33 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.35 PPG vs Away 1.05 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.63 GPG vs Away 0.75 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

37%
36%
27%
Wellington Phoenix
Draw
Melbourne Victory

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix will face Melbourne Victory in an A-League clash at Sky Stadium on February 6, 2026.

The home team, Wellington Phoenix, sits 10th in the standings with 19 points, while Melbourne Victory is slightly higher in 8th place with 20 points.

Wellington Phoenix has struggled in previous encounters, losing 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches against Melbourne Victory.

The visitors have also faced challenges on the road, losing 5 of their last 8 away matches.

Our algorithm predicts that over 2.5 goals will be scored in this match.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Wellington Phoenix

Starting 11
11Carlo Armiento
ST6.95
20Ramy Najjarine
CAM6.69
4Manjrekar James
6.70
7Eze Kelvin
6.71
8Paulo Retre
5.83
14Alex Arthur Rufer
CM7.12
25Kazuki Nagasawa
CAM7.09
28Bill Tuiloma
CB6.35
6Timothy John Payne (Injured)
RB6.78
15Isaac Hughes
6.82
30Alby Kelly-Heald
1.09
Substitutes
10Nikola Mileusnic
LW6.52
16Sander Erik Kartum
6.69
27Matthew Sheridan
6.72
29Luke Brooke-Smith
4.62
3Corban Piper
6.58
18Lukas Kelly-Heald
5.92
40Eamonn McCarron
2.95

Melbourne Victory

Starting 11
9Nikolaos Vergos
7.02
10Denis Genreau
CAM7.20
11Clarismario Santos Rodrigues
6.98
14Matthew Grimaldi
6.75
22Joshua Rawlins
6.41
27Louis Joseph D'Arrigo
CDM7.04
64Juan Mata
CAM7.40
2Jason Davidson
LB6.81
4Lachlan Robert Tua Jackson (Injured)
5.06
15Sebastian Esposito
6.00
40Jack Warshawsky
1.78
Substitutes
17Nishan Velupillay
6.74
19Jing Reec
6.14
44Charles Boniface Nduka
5.89
8Jordi Valadon (Injured)
6.97
23Keegan Jelacic
6.78
21Roderick Jefferson Gonçalves Miranda
CB6.05
25Jack Carleton Duncan
GK5.67
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 15 matches
Wellington PhoenixvsMelbourne Victory

radarTeam Profile

Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
52Attack54
shield
36Defense62
swap_horiz
50Possession47
gps_fixed
77Efficiency48
auto_fix_high
45Creativity37
gavel
65Discipline57

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

24Goals Scored20
28Goals Conceded19
2Clean Sheets5
41Big Chances34
24Big Chances Missed22
2Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

198Total Shots259
80Shots on Target84

swap_horizPassing & Possession

51.2%Avg Possession51.9%
6,120Total Passes6,867
78.3%Pass Accuracy79.0%

shieldDefending

255Tackles286
126Interceptions144
46Saves34
49.5%Duels Won50.3%

gavelDiscipline

136Fouls153
16Yellow Cards25
2Red Cards1
24Offsides30

analyticsOther

71Corners94
119Successful Dribbles90
7Errors Leading to Goal5
6.75Avg Rating6.79

League Standings Context

For Wellington Phoenix

PosTeamPWDLPts
9Perth Glory1561819
10Wellington Phoenix1554619
11CC Mariners1544716

For Melbourne Victory

PosTeamPWDLPts
7Brisbane Roar1663721
8Melbourne Victory1562720
9Perth Glory1561819

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

40.1/ 99.7
Dangerous Attacks
50.7/ 103.3
40.0%
Shots on Target
31.0%
13.2
Total Shots
17.3
51.0%
Possession
52.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.6
Goals Scored / Match
1.3
1.9
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Wellington Phoenix Wins
17%
2
Draws
33%
3
Melbourne Victory Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketWellington PhoenixMelbourne Victory
Over 1.5 Goals
93%14/15
60%9/15
Over 2.5 Goals
80%12/15
47%7/15
Both Teams to Score
80%12/15
33%5/15
* Based on last 15 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Wellington Phoenix

