Zwolle vs Heracles Prediction & Tips | Eredivisie | FootballTips.app

Zwolle

Zwolle

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Sunday 3 May
Heracles

Heracles

Away
ZwolleTimelineHeracles
1st Half
Garcia MacNulty A.Assist: Thomas R.
sports_soccer
19'
Thomas R.
21'
Van Hoorenbeeck A.
31'
van der Kust D.
38'
2nd Half
Wieckhoff J.Out: van der Kust D.
sync_alt
46'
Limbombe B.Out: Ould Chikh W.
sync_alt
59'
Ahlstrand E.Out: Engels M.
sync_alt
59'
Scheperman S.
62'
Scheperman S.
63'
Floranus S.
68'
Cestic S.Out: Zamburek J.
sync_alt
71'
Fichtinger N.Out: Velanas O.
sync_alt
72'
Monteiro J.Out: Thomas R.
sync_alt
73'
Velthuis T.Out: Floranus S.
sync_alt
80'
Hamamioglu T.Out: Benita M.
sync_alt
87'

Top stats

0.62Expected goals (xG)1.00
45%Ball possession55%
9Total shots14
5Shots on target3
2Big chances0
3Corner kicks3
74% (271/364)Passes82% (347/423)
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards1

Shots

0.62Expected goals (xG)1.00
0.60xG on target (xGOT)0.30
9Total shots14
5Shots on target3
2Shots off target7
2Blocked shots4
4Shots inside the box9
5Shots outside the box5
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances0
3Corner kicks3
18Touches in opposition box30
1Accurate through passes0
4Offsides1
18Free kicks18

Passes

74% (271/364)Passes82% (347/423)
20% (11/55)Long passes45% (29/65)
57% (65/115)Passes in final third65% (60/92)
38% (3/8)Crosses19% (5/27)
1.16Expected assists (xA)1.06
17Throw ins17

Defense

18Fouls18
67% (10/15)Tackles50% (3/6)
52Duels won49
28Clearances19
10Interceptions4
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves4
0.30xGOT faced0.60
0.30Goals prevented-0.40
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.47
X4.81
26.26

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
67
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #4 vs Away #14
Season: Home 1.84 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.50 PPG vs Away 0.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.53 GPG vs Away 0.60 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

80%
13%
8%
Zwolle
Draw
Heracles

Match Preview

If context shapes expectation, then this is a fixture tilted firmly in one direction. PEC Zwolle welcome Heracles Almelo with the comfort of home form and the weight of their opponents’ struggles combining into a clear narrative.

Zwolle’s season has not been without turbulence, but at home they have found a measure of stability. Their defensive record improves significantly in familiar surroundings, and their ability to grind out results has kept them clear of deeper trouble. Heracles, by contrast, arrive at the foot of the table with a campaign defined by fragility, particularly away from home where defensive collapses have been frequent.

That fragility has now carried its ultimate consequence. Heracles’ 2-0 defeat to FC Volendam confirmed their relegation, making them the first side to drop out of the Eredivisie this season and bringing an end to their three-year stay in the top flight. Whether that release from pressure frees them or deepens the drift that has defined recent months remains an open question.

Yet there is a wrinkle. The last meeting between these sides produced one of the season’s most extraordinary scorelines, an 8-2 victory for Heracles. It stands as both an anomaly and a warning, a reminder that even the most one-sided narratives can unravel quickly.

Still, broader trends matter more. Zwolle are unbeaten in their last eight home league matches against Heracles, and the visitors’ away record suggests that sustaining the intensity required to repeat November’s outlier will be difficult.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Zwolle

Starting 11
-Tom de Graaff
GK6.64
-Sherel Floranus
DL6.58
-Anselmo MacNulty
DC6.50
-Simon Graves
DC6.70
-Olivier Aertssen
DR6.57
-Zico Buurmeester
MC6.48
-Ryan Thomas
MC6.85
-Thijs Oosting
MC6.61
-Kaj de Rooij
FWL6.55
-Koen Kostons
FW6.76
-Odysseus Velanas
FWR6.48

Heracles

Starting 11
-Remko Pasveer
GK6.62
-Ivan Mesík
DL6.38
-Alec Van Hoorenbeeck
DC6.61
-Damon Mirani
DC6.57
-Sava-Arangel Cestic
DR6.33
-Thomas Bruns
DMC6.15
-Sem Scheperman
DMC6.68
-Mario Engels
AML6.06
-Ajdin Hrustic
AMC6.61
-Tristan van Gilst
AMR6.15
-Luka Kulenovic
FW6.54
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 31 matches
ZwollevsHeracles

radarTeam Profile

Zwolle
Heracles
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
34Attack29
shield
42Defense26
swap_horiz
36Possession31
gps_fixed
75Efficiency59
auto_fix_high
38Creativity25
gavel
46Discipline41

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

41Goals Scored34
66Goals Conceded79
5Clean Sheets2
66Big Chances58
42Big Chances Missed36
0Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

304Total Shots345
111Shots on Target118

swap_horizPassing & Possession

44.5%Avg Possession43.8%
11,654Total Passes10,638
78.1%Pass Accuracy77.1%

shieldDefending

544Tackles514
308Interceptions237
129Saves135
48.6%Duels Won50.5%

gavelDiscipline

352Fouls420
50Yellow Cards61
5Red Cards2
49Offsides36

analyticsOther

112Corners134
183Successful Dribbles163
6Errors Leading to Goal11
6.72Avg Rating6.68

Statistical Comparison

ZwolleMetricHeracles
41
Goals
34
32
Assists
25
6.4
Average Ratings
6.4
25.1
Average Age
28.5
182.4
Average Height (cm)
185.1
0.7
Shots pg
0.8
45%
Aerial Duel Success
54%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.3
1.3
Tackles pg
1.1

history Recent Form

ZwolleZwolle
1.8 GPG
W
D
W
W
W
HeraclesHeracles
1.0 GPG
D
D
D
D
L

group Head to Head

PL30 Nov 2025
Le Havre
0-1
Lille
PL8 Feb 2025
Lille
1-2
Le Havre
PL28 Sept 2024
Le Havre
0-3
Lille
PL17 Feb 2024
Lille
3-0
Le Havre
PL1 Oct 2023
Le Havre
0-2
Lille
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
83%
5 / 6 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
4 / 6 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
1 / 6 matches
Both Teams to Score
33%
2 / 6 matches
Zwolle CS
67%
Clean Sheets
Heracles CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

30 Nov 2025
Le Havre
0 - 1
Lille
8 Feb 2025
Lille
1 - 2
Le Havre
28 Sept 2024
Le Havre
0 - 3
Lille
17 Feb 2024
Lille
3 - 0
Le Havre
1 Oct 2023
Le Havre
0 - 2
Lille
26 Jul 2023
Lille
3 - 2
Le Havre

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Zwolle
1.84
Form (Overall)
Heracles
1.00

Zwolle is +84% better in terms of Points Per Game

Paris
0 - 1
Lille
Lille
0 - 0
Nice
Toulouse
0 - 4
Lille
Lille
3 - 0
Lens
Olympique Marseille
1 - 2
Lille
Le Havre
4 - 4
Metz
Angers SCO
1 - 1
Le Havre
Nice
1 - 1
Le Havre
Le Havre
1 - 1
Auxerre
Paris
3 - 2
Le Havre

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