Wrexham vs Chelsea Prediction & Tips | FA Cup | FootballTips.app

Wrexham

Wrexham

Home
Full Time
2 - 4
HT: 1 - 1
Saturday 7 March
Chelsea

Chelsea

Away
WrexhamTimelineChelsea
1st Half
Smith S. (Doyle C.)
sports_soccer
18'
Lavia R.
23'
Okonkwo A.
sports_soccer
40'
2nd Half
Guiu M.Out: Sarr M.
sync_alt
58'
Cucurella M.Out: Hato J.
sync_alt
65'
Essugo D.Out: Lavia R.
sync_alt
65'
Moore K.Out: Smith S.
sync_alt
66'
Windass J.Out: Rathbone O.
sync_alt
66'
Broadhead N.Out: Vyner Z.
sync_alt
76'
Doyle C. (Windass J.)
sports_soccer
78'
Acheampong J.
sports_soccer
82'
Joao PedroOut: Delap L.
sync_alt
85'
Gusto M.Out: Acheampong J.
sync_alt
85'
Dobson G.
90+3'
Extra Time
Garnacho A.Assist: Essugo D.
sports_soccer
96'
Derry J.Out: Neto P.
sync_alt
100'
Thomason G.
101'
Brunt L.Out: Doyle C.
sync_alt
106'
Andrey Santos
110'
Keillor-Dunn D.Out: Cleworth M.
sync_alt
112'
Moore K.
120'
Garnacho A.
120'
Joao Pedro
sports_soccer
120+5'

Top stats

1.80Expected goals (xG)1.61
32%Ball possession68%
19Total shots21
5Shots on target7
1Big chances2
9Corner kicks4
79% (358/455)Passes91% (919/1008)
2Yellow cards3
1Red cards0

Shots

1.80Expected goals (xG)1.61
1.47xG on target (xGOT)1.78
19Total shots21
5Shots on target7
6Shots off target8
8Blocked shots6
12Shots inside the box14
7Shots outside the box7
0Hit the woodwork1
1Headed goals0

Attack

1Big chances2
9Corner kicks4
27Touches in opposition box43
0Accurate through passes0
5Offsides1
6Free kicks11

Passes

79% (358/455)Passes91% (919/1008)
37% (26/70)Long passes44% (22/50)
64% (68/107)Passes in final third81% (214/265)
15% (4/26)Crosses14% (4/28)
0.83Expected assists (xA)1.29
23Throw ins30

Defense

11Fouls6
54% (15/28)Tackles36% (4/11)
54Duels won44
34Clearances30
11Interceptions11
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves2
1.78xGOT faced1.47
-1.22Goals prevented-0.53
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
16.51
X5.03
21.40

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: Low (5/10)
46
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.40 PPG vs Away 1.55 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.67 GPG vs Away 2.57 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.50 conc vs Away 1.14 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

22%
15%
64%
Wrexham
Draw
Chelsea

Match Preview

In the FA Cup clash between Wrexham FC and Chelsea at STōK Cae Ras on March 7, 2026, both teams are looking to secure a spot in the next round.

Wrexham FC comes into the match with 1 win in their last 2 league games and 3 wins in their last 6 home matches across all competitions.

On the other hand, Chelsea has been dominant in the FA Cup with a 100% win record and has won 67% of their last 6 away matches.

In terms of goal stats, Wrexham FC has scored 2+ goals in 60% of their last 10 home matches, while Chelsea has managed to score 2+ goals in 67% of their last 6 away matches.

Prediction: Chelsea to win 1-3.

Wrexham’s home form and previous giant-killing exploits mean this tie is unlikely to be straightforward, especially in the intense atmosphere of the Racecourse Ground.

The Championship side should have enough belief and attacking threat to trouble Chelsea, but the visitors’ depth and quality in the final third should ultimately prove decisive.