Au1
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 2
Melbourne City
Au1
Newcastle Jets
4 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Sydney FC
0 - 2
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 2
Adelaide United
Au1
Brisbane Roar
0 - 3
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Melbourne Victory
5 - 1
Wellington Phoenix

Home Games: Wellington Phoenix

Au1
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 2
Melbourne City
Au1
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 2
Adelaide United
Au1
Wellington Phoenix
3 - 1
CC Mariners
Au1
Wellington Phoenix
1 - 3
Newcastle Jets
Au1
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 1
Adelaide United
Au1
Wellington Phoenix
0 - 1
Macarthur FC

Last 6: Melbourne Victory

Au1
CC Mariners
1 - 0
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Melbourne Victory
4 - 0
Sydney FC
Au1
Adelaide United
2 - 1
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Melbourne Victory
0 - 1
WS Wanderers
Au1
Melbourne Victory
3 - 2
Perth Glory
Au1
Melbourne Victory
5 - 1
Wellington Phoenix

Away Games: Melbourne Victory

Au1
CC Mariners
1 - 0
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Adelaide United
2 - 1
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Melbourne City
0 - 1
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Macarthur FC
0 - 0
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Brisbane Roar
1 - 0
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Sydney FC
3 - 0
Melbourne Victory

history Recent Form

Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix
1.3 GPG
D
L
W
D
W
Melbourne VictoryMelbourne Victory
1.3 GPG
L
W
L
L
W

group Head to Head

PL29 Dec 2025
Melbourne Victory FC
5-1
Wellington Phoenix
PL12 Apr 2025
Wellington Phoenix
2-3
Melbourne Victory FC
PL14 Feb 2025
Melbourne Victory FC
1-0
Wellington Phoenix
PL24 Nov 2024
Wellington Phoenix
1-0
Melbourne Victory FC
PL18 May 2024
Wellington Phoenix
1-2
Melbourne Victory FC
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
86%
43 / 50 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
31 / 50 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
20 / 50 matches
Both Teams to Score
60%
30 / 50 matches
Wellington Phoenix CS
24%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory CS
22%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Dec 2025
Melbourne Victory FC
5 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
12 Apr 2025
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 3
Melbourne Victory FC
14 Feb 2025
Melbourne Victory FC
1 - 0
Wellington Phoenix
24 Nov 2024
Wellington Phoenix
1 - 0
Melbourne Victory FC
18 May 2024
Wellington Phoenix
1 - 2
Melbourne Victory FC
12 May 2024
Melbourne Victory FC
0 - 0
Wellington Phoenix
12 Apr 2024
Wellington Phoenix
1 - 0
Melbourne Victory FC
19 Jan 2024
Wellington Phoenix
1 - 1
Melbourne Victory FC
10 Nov 2023
Melbourne Victory FC
1 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
1 Apr 2023
Wellington Phoenix
1 - 2
Melbourne Victory FC
3 Feb 2023
Melbourne Victory FC
3 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
29 Apr 2022
Melbourne Victory FC
3 - 1
Wellington Phoenix

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Wellington Phoenix
1.27
Form (Overall)
Melbourne Victory
1.33

Melbourne Victory is +5% better in terms of Points Per Game

Wellington Phoenix
2 - 2
Melbourne City FC
Newcastle Jets FC
4 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney FC
0 - 2
Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 2
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
0 - 3
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners
1 - 0
Melbourne Victory FC
Melbourne Victory FC
4 - 0
Sydney FC
Adelaide United
2 - 1
Melbourne Victory FC
Melbourne Victory FC
0 - 1
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory FC
3 - 2
Perth Glory FC

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