Willem II vs Excelsior Prediction & Tips | Eredivisie | FootballTips.app

Willem II

Willem II

Home
Full Time
0 - 3
HT: 0 - 2
Saturday 5 September
Excelsior

Excelsior

Away
Willem IITimelineExcelsior
1st Half
Garden D.Assist: Yegoian I.
sports_soccer
8'
Meissen R. (Janssen S.)
sports_soccer
34'
2nd Half
Vilhena T.Out: Gurbuz E.
sync_alt
46'
Dekker M.Out: Lemmens M.
sync_alt
46'
Boogaard K.
51'
Verheydt T.Out: Boogaard K.
sync_alt
63'
Silva Timas I.Out: Sliti A.
sync_alt
64'
van Vianen D.Out: da Silva Moreira E.
sync_alt
65'
Groen N.Out: Thorsteinsson A.
sync_alt
71'
Slory J.
81'
Obi C.Out: Slory J.
sync_alt
82'
Yegoian I. (van Gassel S.)
sports_soccer
85'
Groen N.
87'

Top stats

0.74Expected goals (xG)1.59
59%Ball possession41%
16Total shots13
2Shots on target6
0Big chances2
7Corner kicks6
83% (419/505)Passes77% (280/362)
2Yellow cards1

Shots

0.74Expected goals (xG)1.59
0.79xG on target (xGOT)2.50
16Total shots13
2Shots on target6
7Shots off target3
7Blocked shots4
11Shots inside the box10
5Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

0Big chances2
7Corner kicks6
23Touches in opposition box22
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides0
14Free kicks10

Passes

83% (419/505)Passes77% (280/362)
39% (22/57)Long passes57% (46/81)
73% (101/139)Passes in final third56% (76/135)
24% (10/42)Crosses31% (4/13)
1.04Expected assists (xA)1.05
20Throw ins19

Defense

10Fouls14
58% (7/12)Tackles86% (6/7)
55Duels won43
36Clearances57
9Interceptions5
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves2
2.50xGOT faced0.79
-0.50Goals prevented0.79
5Goal kicks6
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.80
X3.65
22.31

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Odds: 2.31Stake: High (9/10)
90
Opp. Value

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Player Ratings Lineups: Home 6.6 vs Away 6.9
Model Consensus: 1-2 (Away)
Statistical Edge: Away leads in 4 categories

donut_small Win Probabilities

27%
23%
50%
Willem II
Draw
Excelsior
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Home Win2.803.70-24.4%
Draw3.654.39-16.9%
Away Win2.311.99+16.0%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Willem II return to the Koning Willem II Stadion still searching for their first victory since promotion, while Excelsior arrive in Tilburg with six points from three matches and confidence boosted by a dramatic Rotterdam derby win. John Stegeman’s side sit 15th with one point, whereas Ruben den Uil’s team are ninth after two victories from their opening three games.

The hosts finally ended their losing start last weekend, recovering to draw 2-2 with Heerenveen. Uriël van Aalst opened the scoring from Nathan Tjoe-A-On’s cross before Heerenveen turned the game around through Jacob Trenskow and Oliver Braude. Willem II responded again in the 82nd minute when Calvin Twigt’s incisive pass released Devin Haen to score the equaliser and secure their first point of the campaign.

That performance offered more attacking encouragement than their earlier defeats to Go Ahead Eagles and NEC. Haen now has two league goals, while Tjoe-A-On has supplied two assists and leads the Eredivisie with four big chances created. Twigt also made an immediate creative impact against Heerenveen, producing five key passes and three big chances as Willem II showed greater ability to hurt opponents in transition.

Excelsior arrive after beating Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 at Stadion Woudestein. Aymen Sliti gave them the lead before Milan Zonneveld equalised shortly after half-time, but substitutes Ilano Silva Timas and Nesto Groen combined from a stoppage-time corner for the decisive goal. Den Uil’s changes proved particularly effective, with both Excelsior goals developing from dead-ball situations.

The visitors have made an impressive start overall, scoring seven goals while conceding only three. Their balance has been notable: they thrashed Cambuur 4-0 away, pushed PSV closely in a 2-1 defeat and then edged Sparta. Simon Janssen and Irakli Yegoian have both contributed two assists, while Noah Naujoks remains their leading scorer with two despite his current fitness concern.

Recent history provides Willem II with some encouragement, as they have won the previous two meetings between the clubs. Current form nevertheless favours Excelsior, whose sharper defensive structure and set-piece threat could prove particularly important against a Willem II side still conceding more than three goals per match.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Willem II

Starting 11
-Karst de Leeuw
GK6.35
-Nathan Tjoe-A-On
DL7.05
-Justin Hoogma
DC5.92
-Finn Stam
DC6.55
-Hidde ter Avest
DR6.86
-Kasper Boogaard
DMC6.00
-Calvin Twigt
DMC7.86
-Jaden Slory
AML6.16
-Uriel van Aalst
AMC6.53
-Eser Gürbüz
AMR6.09
-Devin Haen
FW7.13

Excelsior

Starting 11
-Stijn van Gassel
GK6.89
-Simon Janssen
DL7.23
-Jan Plug
DC6.80
-Casper Widell
DC6.71
-Rick Meissen
DR6.73
-Lennard Hartjes
DMC7.18
-Daniël van Vianen
DMC6.72
-Ágúst Thorsteinsson
AML6.09
-Irakli Yegoian
AMC8.13
-Aymen Sliti
AMR6.62
-David Garden
FW7.24
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 34 matches
Willem IIvsExcelsior
1.00Goals / Match1.26
1.65Conceded / Match1.65
5Clean Sheets6
3.09Shots on Target / Match4.24
43.8%Possession %47.6%
80.3%Pass Accuracy %78.1%

radarTeam Profile

Willem II
Excelsior
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
16Attack40
shield
42Defense40
swap_horiz
42Possession43
gps_fixed
62Efficiency59
auto_fix_high
18Creativity33
gavel
54Discipline55

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

34Goals Scored43
56Goals Conceded56
5Clean Sheets6
49Big Chances82
35Big Chances Missed53
3Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

302Total Shots423
105Shots on Target144

swap_horizPassing & Possession

43.8%Avg Possession47.6%
13,221Total Passes13,751
80.3%Pass Accuracy78.1%

shieldDefending

561Tackles479
297Interceptions302
129Saves130
48.7%Duels Won47.6%

gavelDiscipline

345Fouls418
60Yellow Cards41
3Red Cards3
36Offsides35

analyticsOther

127Corners139
224Successful Dribbles237
4Errors Leading to Goal5
6.83Avg Rating6.76

Statistical Comparison

Willem IIMetricExcelsior
4
Goals
7
4
Assists
6
6.4
Average Ratings
6.8
22.8
Average Age
23
181.8
Average Height (cm)
181.4
1.3
Shots pg
1.4
52%
Aerial Duel Success
48%
0.7
Dribbles pg
0.9
1.2
Tackles pg
1.5

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Willem II vs Excelsior Prediction & Tips | Eredivisie | FootballTips.app