Expect a competitive contest before Chelsea’s superior firepower pulls them clear late on.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Wrexham

Starting 11
-Arthur Okonkwo
GK
-Max Cleworth
DC
-Dominic Hyam
DC
-Callum Doyle
DC
-George Thomason
DML
-Lewis O'Brien
MC
-George Dobson
MC
-Issa Kaboré
DMR
-Josh Windass
AMC
-Nathan Broadhead
AMC
-Kieffer Moore
FW

Chelsea

Starting 11
-Filip Jörgensen
GK
-Jorrel Hato
DL
-Trevoh Chalobah
DC
-Mamadou Sarr
DC
-Malo Gusto
DR
-Moisés Caicedo
DMC
-Andrey Santos
DMC
-Alejandro Garnacho
AML
-Enzo Fernández
AMC
-Pedro Neto
AMR
-Liam Delap
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 35 / 29 matches
WrexhamvsChelsea

radarTeam Profile

Wrexham
Chelsea
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
44Attack62
shield
50Defense59
swap_horiz
38Possession72
gps_fixed
75Efficiency78
auto_fix_high
36Creativity54
gavel
64Discipline28

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

54Goals Scored53
45Goals Conceded34
9Clean Sheets9
82Big Chances91
50Big Chances Missed48
3Penalty Goals7

gps_fixedShooting

401Total Shots392
142Shots on Target138

swap_horizPassing & Possession

47.5%Avg Possession58.7%
14,303Total Passes15,625
77.9%Pass Accuracy87.1%

shieldDefending

550Tackles468
300Interceptions292
100Saves77
52.4%Duels Won51.3%

gavelDiscipline

324Fouls324
58Yellow Cards70
1Red Cards7
69Offsides41

analyticsOther

153Corners176
191Successful Dribbles212
4Errors Leading to Goal5
6.87Avg Rating6.90

Statistical Comparison

WrexhamMetricChelsea
4
Goals
9
26.8
Average Age
22.7
184.2
Average Height (cm)
183

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

42.1/ 95.0
Dangerous Attacks
53.4/ 103.2
35.0%
Shots on Target
37.0%
11.8
Total Shots
14.0
47.0%
Possession
59.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.6
Goals Scored / Match
2.0
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Wrexham Wins
0%
0
Draws
0%
0
Chelsea Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 0

Recent Form Stats

MarketWrexhamChelsea
Over 1.5 Goals
80%33/41
93%38/41
Over 2.5 Goals
49%20/41
76%31/41
Both Teams to Score
66%27/41
73%30/41
* Based on last 41 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Wrexham

CH
Wrexham FC
2 - 1
Portsmouth
CH
Wrexham FC
5 - 3
Ipswich Town
FA
Wrexham FC
1 - 0
Ipswich Town
CH
Wrexham FC
0 - 2
Millwall
CH
Wrexham FC
1 - 1
Leicester City
CH
Wrexham FC
1 - 2
Norwich City

Home Games: Wrexham

CH
Wrexham FC
2 - 1
Portsmouth
CH
Wrexham FC
5 - 3
Ipswich Town
FA
Wrexham FC
1 - 0
Ipswich Town
CH
Wrexham FC
0 - 2
Millwall
CH
Wrexham FC
1 - 1
Leicester City
CH
Wrexham FC
1 - 2
Norwich City

Last 6: Chelsea

EPL
Aston Villa
1 - 4
Chelsea
EPL
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
FA
Hull City
0 - 4
Chelsea
EPL
Wolverhampton
1 - 3
Chelsea
EFL
Arsenal
1 - 0
Chelsea
UCL
Napoli
2 - 3
Chelsea

Away Games: Chelsea

EPL
Aston Villa
1 - 4
Chelsea
EPL
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
FA
Hull City
0 - 4
Chelsea
EPL
Wolverhampton
1 - 3
Chelsea
EFL
Arsenal
1 - 0
Chelsea
UCL
Napoli
2 - 3
Chelsea

history Recent Form

WrexhamWrexham
2.0 GPG
W
W
W
D
L
ChelseaChelsea
2.0 GPG
W
L
D
D
W

group Head to Head

PL25 Jul 2024
Chelsea
2-2
Wrexham
PL20 Jul 2023
Chelsea
5-0
Wrexham
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
2 / 2 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
2 / 2 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
100%
2 / 2 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
1 / 2 matches
Wrexham CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Chelsea CS
50%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

25 Jul 2024
Chelsea
2 - 2
Wrexham
20 Jul 2023
Chelsea
5 - 0
Wrexham

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Wrexham
2.00
Form (Overall)
Chelsea
2.00

Both teams have equal form.

Charlton Athletic
0 - 1
Wrexham
Wrexham
2 - 1
Portsmouth
Wrexham
5 - 3
Ipswich Town
Bristol City
2 - 2
Wrexham
Wrexham
0 - 2
Millwall
Aston Villa
1 - 4
Chelsea
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
Chelsea
1 - 1
Burnley
Chelsea
2 - 2
Leeds United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1 - 3
Chelsea

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