Zwolle vs Ajax Prediction & Tips | Eredivisie | FootballTips.app

Zwolle

Zwolle

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Full Time
0 - 2
HT: 0 - 0
Sunday 9 August
Ajax

Ajax

Away
ZwolleTimelineAjax
1st Half
Ouazane A.
33'
2nd Half
Floranus S.
57'
van der Haar D.Out: Cissoko I.
sync_alt
60'
Godts M.Out: Regeer Y.
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61'
Brandt J.Out: Berghuis S.
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61'
Mokio J.Out: Gloukh O.
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61'
Reiziger G.Out: Mbayo D.
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61'
Marcos LeonardoOut: Dolberg K.
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67'
Arokodare T.Out: Ouazane A.
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73'
Velthuis T.Out: Oosting T.
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74'
Mokio J.Assist: Arokodare T.
sports_soccer
76'
Sorensen E.Out: Sommer T.
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85'
Velanas O.Out: Thomas R.
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85'
Klaassen D.
86'
Reiziger G.
88'
Kostons K.
89'
Brandt J. (Godts M.)
sports_soccer
90+5'

Top stats

0.59Expected goals (xG)1.54
31%Ball possession69%
7Total shots26
2Shots on target6
1Big chances1
2Corner kicks10
73% (173/238)Passes88% (482/549)
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards0

Shots

0.59Expected goals (xG)1.54
0.34xG on target (xGOT)2.65
7Total shots26
2Shots on target6
2Shots off target8
3Blocked shots12
4Shots inside the box13
3Shots outside the box13
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances1
2Corner kicks10
13Touches in opposition box42
0Accurate through passes0
0Offsides0
10Free kicks12

Passes

73% (173/238)Passes88% (482/549)
42% (28/66)Long passes52% (22/42)
55% (45/82)Passes in final third81% (134/165)
27% (3/11)Crosses24% (6/25)
0.65Expected assists (xA)1.59
22Throw ins28

Defense

12Fouls10
59% (13/22)Tackles64% (7/11)
51Duels won48
28Clearances18
12Interceptions4
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves2
2.65xGOT faced0.34
0.65Goals prevented0.34
8Goal kicks3
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
16.06
X4.85
21.48

Recommended Bet

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Home Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
60
Opp. Value

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Model Consensus: 0-3 (Away)
Sofascore Stats: Home superiority - Best: Creativity (+38), Efficiency (+25)
⚠️ WhoScored disagrees (Predicts 2)

donut_small Win Probabilities

45%
23%
32%
Zwolle
Draw
Ajax

Match Preview

Ajax begin another attempt to re-establish themselves among the Eredivisie’s leading sides with a trip to MAC³PARK Stadion to face PEC Zwolle. After finishing fifth last season with 56 points, the Amsterdam club enter 2026/27 under Míchel, who left Girona this summer to become Ajax’s third permanent head coach in as many seasons. Zwolle, meanwhile, will hope for greater stability after finishing 15th and only narrowly avoiding the relegation play-off places.

The hosts’ survival last season owed much to their performances in Zwolle. Henry van der Vegt’s side collected 28 of their 37 points at MAC³PARK Stadion, winning eight of their 17 home matches, compared with just one victory away. Defensive vulnerability nevertheless remained a major problem throughout the campaign, with their 71 goals conceded equating to more than two per league game.

Ajax’s fifth-place finish represented another underwhelming campaign by their traditional standards. They won only 14 of 34 league matches and drew the same number, although a +21 goal difference and just six defeats illustrated how often an inability to turn competitive performances into victories proved costly. They were particularly difficult to beat away from home, losing just twice in 17 league trips but drawing 10.

Míchel therefore inherits a side requiring evolution rather than wholesale reconstruction, although Ajax have made several eye-catching additions. Julian Brandt and Marc-André ter Stegen are among those who have arrived this summer, significantly increasing the experience available to the new coach, although both are expected to begin the opening fixture on the bench.

Recent history provides Ajax with further encouragement. Zwolle have failed to win any of their last six home meetings with the Amsterdam club, losing five and drawing one. Ajax have also avoided defeat in 16 of their previous 20 Eredivisie away fixtures, whereas Zwolle’s broader record of 12 winless matches from their last 15 in all competitions illustrates the challenge facing the hosts.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Zwolle

Starting 11
-Jasper Schendelaar
GK
-Sherel Floranus
DL
-Nick Viergever
DC
-Simon Graves
DC
-Olivier Aertssen
DR
-Thijs Oosting
MC
-Tobias Sommer
MC
-Ryan Thomas
MC
-Koen Kostons
FWL
-Lasse Aelbers
FW
-Dylan Mbayo
FWR

Ajax

Starting 11
-Maarten Paes
GK
-Owen Wijndal
DL
-Daley Blind
DC
-Aaron Bouwman
DC
-Anton Gaaei
DR
-Youri Regeer
DMC
-Mika Godts
ML
-Oscar Gloukh
MC
-Davy Klaassen
MC
-Steven Berghuis
MR
-Kasper Dolberg
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 34 / 22 matches
ZwollevsAjax
1.29Goals / Match2.50
2.09Conceded / Match0.82
6Clean Sheets12

radarTeam Profile

Zwolle
Ajax
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
33Attack38
shield
44Defense50
swap_horiz
36Possession24
gps_fixed
75Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
38Creativity0
gavel
47Discipline81

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

44Goals Scored55
71Goals Conceded18
6Clean Sheets12
0Penalty Goals4

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