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Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

Home
Full Time
3 - 1
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 5 September
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Away
Werder BremenTimelineRB Leipzig
1st Half
Dinkci E. (Chuki)
sports_soccer
4'
Chuki
23'
2nd Half
Gomis T.Out: Bakayoko J.
sync_alt
63'
Schmetgens M.Out: Arthur
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67'
Erevbenagie P.Out: Dinkci E.
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67'
Fullkrug N.Assist: Grull M.
sports_soccer
68'
Itten C.Out: Fullkrug N.
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74'
Guiu M.Out: El Aynaoui N.
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75'
Grull M.
sports_soccer
80'
Musah S.Out: Chuki
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83'
Stalmach D.Out: Regeer Y.
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83'
Maksimovic A.Out: Nkunku C.
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84'
Konate S.Out: Nusa A.
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84'
Baku R. (Maksimovic A.)
sports_soccer
90+5'

Top stats

0.95Expected goals (xG)1.50
29%Ball possession71%
12Total shots19
7Shots on target5
1Big chances2
2Corner kicks7
72% (208/287)Passes89% (612/691)
1Yellow cards0

Shots

0.95Expected goals (xG)1.50
1.73xG on target (xGOT)0.74
12Total shots19
7Shots on target5
3Shots off target7
2Blocked shots7
5Shots inside the box14
7Shots outside the box5
1Hit the woodwork1
1Headed goals1

Attack

1Big chances2
2Corner kicks7
13Touches in opposition box39
1Accurate through passes0
4Offsides1
8Free kicks13

Passes

72% (208/287)Passes89% (612/691)
44% (22/50)Long passes45% (14/31)
60% (40/67)Passes in final third83% (200/240)
10% (1/10)Crosses20% (7/35)
0.56Expected assists (xA)1.91
14Throw ins35

Defense

13Fouls8
54% (20/37)Tackles63% (5/8)
57Duels won45
33Clearances20
18Interceptions6
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves4
0.74xGOT faced1.73
-0.26Goals prevented-1.27
12Goal kicks4
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
14.10
X4.32
21.76

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Odds: 4.20Stake: Medium (7/10)
70
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #18 vs Away #3
Season: Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.00 PPG vs Away 3.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 1.83 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

28%
23%
49%
Werder Bremen
Draw
RB Leipzig
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.441.75-17.9%
Werder Bremen Win4.203.60+16.5%
Draw4.004.30-6.9%
RB Leipzig Win1.802.04-11.8%
BTTS - Yes1.441.79-19.6%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

After a nervous campaign fighting relegation last term, Werder Bremen did little to ease fears of a repeat in their season opener. Die Werderaner were hammered 4-1 by a Yuito Suzuki-inspired Freiburg side at Europa-Park Stadion last time out.

RB Leipzig made no mistake against Borussia Mönchengladbach in gameweek one, attempting 25 shots and racking up 3.96 expected goals in a dominant 3-0 home win against Die Fohlen. That result was the perfect start to Martin Demichelis' time at the helm.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Werder Bremen

Starting 11
-Karl Hein
GK5.17
-Olivier Deman
DL5.85
-Marco Friedl
DC6.16
-Amos Pieper
DC6.73
-Mick Schmetgens
DR5.66
-Dariusz Stalmach
MC7.61
-Ludovit Reis
MC6.35
-Chuki
MC5.97
-Samuel Mbangula
FWL
-Niclas Füllkrug
FW5.33
-Marco Grüll
FWR8.02

RB Leipzig

Starting 11
-Maarten Vandevoordt
GK7.54
-David Raum
DL7.35
-Castello Lukeba
DC7.64
-Willi Orbán
DC7.93
-Ridle Baku
DR7.97
-Nicolas Seiwald
MC7.18
-Ezechiel Banzuzi
MC6.81
-Rocco Reitz
MC7.95
-Antonio Nusa
FWL8.74
-Tidiam Gomis
FW7.15
-Brajan Gruda
FWR7.81
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 1 matches
Werder BremenvsRB Leipzig
1.00Goals / Match3.00
4.00Conceded / Match0.00
0Clean Sheets1
3.00Shots on Target / Match11.00
47.0%Possession %47.0%
86.1%Pass Accuracy %83.8%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

1Goals Scored3
4Goals Conceded0
0Clean Sheets1
2Big Chances6
1Big Chances Missed4

gps_fixedShooting

9Total Shots25
3Shots on Target11

swap_horizPassing & Possession

47.0%Avg Possession47.0%
432Total Passes427
86.1%Pass Accuracy83.8%

shieldDefending

29Tackles13
4Interceptions8
1Saves4
56.0%Duels Won50.6%

gavelDiscipline

16Fouls10
1Yellow Cards1
1Offsides0

analyticsOther

5Corners7
5Successful Dribbles8
1Errors Leading to Goal0
6.63Avg Rating8.46

Statistical Comparison

Werder BremenMetricRB Leipzig
1
Goals
3
1
Assists
3
6.2
Average Ratings
7.2
25
Average Age
24.5
183.4
Average Height (cm)
182.5
1.1
Shots pg
2.3
50%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
1
Dribbles pg
2
2.9
Tackles pg
2.2

history Recent Form

Werder BremenWerder Bremen
1.4 GPG
L
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
1.8 GPG
W

group Head to Head

PL4 Apr 2026
Werder Bremen
1-2
RB Leipzig
PL23 Nov 2025
RB Leipzig
2-0
Werder Bremen
PL10 May 2025
Werder Bremen
0-0
RB Leipzig
PL12 Jan 2025
RB Leipzig
4-2
Werder Bremen
PL11 May 2024
RB Leipzig
1-1
Werder Bremen
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
95%
18 / 19 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
12 / 19 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
4 / 19 matches
Both Teams to Score
63%
12 / 19 matches
Werder Bremen CS
11%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig CS
32%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

4 Apr 2026
Werder Bremen
1 - 2
RB Leipzig
23 Nov 2025
RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Werder Bremen
10 May 2025
Werder Bremen
0 - 0
RB Leipzig
12 Jan 2025
RB Leipzig
4 - 2
Werder Bremen
11 May 2024
RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Werder Bremen
19 Dec 2023
Werder Bremen
1 - 1
RB Leipzig
14 May 2023
RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Werder Bremen
12 Nov 2022
Werder Bremen
1 - 2
RB Leipzig
30 Apr 2021
Werder Bremen
1 - 2
RB Leipzig
10 Apr 2021
Werder Bremen
1 - 4
RB Leipzig
12 Dec 2020
RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Werder Bremen
15 Feb 2020
RB Leipzig
3 - 0
Werder Bremen

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Werder Bremen
1.40
Form (Overall)
RB Leipzig
1.80

RB Leipzig is +29% better in terms of Points Per Game

Freiburg
4 - 1
Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
3 - 0
Borussia M'gladbach

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Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app