West Ham vs Derby Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

West Ham

West Ham

Home
Full Time
3 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 5 September
Derby

Derby

Away
West HamTimelineDerby
1st Half
Piroe J.Assist: Castellanos T.
sports_soccer
6'
Mowatt A.
21'
Ozoh D.Out: Brewster R.
sync_alt
22'
2nd Half
Clark B.Out: Fraulo O.
sync_alt
62'
Salvesen L.Out: Meister H.
sync_alt
62'
Orford L.Out: Castellanos T.
sync_alt
64'
Fuseini M.Out: Hedges R.
sync_alt
71'
Johnston M.Out: Nyambe R.
sync_alt
71'
Fuseini M.
77'
Austbo E.Out: Solomon M.
sync_alt
77'
Boiro A.Out: Scarles O.
sync_alt
77'
Blackett-Taylor C.Out: Mowatt A.
sync_alt
86'
Austbo E.
sports_soccer
87'
MoratoOut: Mukasa D.
sync_alt
90+1'
Kante M.Out: Bowen J.
sync_alt
90+1'
Kante M. (Austbo E.)
sports_soccer
90+5'

Top stats

3.47Expected goals (xG)0.11
52%Ball possession48%
20Total shots5
7Shots on target0
3Big chances0
5Corner kicks6
84% (387/461)Passes82% (343/419)
0Yellow cards2

Shots

3.47Expected goals (xG)0.11
3.02xG on target (xGOT)0.00
20Total shots5
7Shots on target0
10Shots off target4
3Blocked shots1
17Shots inside the box3
3Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

3Big chances0
5Corner kicks6
35Touches in opposition box12
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides0
16Free kicks6

Passes

84% (387/461)Passes82% (343/419)
49% (20/41)Long passes35% (19/55)
77% (125/162)Passes in final third66% (73/111)
44% (7/16)Crosses29% (4/14)
2.26Expected assists (xA)0.26
10Throw ins19

Defense

6Fouls16
77% (17/22)Tackles78% (7/9)
65Duels won25
18Clearances21
10Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot2
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves4
0.00xGOT faced3.02
0.00Goals prevented0.02
4Goal kicks13
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.36
X4.87
28.12

Recommended Bet

cancel
Away Win
Odds: 7.20Stake: Medium (7/10)
73
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #13 vs Away #18
Season: Home 1.70 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.44 PPG vs Away 1.22 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.67 GPG vs Away 1.75 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

55%
23%
22%
West Ham
Draw
Derby
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.691.66+2.0%
West Ham United Win1.361.81-24.8%
Draw4.504.35+3.5%
Derby County Win7.204.60+56.5%
BTTS - Yes2.001.78+12.4%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Nuno Espirito Santo had plenty to celebrate on Tuesday night as Divine Mukasa's brace helped inspire a dominant 4-2 home win against his former club, Wolves. That result broke a three-match winless streak to start the Hammers' first season back in the second tier since 2011/12.

Derby impressed at both ends against Portsmouth in midweek, keeping a clean sheet despite facing 21 shots and taking all three points back to Derbyshire thanks to goals from Sam Szmodics and Lars-Jørgen Salvesen. That result ended a four-match winless run for the Rams.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

West Ham

Starting 11
-Mads Hermansen
GK6.59
-Ollie Scarles
DL6.52
-Maximilian Kilman
DC6.68
-Konstantinos Mavropanos
DC6.40
-Kyle Walker-Peters
DR6.38
-Manor Solomon
ML6.90
-Arne Engels
MC6.81
-Divine Mukasa
MC7.01
-Jarrod Bowen
MR7.37
-Joël Piroe
FW6.85
-Pablo
FW6.50

Derby

Starting 11
-Jacob Widell Zetterström
GK6.72
-Charlie Taylor
DL6.77
-Dion Sanderson
DC6.65
-Sondre Langås
DC6.42
-Ryan Nyambe
DR6.08
-Oscar Fraulo
DMC6.56
-Alex Mowatt
DMC7.04
-Bobby Clark
AML7.04
-Sam Szmodics
AMC6.91
-Ryan Hedges
AMR6.49
-Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
FW6.63
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 22 / 46 matches
West HamvsDerby
1.64Goals / Match1.46
1.86Conceded / Match1.28
4Clean Sheets12
4.77Shots on Target / Match3.57
40.5%Possession %44.4%
74.6%Pass Accuracy %74.6%

radarTeam Profile

West Ham
Derby
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
43Attack39
shield
50Defense49
swap_horiz
32Possession29
gps_fixed
86Efficiency71
auto_fix_high
41Creativity33
gavel
68Discipline38

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

36Goals Scored67
41Goals Conceded59
4Clean Sheets12
41Big Chances102
21Big Chances Missed62
2Penalty Goals5

gps_fixedShooting

261Total Shots504
105Shots on Target164

swap_horizPassing & Possession

40.5%Avg Possession44.4%
7,306Total Passes15,484
74.6%Pass Accuracy74.6%

shieldDefending

523Tackles677
224Interceptions400
77Saves145
51.3%Duels Won48.6%

gavelDiscipline

224Fouls568
29Yellow Cards112
0Red Cards3
31Offsides69

analyticsOther

70Corners209
170Successful Dribbles257
4Errors Leading to Goal5
6.89Avg Rating6.78

Statistical Comparison

West HamMetricDerby
7
Goals
5
3
Assists
4
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
25.3
Average Age
27.6
182.4
Average Height (cm)
181.9
1.5
Shots pg
0.9
47%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
1
Dribbles pg
0.9
1.2
Tackles pg
1.4

history Recent Form

West HamWest Ham
1.7 GPG
W
D
L
D
DerbyDerby
1.0 GPG
W
L
D
L

group Head to Head

PL30 Jan 2023
Derby County
0-2
West Ham United
PL31 Dec 2011
Derby County
2-1
West Ham United
PL26 Nov 2011
West Ham United
3-1
Derby County
PL19 Apr 2008
West Ham United
2-1
Derby County
PL10 Nov 2007
Derby County
0-5
West Ham United
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
5 / 5 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
80%
4 / 5 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
2 / 5 matches
Both Teams to Score
60%
3 / 5 matches
West Ham CS
40%
Clean Sheets
Derby CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

30 Jan 2023
Derby County
0 - 2
West Ham United
31 Dec 2011
Derby County
2 - 1
West Ham United
26 Nov 2011
West Ham United
3 - 1
Derby County
19 Apr 2008
West Ham United
2 - 1
Derby County
10 Nov 2007
Derby County
0 - 5
West Ham United

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
West Ham
1.70
Form (Overall)
Derby
1.00

West Ham is +70% better in terms of Points Per Game

West Ham United
4 - 2
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Watford
1 - 1
West Ham United
West Ham United
1 - 2
Charlton Athletic
Burnley
2 - 2
West Ham United
Portsmouth
0 - 2
Derby County
Derby County
0 - 3
Swansea City
Derby County
2 - 2
Cardiff City
Charlton Athletic
2 - 1
Derby County

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

No spam, unsubscribe at any time.