West Ham vs Southampton Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app
West Ham
HomeFull Time
2:3
Saturday 24 October
Southampton
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
11.68
X4.23
24.33
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
51
Best near-miss
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #3 vs Away #4
Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 1.91 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.65 PPG vs Away 1.25 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 3.00 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
56%
23%
21%
West Ham
Draw
Southampton
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.49 | 1.74 | 1.57 | -14.3% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.62 | 2.35 | 2.76 | +11.3% |
| West Ham United Win | 1.63 | 1.78 | 1.75 | -8.5% |
| Draw | 4.20 | 4.37 | 4.51 | -3.8% |
| Southampton Win | 4.49 | 4.77 | 4.82 | -5.8% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.48 | 1.76 | 1.59 | -15.8% |
| BTTS - No | 2.50 | 2.32 | 2.69 | +7.8% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
West Ham
Starting 11
-Mads Hermansen
GK6.65
-Morato
DL6.60
-Maximilian Kilman
DC7.10
-Konstantinos Mavropanos
DC7.32
-Joël Veltman
DR6.78
-Manor Solomon
ML7.09
-Arne Engels
MC7.06
-Mohamadou Kanté
MC6.58
-Jarrod Bowen
MR7.72
-Divine Mukasa
AMC6.85
-Valentín Castellanos
FW6.73
Southampton
Starting 11
-Daniel Peretz
GK6.83
-Ryan Manning
DL6.77
-Keven Schlotterbeck
DC7.09
-Jack Stephens
DC6.54
-James Bree
DR6.78
-James Ward-Prowse
DMC6.93
-Cameron Bragg
DMC6.23
-Léo Scienza
AML6.95
-Finn Azaz
AMC7.13
-Kuryu Matsuki
AMR6.68
-Cyle Larin
FW6.94
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Match Preview
Divine Mukasa scored the all-important goal in gameweek 11 as West Ham beat league leaders Swansea 1-0 in Wales. The Hammers have climbed to second in the Championship standings after winning six and drawing two of their last eight in this competition.
Southampton had to settle for a goalless draw against newly promoted Bolton last weekend as the Saints were frustrated on home soil. Tonda Eckert's side have won four of their last six games and are in the play-off places heading into gameweek 12.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 11 matchesWest HamvsSouthampton
2.73Goals / Match1.91
1.09Conceded / Match0.91
4Clean Sheets3
6.18Shots on Target / Match4.36
57.9%Possession %57.7%
85.7%Pass Accuracy %86.3%
radarTeam Profile
West Ham
Southampton
sports_soccer
95Attack72
shield
50Defense44
swap_horiz
65Possession63
gps_fixed
85Efficiency64
auto_fix_high
90Creativity81
gavel
49Discipline57
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
30Goals Scored21
12Goals Conceded10
4Clean Sheets3
48Big Chances37
28Big Chances Missed22
1Penalty Goals2
gps_fixedShooting
179Total Shots167
68Shots on Target48
swap_horizPassing & Possession
57.9%Avg Possession57.7%
5,408Total Passes5,560
85.7%Pass Accuracy86.3%
shieldDefending
162Tackles123
73Interceptions78
21Saves31
51.4%Duels Won49.9%
gavelDiscipline
111Fouls94
23Yellow Cards22
1Red Cards1
24Offsides33
analyticsOther
69Corners55
72Successful Dribbles60
1Errors Leading to Goal1
7.61Avg Rating7.51
Statistical Comparison
West HamMetricSouthampton
29
Goals
21
21
Assists
16
6.7
Average Ratings
6.6
26.3
Average Age
27.7
183.5
Average Height (cm)
182
1.2
Shots pg
1
49%
Aerial Duel Success
46%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.2
Tackles pg
0.7
history Recent Form
West HamD
L
W
W
W
SouthamptonW
L
D
D
L
group Head to Head
PL25 Aug 2026
1-4
PL19 Apr 2025
1-1
PL26 Dec 2024
0-1
PL2 Apr 2023
1-0
PL16 Oct 2022
1-1
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
19 / 28 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
15 / 28 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
8 / 28 matches
Both Teams to Score
54%
15 / 28 matches
West Ham CS
36%
Clean Sheets
Southampton CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
25 Aug 2026
Southampton
1 - 4
West Ham United
19 Apr 2025
West Ham United
1 - 1
Southampton
26 Dec 2024
Southampton
0 - 1
West Ham United
2 Apr 2023
West Ham United
1 - 0
Southampton
16 Oct 2022
Southampton
1 - 1
West Ham United
2 Mar 2022
Southampton
2 - 1
West Ham United
26 Dec 2021
West Ham United
2 - 3
Southampton
11 Sept 2021
Southampton
0 - 0
West Ham United
23 May 2021
West Ham United
3 - 0
Southampton
29 Dec 2020
Southampton
0 - 0
West Ham United
29 Feb 2020
West Ham United
3 - 1
Southampton
14 Dec 2019
Southampton
0 - 1
West Ham United
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.00
Form (Overall)
1.00
West Ham is +100% better in terms of Points Per Game
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Southampton
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